MLB 2017 Season Thread

**reesp18** · 05-27-17, 03:13 PM

Well first of all, thanks for following along and i'm happy to be helping.

Secondly the lines makers are definitely smarter and know what they are doing. It's is plain and simple about making a profit long term, so what they do is set a line that is gonna generate them money, rather then who is the actual favorite and better chance of winning, hope that make sense. That usually means getting 50% on one side and 50% on the other, so they can at least collect juice. That being said they certainly have a feel and the information that individually most of us don't have. Plus im sure algorithms and whatever else. So I really think they set the line high or low according to what the public is gonna eat up/who they think is gonna win.

So to put it more simple, each game is different, and i think they have a couple ways they like to move it. One is based on setting a line that the public eats, and then dropping it cuz of sharp action the other way. Or i think they will move the line and make it heavier for the side they think is gonna hit, just for the off chance it doesn't and they collect in the big picture of all the games that day. It's all about picking spots and following the lines almost for the whole series and seeing patterns. I don't now how to explain it on here that well. I hope you learned something though lol

**reesp18** · 05-27-17, 04:15 PM

5/27

Some more

LAD -111 1U

Nym/Pit Over 8 -115 3U

Atlanta +112 2U

Atlanta/Sf Over 7 1/2 -105 2U

GL

**Hof'16** · 05-27-17, 04:35 PM

Are your units to risk or to win

**reesp18** · 05-27-17, 04:56 PM

Originally posted by Hof'16

Are your units to risk or to win

Both i guess, so for instance a favorite of team A -150 3U is me betting 4.5 to win 3, but for dogs, it is for example team B +130 3U is 3U to win 3.9U, Does that make sense? So dogs always to risk, and faves are always to win on the unit size i put next it.

**Hof'16** · 05-27-17, 09:35 PM

Yeap. Bang on. Let's go braves!

**reesp18** · 05-27-17, 10:13 PM

Yes lets go braves, we need a little comeback here. I'm a little suprised just considering blach didnt start the year strong, but i know he has had a couple nice outing his last few times up. Hopefully he'll choke up

**reesp18** · 05-28-17, 01:42 AM

Week 8
Units +12.83
Record 23-16
Parlay Units +13.27
Parlay Record 1-4

**Hof'16** · 05-28-17, 09:00 AM

At least the over hit. Not a terrible day.

**reesp18** · 05-28-17, 10:51 AM

5/28

Miami +101 2U

Baltimore/Houston Over 8 1/2 +100 3U

KC +115 2U

Oakland/Nyy Over 8 1/2 +100 2U

Nym/Pitt Over 9 -110 2U

GL

I have 1 or maybe 2 parlays coming shortly also

**reesp18** · 05-28-17, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by Hof'16

At least the over hit. Not a terrible day.

thinking the same thing, coulda been better but coulda been worse. time to make money today!

**reesp18** · 05-28-17, 11:33 AM

ADD

Parlay #1 Toronto -167 & Oakland/Nyy Over 8 1/2 5U to win 10.99U

Parlay #2 Oakland +1 1/2 -150 & Miami +101 5U to win 11.75U

Parlay #3 Detroit -116 & Baltimore/Houston Over 8 1/2 -115 5U to win 12.40U

GL

**Jolly_Rancher** · 05-28-17, 11:35 AM

Keep up the great work. You've been one of the best. Do you keep up with how your sides and totals do individually?

**reesp18** · 05-28-17, 11:52 AM

Originally posted by Jolly_Rancher

Keep up the great work. You've been one of the best. Do you keep up with how your sides and totals do individually?

Hey thanks man! I have been thinking about going back and sorting everything one of these days, maybe during the all star break i'm thinking when there is more time between games. Thinking about sorting by team sides and totals

**Hof'16** · 05-28-17, 05:35 PM

Did you do nhl as well?

**Hof'16** · 05-28-17, 05:35 PM

Or any other sports for that matter.

**reesp18** · 05-28-17, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by Hof'16

Or any other sports for that matter.

Ya i love to bet NFL of course, also love to bet college football and college hoops especially. Also the nba, and maybe once in awhile nhl but not regularly as i do the others. I haven't kept a season thread for those sports yet, but i plan to this year. I feel like i do just as well or better with those also.

**reesp18** · 05-28-17, 11:28 PM

Week 8 Results
Units +17.85
Record 26-17
Parlay Units -1.73
Parlay Record 1-7

**reesp18** · 05-28-17, 11:34 PM

On the year:

Week 1 Units +25.05 Record 36-11
Week 2 Units +1.11 Record 23-28
Week 3 Units +.81 Record 11-12
Week 4 Units +15.45 Record 17-14 / Parlay Units +4.6 Parlay Record 2-2
Week 5 Units +9.75 Record 16-12 / Parlay Units -32.5 Parlay Record 1-5
Week 6 Units +9.16 Record 10-7 / Parlay Units +17.61 Parlay Record 2-2
Week 7 Units +1.45 Record 14-12 / Parlay Units -41.53 Parlay Record 0-7
Week 8 Units +17.85 Record 26-17 / Parlay Units -1.73 Parlay Record 1-7

Total Units (separate from parlay units) +80.63 Record 153-113

Total parlay Units -53.55 Record 6-23

Altogether Units +27.08 Record 159-136

**Hof'16** · 05-29-17, 06:51 AM

I find it amazing over 8 weeks you haven't had one losing week on individual plays. Usually after some big weeks cappers hit a rut. Not you. Outstanding!

**Hof'16** · 05-29-17, 07:17 AM

Happy Memorial Day from Canada!

**Hof'16** · 05-29-17, 09:12 AM

Lots of afternoon play today

**reesp18** · 05-29-17, 11:33 AM

5/29

Just to start off, got a late start to looking. One for the early game.

Nyy -105 2U

GL

Happy Memorial Day! Thank you to the veterans who serve and protect us each and every day past and present.

(will have some more plays coming shortly)

**reesp18** · 05-29-17, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by Hof'16

I find it amazing over 8 weeks you haven't had one losing week on individual plays. Usually after some big weeks cappers hit a rut. Not you. Outstanding!

Thanks man! That was my goal from the start, i should not of added parlays but i like them alot and can definitely turn those around. But yes the regular straight plays are hitting on the regular and that's kinda what i wanted to prove to myself. I can't wait to see how the other sports go with everyday tallying and records.

Also Happy Memorial Day to you also from Colorado!

**reesp18** · 05-29-17, 11:47 AM

5/29

Houston -116 3U

Houston/Minny Over 9 -110 3U

LAD +100 2U

LAD/St Louis Over 8 1/2 2U

SF ML +101 2U

Oakland/Cleveland Over 9 +100 2U

Detroit/KC Over 9 -110 2U

Atl/Laa Under 8 -120 3U

GL

**reesp18** · 05-29-17, 10:18 PM

Week 9
Units -1.9
Record 4-5
Parlay Units 0
Parlay Record 0-0

**reesp18** · 05-30-17, 04:10 PM

5/30

Colorado -144 2U

Colorado Under 11 -110 2U

Houston Over 9 -110 3U

Houston +105 3U

Miami -118 3U

Boston/Cws Over 7.5 -110 5U

Was/Sf Over 7.5 -110 5U

Atlanta/LAA Over 8 1/2 -120 3U

GL

**Hof'16** · 05-30-17, 10:35 PM

Man came close on Houston over. Come on nats over.

**reesp18** · 05-30-17, 10:44 PM

I think we got that man, wind blowing hard out and 1 more run by giants ties it, which means at least 7 if not more by nats in top half of innings.

**reesp18** · 05-30-17, 11:08 PM

there we go

**reesp18** · 05-30-17, 11:16 PM

Week 9
Units +12.15
Record 9-7
Parlay Units 0
Parlay Record 0-0

Houston/Minny total pushed at 9

**Hof'16** · 05-31-17, 05:49 AM

Yup beauty night again!

**Hof'16** · 05-31-17, 09:45 AM

Afternoon plays today?

**reesp18** · 05-31-17, 10:21 AM

5/31

I wanna switch it up today a little. Some RR parlay action for the morning.

Parlay #1 Arizona/Pittsburgh Over 8 1/2 -120 & Miami - 132 7.5U to win 16.66U

Parlay #2 Ari/Pit Over 8 1/2 & Houston/Minny Over 10 -120 7.5U to win 17.70U

Parlay #3 Miami -132 & Houston/Minny Over 10 -120 7.5U to win 16.66U

**grombom125** · 05-31-17, 10:41 AM

Love what you've been doing reesp. Been tailing you for awhile now. I thought you'd be taking Pitt ml today. Wondering why you chose the over instead.

**reesp18** · 05-31-17, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by grombom125

Love what you've been doing reesp. Been tailing you for awhile now. I thought you'd be taking Pitt ml today. Wondering why you chose the over instead.

A few reasons, the line moved in arizonas favor, Also i like Godley much better than Kuhl, also dbacks are better hitting team. Also to top it off dback playing good ball, rubbre game for series today, and rockies lost and dodgers won yesterday, so they need to win today to keep up, especially playing before the rox and dodgers.

Also i appreciate the love, thanks man.

GL