MLB 2nd Half Strategy - +318u last 3 years

[pm9964]

Does anyone else show there is a page 6 yet you cannot click on it? Post #200 is the last post I see?

[ledjend]

TODAY 7/31


- KC B bet - currently -111, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at -240 (707 est)
- TB A bet - currently +106, play Run Line +1.5 at -195 (710 est)
- Pit A bet - currently -129, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at -270 (710 est)
- NYY A bet - currently -120, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at -240 (810 est)


Good luck!



*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[ledjend]

Does anyone else show there is a page 6 yet you cannot click on it? Post #200 is the last post I see?

All good here.

[bob6199]

Pit is now a ML play

[ledjend]

Pit is now a ML play

Closed at -130 so would've been Alt Run Line. I was on Money Line too so thankfully they won.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 7/31

Flat Betting (Entered day 62-37, -4.24 u)

- TB +1.5 at -190 - Loss
- KC +1.5 at -210 - Win
- Pit +1.5 at -275 - Win
- NYY +1.5 at -260 - Win


3-1, +1.1 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 48-27, +5.56 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 17-11, -8.7 u

Year to date combined - 65-38, -3.14 u




Chase (Entered day 61-1, +44.5 u)

- TB A bet - Loss
- KC B bet - Win
- Pit A bet - Win
- NYY A bet - Win


Year to date - 64-1, +47.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/1


- KC A bet - currently +113, play Run Line +1.5 at -190 (107 est)
- TB B bet - currently +106, play Run Line +1.5 at -190 (135 est)
- CHW A bet - currently not listed yet (710 est)
- Cle A bet (vs Oak) - currently -120, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (905 est)


Anyone see that bottom 9 in Pitt game? Marte's a freak!!!

Early games, so early post.

Good luck!



*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[GSWarriorNation]

How do you determine which games to bet in the chase?

[Grivas_Digeni]

I believe he throws a dart. Or was it a coin toss?

[stickbit]

nice day work as always ledjend, thanks!

[ledjend]

I believe he throws a dart. Or was it a coin toss?

Rock, paper, scissors against myself.

[ledjend]

nice day work as always ledjend, thanks!

Thanks stick!

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/1

Flat Betting (Entered day 65-38, -3.14 u)

- TB +1.5 at -170 - Loss
- Cle +1.5 at -245 - Loss
- KC +1.5 at -178 - Win
- CHW +1.5 at -150 - Win


2-2, -2.15 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 50-28, +5.86 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 17-12, -11.15 u

Year to date combined - 67-40, -5.29 u




Chase (Entered day 64-1, +47.5 u)

- TB B bet - Loss
- Cle A bet (vs Oak) - Loss
- KC A bet - Win
- CHW A bet - Win


Year to date - 66-1, +49.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/2


- KC A bet (vs Tor) - currently +126, play Run Line +1.5 at -165 (107 est)
- Atl A bet - currently -122, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (135 est)
- TB C bet - currently not listed yet (135 est)
- Sea A bet - currently -126, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (210 est)
- Cle B bet (vs Oak) - currently +136, play Run Line +1.5 at -170 (405 est)


Side note - if you're interested in wishing you had 2 hrs of your life back, check out that new Mad Max movie...it'll do the trick!

Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[napalm33]

Thanks for the picks as always legend. Let's see if we keep the train rolling on C bets for the year. By the way I think yesterday's Tampa B bet was the B bet loss in about 2 weeks. Appreciate all your hard work sir. Bol

[benkyoq]

nice, Rays C bet is a winner, now I can go out and enjoy rest of the day

[stickbit]

[ledjend]

Thanks for the picks as always legend. Let's see if we keep the train rolling on C bets for the year. By the way I think yesterday's Tampa B bet was the B bet loss in about 2 weeks. Appreciate all your hard work sir. Bol

My pleasure buddy! Awesome to see that a few people are starting to make some money with these plays - makes me happy!

And yea - we had a streak of 9 straight B wins...last loss before yesterday was 7/22 on the Twins.

Good to have you on board!

[ledjend]

nice, Rays C bet is a winner, now I can go out and enjoy rest of the day

Haha - my feeling exactly!

[Can U Tank It]

great work. wish i had found you sooner.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/2

Flat Betting (Entered day 67-40, -5.29 u)

- KC +1.5 at -155 - Loss
- TB +1.5 at -190 - Win
- Atl +1.5 at -260 - Win
- Sea +1.5 at -300 - Win
- Cle +1.5 at -170 - Win


4-1, +2.45 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 52-29, +6.31 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 19-12, -9.15 u

Year to date combined - 71-41, -2.84 u




Chase (Entered day 66-1, +49.5 u)

- KC A bet (vs Tor) - Loss
- TB C bet - Win
- Atl A bet - Win
- Sea A bet - Win
- Cle B bet (vs Oak) - Win


Year to date - 70-1, +53.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

great work. wish i had found you sooner.

Average season over last 5 years has produced 134 units of profit using the chase method. Last year was +186. After today we're +53..5.

In other words, still plenty of money to be made - welcome aboard!

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/3


- Min B bet (vs Tor) - currently +185, play Run Line +1.5 at -110 (107 est)
- CHW A bet - currently -123, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (810 est)
- Sea A bet (vs Col) - currently -160, play Money Line (840 est)
- LAA A bet (vs Cle) - currently -115, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (1005 est)


Kudos to those of you who have been making money with this thread. I know there's a lot of people watching, but that's probably all most are doing - just watching.

So if you're someone who actually had the balls to pull the trigger and start punching tickets with these plays, you deserve to be recognized and I'd love to hear from you!.

And if you haven't yet, there's still time - but the clock's ticking.

Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[Slipknot26]

Punch dos tickets ledjend
Love the system , juice blows up front but it doesn't matter when you hit
So keep sending them out
Thank you as well

[VtecMouse]

What if my site doesn't have alternate run lines ??

[ledjend]

Punch dos tickets ledjend
Love the system , juice blows up front but it doesn't matter when you hit
So keep sending them out
Thank you as well

Exactly, Slip! The key is to look at it with an investor's mindset - think long term.

[ledjend]

What if my site doesn't have alternate run lines ??

If you're chasing, then you need to find a book that does. Last thing you want is to need the Alt Run Line in a C bet and not have it. I use sportsbetting.ag and youwager.eu - and there's plenty of others that offer them.

On the other hand, if you're just flat betting the games with less than -200 lines, then it doesn't matter.

[F42294]

I'm jumping in today. Missed the MIN game (maybe good I did) so starting with all A bets which is a good place to start I think.

Thanks for making this thread and sharing your picks.

[ledjend]

I'm jumping in today. Missed the MIN game (maybe good I did) so starting with all A bets which is a good place to start I think.

Thanks for making this thread and sharing your picks.

My pleasure man - welcome aboard!

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/3

Flat Betting (Entered day 71-41, -2.84 u)

- Min +1.5 at -110 - Loss
- CHW +1.5 at -200 - Win
- Sea at -169 - Win
- LAA +1.5 at -215 - Win


3-1, +1.9 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 53-30, +6.21 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 21-12, -7.15 u

Year to date combined - 74-42, -.94 u



Chase (Entered day 70-1, +53.5 u)

- Min B bet (vs Tor) - Loss
- CHW A bet - Win
- Sea A bet (vs Col) - Win
- LAA A bet (vs Cle) - Win


Year to date - 73-1, +56.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[TheEmu]

Longtime listener, first time caller here...kind of lol. Just wanted to say congratulations on the awesome performance, been watching since you first posted. Keep up the great work ledjend!

[VtecMouse]

Thanks for the insight, i started following you about 3 weeks ago jumped on board today, nice work in that time being!

[TheEmu]

One thing I must admit I have found to be a delight, is how often the alternate run-line of +1.5 actually comes into play, as it did today with the White Sox losing 5-4. I'm sure a lot of people simply look at it as "oh, he's just buying insurance as much as he can." But hey folks, look at it...he makes good use of it quite often. A system that features a ability to pinpoint the necessity of using the alternate runline AND efficiently makes use of the +1.5 purchase to get wins, that's pretty special imo

[ledjend]

Thanks for the insight, i started following you about 3 weeks ago jumped on board today, nice work in that time being!

Thanks Vtec and welcome!

[ledjend]

One thing I must admit I have found to be a delight, is how often the alternate run-line of +1.5 actually comes into play, as it did today with the White Sox losing 5-4. I'm sure a lot of people simply look at it as "oh, he's just buying insurance as much as he can." But hey folks, look at it...he makes good use of it quite often. A system that features a ability to pinpoint the necessity of using the alternate runline AND efficiently makes use of the +1.5 purchase to get wins, that's pretty special imo

Great post Emu - thanks for sharing your thoughts!