MLB Regressing vs. Increasing Odds System

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  • teecee
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-18-09
    • 6298

    #736
    If weren't for the ban, I'm sureTT woulda kept it going, but thanks again, dude.
    Comment
    • BennyFang
      SBR MVP
      • 12-27-09
      • 1412

      #737
      Orioles, Angeles, Giants were plays based on closing lines: ML 2-1, RL 2-1

      8/3: Cardinals if favored, Rockies if >-135, Rangers if >-115.

      BOL
      Comment
      • BennyFang
        SBR MVP
        • 12-27-09
        • 1412

        #738
        ML 1-1, RL 0-2

        8/4: no plays
        Comment
        • BennyFang
          SBR MVP
          • 12-27-09
          • 1412

          #739
          8/5: Orioles if >-135, Pirates if >-185, Rays if >-146, Braves if >-115, Reds if >-110, Cubs if >-165, Rangers if >-106.

          BOL
          Comment
          • BennyFang
            SBR MVP
            • 12-27-09
            • 1412

            #740
            Plays were Orioles, Braves, Reds, Rangers. ML 3-1, RL 3-1.

            8/6: no plays (outside chance Royals Game 2 becomes a play but doubtful)
            Comment
            • BennyFang
              SBR MVP
              • 12-27-09
              • 1412

              #741
              8/7: Cardinals if >-106

              BOL
              Comment
              • BennyFang
                SBR MVP
                • 12-27-09
                • 1412

                #742
                ML 1-0, RL 1-0

                8/8: Brewers if favored, Cardinals if >-125.

                BOL
                Comment
                • BennyFang
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-27-09
                  • 1412

                  #743
                  Ended up no qualifiers yesterday.

                  8/9: Orioles if favored, Giants if favored, Reds if >-135, Cardinals if >-130.

                  BOL
                  Comment
                  • BennyFang
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-27-09
                    • 1412

                    #744
                    Reds missed being a play by a cent, so: ML 2-1, RL 2-1.

                    8/10: Nats if >-165, Cardinals if >-142, Brewers if >-153.

                    BOL
                    Comment
                    • BennyFang
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-27-09
                      • 1412

                      #745
                      Cards & Brewers qualified: 1-1 ML, 1-1 RL.

                      8/11: Cardinals if >-145, Dodgers if >-170.

                      BOL
                      Comment
                      • BennyFang
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-27-09
                        • 1412

                        #746
                        1-1 ML, 1-1 RL

                        8/12: Cardinals if >-160, Phillies if favored, Rays if favored, Angels if favored.

                        BOL
                        Comment
                        • AceofSP2107
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-28-09
                          • 717

                          #747
                          Thanks fang for keeping up with this ..
                          Comment
                          • BennyFang
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-27-09
                            • 1412

                            #748
                            No problem. My plan is to track and play them until Labor Day.
                            Comment
                            • BennyFang
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-27-09
                              • 1412

                              #749
                              Sorry for the late post but none of the games have gone off yet.

                              ML 2-1, RL 1-2

                              8/13: Nats game 2 if >-155, Astros if >-115, Cubs if >-105

                              BOL
                              Comment
                              • BennyFang
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-27-09
                                • 1412

                                #750
                                ML 2-0, RL 1-1

                                2nd half: 64-52 (ML 36-22, RL 28-30)


                                8/14: A's if favored.


                                BOL
                                Comment
                                • BennyFang
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-27-09
                                  • 1412

                                  #751
                                  ML 0-1, RL 0-1

                                  8/15: Orioles if >-120, Padres if >-120.

                                  BOL
                                  Comment
                                  • Cranium
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-05-08
                                    • 363

                                    #752
                                    Thanks Fang, I appreciate it!
                                    Comment
                                    • BennyFang
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-27-09
                                      • 1412

                                      #753
                                      ML 1-0, RL 1-0

                                      8/16: Red Sox if >-150, Blue Jays if >-115, Astros if >-120, Pirates if favored, Royals if >-117, Mariners if >-112.

                                      BOL
                                      Comment
                                      • BennyFang
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-27-09
                                        • 1412

                                        #754
                                        Crazy night 4 out of 5 won by a run..... ML 5-0, RL 1-4

                                        8/17: Indians (gm 1) if >-167, Astros if >-160, Rockies if >-185, Yankees if >-155

                                        BOL
                                        Comment
                                        • BennyFang
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-27-09
                                          • 1412

                                          #755
                                          ML 2-0, RL 2-0

                                          8/18: no plays

                                          BOL
                                          Comment
                                          • kcchiefs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-05-13
                                            • 1104

                                            #756
                                            Anyone know ytd records on this? Just curius?
                                            Comment
                                            • BennyFang
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-27-09
                                              • 1412

                                              #757
                                              I've only tracked it 2nd half 76-58 (44-23 ML, 32-35 RL). Not tracking units but my guess is avg juice is around -140 on ML & +120 on RL. You'll have to scroll back for earlier results but I'm sure it's way in the plus for the year, esp after a 36-0 stretch in late June.
                                              Comment
                                              • schmidt32
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 08-08-17
                                                • 40

                                                #758
                                                Intriguing Thanks for the read
                                                Comment
                                                • BennyFang
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-27-09
                                                  • 1412

                                                  #759
                                                  8/19: Orioles if >-130, Mets if favored, Nationals if >-115.

                                                  BOL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BennyFang
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-27-09
                                                    • 1412

                                                    #760
                                                    ML 1-2, RL 1-2

                                                    8/20: Mets if >-110, Pirates if favored, Diamondbacks if >-145.

                                                    BOL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BennyFang
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-27-09
                                                      • 1412

                                                      #761
                                                      ML 1-1, RL 1-1

                                                      8/21: Angels if favored.

                                                      BOL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BennyFang
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-27-09
                                                        • 1412

                                                        #762
                                                        ML 0-1, RL 0-1

                                                        8/22: D'backs if >-130, Mariners if >-111, Twins if >-140, Angels if >-145, Brewers if >-120

                                                        BOL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BennyFang
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-27-09
                                                          • 1412

                                                          #763
                                                          ML 2-0, RL 2-0

                                                          8/23: Marlins if >-117, Indians if >-180, Yankees if >-185, Diamondbacks if >-165, Royals if >-125, Cardinals if >-170, Angels if >-150.

                                                          BOL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BennyFang
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-27-09
                                                            • 1412

                                                            #764
                                                            ML 1-1, RL 1-1 (Marlins & Yankees ended up being only two plays)

                                                            8/24: Marlins if >-123, Dodgers if >-160, Red Sox if favored, Twins if >-165.

                                                            BOL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BennyFang
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-27-09
                                                              • 1412

                                                              #765
                                                              ML 1-1, RL 0-2

                                                              8/25: Cubs if >-166.

                                                              BOL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BennyFang
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-27-09
                                                                • 1412

                                                                #766
                                                                ML 0-1, RL 0-1

                                                                8/26: Yankees if >-155, Cubs if >-200, Braves if >-120, Indians if >-135.

                                                                BOL
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BennyFang
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-27-09
                                                                  • 1412

                                                                  #767
                                                                  ML 2-0, RL 2-0

                                                                  8/27: Rockies if favored, Yankees if >-205, Indians if >-152, Rays if favored, Rangers if >-107, Astros if >-110.

                                                                  BOL
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BennyFang
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-27-09
                                                                    • 1412

                                                                    #768
                                                                    ML 4-0, RL 3-1

                                                                    8/28: Phillies if favored.

                                                                    BOL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thekoreanmang
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-17-14
                                                                      • 1422

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Awesome day yesterday! This system is so strong. When do you supposed it will begin to falter as we progress into September?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bryanoens
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 09-28-12
                                                                        • 224

                                                                        #770
                                                                        If I recall (without searching beggining posts) the beginning of the year is the worst. Gets better as the year progresses with july and Aug being Peak
                                                                        Comment
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