MLB Regressing vs. Increasing Odds System

**thekoreanmang** · 06-07-17, 09:49 AM

Looks like MIL might be the closest to a non-play come game time. The other two seem more certain. ~8 hours til first pitch so we shall see. Thanks for continuing the posting barryt!

Originally posted by barryt

3 plays today
Brewers
Diamondbacks
Orioles
Just for the record..no plays yesterday!
Last 30 days ml 66%, RL 56%

**BennyFang** · 06-08-17, 12:18 AM

Doesn't look like anything tomorrow, only see Reds if they become favorites. Nice run lately.

**BennyFang** · 06-09-17, 12:20 AM

Possibly Astros but that's about it for 6/9.

**barryt** · 06-09-17, 07:11 AM

No plays yesterday
1 potential play today Astros at -186, opened -180 presently -180 to -195 depending on the bookie

(6-0 on the 7th!!!!!!!! forgot to post yesterday as no plays)

**BennyFang** · 06-10-17, 12:20 AM

6/10: Red Sox, Yankees, Nats, A's game 2, Cardinals, Rockies, Marlins, Dodgers are in play. A's & Rockies will need to be chalk. A couple others are close. No Mets/Braves DH lines yet.

**barryt** · 06-10-17, 08:18 AM

Just for the record No Plays yesterday
6 plays today, but at least 4 are less than -190 and in the no play/too favourite range for me.
8am lines
Cards -203
Dodgers -241
Nationals -190
Marlins -114( must remain Fav to qualify)
Redsox-191
Yankees-199
Last 30 days ml 66.7%;rl 60.4%

**barryt** · 06-11-17, 08:14 AM

7-5 yesterday but because of low odds a losing day
today
DBacks -155
Nationals -250... too low for me to bet even on RL -130
gl
barryt

**barryt** · 06-12-17, 07:28 AM

No plays today
Angels if Fav ,presently +110
yesterday 2-2, but 2-0 in betting as wash -260 too Fav to play IMO!

**BennyFang** · 06-14-17, 12:04 AM

Wednesday Orioles >-120, Rockies if favorite.

**barryt** · 06-14-17, 06:42 AM

Missed yesterday..brain fart.. just Red Sox -250 so no play for me; won 4-3
3 today
Roclies, if Fav,
Orioles
Tigers, but tigers now OTB
YTD
ml 84-81
RL 65-60

**barryt** · 06-14-17, 03:45 PM

5pm
rockies -120
orioles -126
tigers -122
all qualify
gl

**barryt** · 06-15-17, 05:34 AM

2-1 yesterday : dead on 67% avg for year
1 play today Mets if Fav
Opened at -114 but now Dog every where except Pinny-117!!

**barryt** · 06-15-17, 03:43 PM

Mets at +113 so no play!

**barryt** · 06-15-17, 03:49 PM

No edit function.
while I was away, Baltimore became a play , but I missed it as it started around 2 pm
(i would not have wanted to play them with Tillman starting )

**JerseyGodFather** · 06-15-17, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by barryt

No edit function.
while I was away, Baltimore became a play , but I missed it as it started around 2 pm
(i would not have wanted to play them with Tillman starting )

I agree and it seems like the mets aren't a play tonight with this system

**barryt** · 06-16-17, 06:18 AM

Bit confusing yesterday as Mets were a play on opening line but then became a dog so not a play( phew !). Then Orioles popped up, but as they were an afternoon game, I missed playing them ( phew!) and checking this am , the final odds were -125 and needed -127, so they also dropped off
so for the record a 0-0 day, but obviously some people may have been caught in an 0-1 or 0-2 day depending when they bet.
today it's very clear Dodgers are and will be a play as long as Wood starts.

**BennyFang** · 06-17-17, 08:31 AM

6/17 Blue Jays, Rays if favored, Nats if >-150, Braves if >-110, Brewers if >-158, Yankees if >-130.

**BennyFang** · 06-18-17, 12:43 AM

6/18 Indians >-127, D'backs >-125, Red Sox if favored, Rangers

**barryt** · 06-18-17, 08:59 AM

Tx to benny for his input
i didn't play yesterday as I was travelling to my Grand daughters christening
Good job too as ml was 3-2 and RL just 1-4. So saved lots of money!
today
still 4 at 10 am
Red Sox -116
Dbacks -145
Rangers -185
Indians -131
gl
barryt

**teecee** · 06-18-17, 09:04 AM

How was m/l 3-2? There were only 4 plays, and of course, you would not have played Toronto anyway.

**teecee** · 06-18-17, 09:05 AM

I was 3-0 m/l and 1-2 r/l. I put 2 on m/l and 1 on r/l.

**teecee** · 06-18-17, 09:06 AM

Red Sox now @ +106. Not currently a play.

**barryt** · 06-18-17, 09:23 AM

Originally posted by teecee

How was m/l 3-2? There were only 4 plays, and of course, you would not have played Toronto anyway.

Well it's always a moving target. Early yesterday the Yankees were a play. Checking today ,yes there were only 4 plays as Yankees dropped off. Re Blue Jays, I try to record what system says not what I bet.
so for the record it was3-1 ml and 1-3 rl
without Blue Jays 3-0 and 1-2.
Between my post and your post today redsox dropped off.
ytd
ml 67.7%
rl 51.9%
very hard NOT to make money betting these!
even if you miss a game or a day!

**Kenny King** · 06-18-17, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by barryt

Well it's always a moving target. Early yesterday the Yankees were a play. Checking today ,yes there were only 4 plays as Yankees dropped off. Re Blue Jays, I try to record what system says not what I bet.
so for the record it was3-1 ml and 1-3 rl
without Blue Jays 3-0 and 1-2.
Between my post and your post today redsox dropped off.
ytd
ml 67.7%
rl 51.9%
very hard NOT to make money betting these!
even if you miss a game or a day!

Been away for a while,are you playing the -1.5 RL or the -1 RL?

**teecee** · 06-18-17, 01:05 PM

I bet 2 on m/l and 1 on r/l because I don't like a push, I like a result.

**barryt** · 06-18-17, 07:23 PM

I play -1.5 and stats are for -1.5. If I did -1 I'd have to do my own stats.

**BennyFang** · 06-19-17, 10:42 AM

Looks like Indians, Giants, Pirates today.

**BennyFang** · 06-20-17, 12:03 AM

6/20: Mariners >-136, Nats >-109

**barryt** · 06-20-17, 06:03 AM

Nationals -116, must be -110
Sorry Benny Mariners dropped off at -135 need to be -141
May change by game time
2-1 ml and RL . Dickey shuts out Giants hard to believe!

**barryt** · 06-20-17, 04:19 PM

@17:17
Nationals -113
Cardinals -155
are both plays
gl barryt

**barryt** · 06-22-17, 12:36 PM

Too busy yesterday had 2 plays nationals and brewer
went 1-1 ml 0-2 RL
Previous day 2-0 ml and RL after cards scored 7 in 11
Today 1 possible play Astros
game time 3:35 it's a play at -116 line at 1:30 is -107 and it opened -130 so probably won't be a play.
ytd
ml 67.8
rl 51.7
gl
barryt

**barryt** · 06-23-17, 06:51 AM

Despite Astros being about -105 , pickem, the SDQL still recorded them as a play and a win at -130.
.
guess like everything else it's prone to error,
No plays today, Friday

**barryt** · 06-23-17, 10:12 AM

Marlins would be a play if they got to be the Fav vs Cubs

**barryt** · 06-23-17, 02:10 PM

Dbacks -200 popped up as a play. Have no idea why they didn't show earlier. Maybe no line as Lieter is rookie for pha

**BennyFang** · 06-24-17, 02:59 AM

6/24: Dodgers if >-225, D'backs if >-185 (and Phillies < +172), Indians, Red Sox if > -170