MLB 2nd Half Strategy - +318u last 3 years

[sportsbetter21]

TODAY 8/12


- Bal A bet - currently +120, play Run Line +1.5 at -190 (340 est)
- Phi B bet - currently +150, play Run Line +1.5 at -155 (340 est)
- Mia A bet (vs Bos) - currently +110, play Run Line +1.5 at -160 (410 est)
- NYY A bet - currently +120, play Run Line +1.5 at -200 (710 est)
- Min A bet (vs Tex) - currently -115, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (810 est)
- LAA C bet (vs CHW) - currently -120, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (810 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

An FYI
+1.5 is at -315 on heritage for the angels tonight
If my math is correct, risking 25 units riding on angels tonight alone
Angles win +1
Angles lose -35 units for series loss
lets get this

[benkyoq]

An FYI
+1.5 is at -315 on heritage for the angels tonight
If my math is correct, risking 25 units riding on angels tonight alone
Angles win +1
Angles lose -35 units for series loss
lets get this

Heritagesports is terrible for alternate lines, both Bovada and 5Dimes have Angels +1.5 at -260

[tr4sh]

am i the only one hoping the moneyline gets above -130? it's scary placing 25 units on a bet haha

[chief42]

I am hoping that moneyline goes above -130 too, but I am nervous about the Angels tonight and wouldn't mind adding the 1.5 to help us out. It is double the price to get that help though, but may be necessary considering how the Angels have been playing as of lately.
We did get the with the last 3 C bets, why not keep the broom out to finish the job tonight. BOL Gentleman

[tr4sh]

ok I can't watch this anymore haha... plz no backdoor crap...

[chief42]

not again!

[benkyoq]

aannd we survive the last C bet

[bryanoens]

[ledjend]

Nice wins yesterday
I know a cluster of C bets makes people real skiddish, myself included
But im only betting the c games so thanks for the wins/units

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GMSvcHwYcGw

Good movie.

[ledjend]

An FYI
+1.5 is at -315 on heritage for the angels tonight
If my math is correct, risking 25 units riding on angels tonight alone
Angles win +1
Angles lose -35 units for series loss
lets get this

Thank you for once again feeling the need to let everyone know how much is at stake. If my calculator ever breaks, I know I'm in good hands.

[ledjend]

am i the only one hoping the moneyline gets above -130? it's scary placing 25 units on a bet haha

Thankfully this did not happen.

[ledjend]

I am hoping that moneyline goes above -130 too, but I am nervous about the Angels tonight and wouldn't mind adding the 1.5 to help us out. It is double the price to get that help though, but may be necessary considering how the Angels have been playing as of lately.
We did get the with the last 3 C bets, why not keep the broom out to finish the job tonight. BOL Gentleman

Nastradamus in the flesh!

[ledjend]

aannd we survive the last C bet

That pretty much sums it up.

[ledjend]

Thanks for the compliment buddy, but I guarantee there's a lot of people who bailed on this thread over the last week. So make sure you give yourself credit for having the cojones to hang in.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/12

Flat Betting (Entered day 94-59, -10.87 u)

- Bal +1.5 at -210 - Loss
- Phi +1.5 at -150 - Win
- Mia+1.5 at -155 - Win
- NYY +1.5 at -195 - Win
- Min +1.5 at -190 - Win
- LAA +1.5 at -280 - Win5-1, +2.9 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 69-43, +1.23 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 30-17, -9.20 u

Year to date combined - 99-60, -7.97 u



Chase (Entered day 93-3, +39.5 u)

- Bal A bet - Loss
- Phi B bet - Win
- Mia A bet (vs Bos) - Win
- NYY A bet - Win
- Min A bet (vs Tex) - Win
- LAA C bet (vs CHW) - Win


Year to date - 98-3, +44.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/13


- Mil A bet - currently +201, play Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (220 est)
- KC A bet (vs LAA) - currently -100, play Run Line +1.5 at -160 (810 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[Grivas_Digeni]

I'm fully expecting a hat-eating video. Oh, and my bro banged your girlfriend. Sorry to tell you that mate

[sportsbetter21]

aannd we survive the last C bet

Bam!!!

[stacks on deck]

Thank you for once again feeling the need to let everyone know how much is at stake. If my calculator ever breaks, I know I'm in good hands.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/13

Flat Betting (Entered day 99-60, -7.97 u)

- Mil +1.5 at -125 - Loss
- KC +1.5 at -150 - Win


1-1, -.25 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 70-44, +.98 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 30-17, -9.20 u

Year to date combined - 100-61, -8.22 u



Chase (Entered day 98-3, +44.5 u)

- Mil A bet - Loss
- KC A bet (vs LAA) - Win


Year to date - 99-3, +45.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/14


- Bal B bet - currently -176, play Money Line (705 est)
- Sea A bet (vs Bos) - currently +108, play Run Line +1.5 at -180 (710 est)
- Mil B bet - currently -163, play Money Line (810 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/14

Flat Betting (Entered day 100-61, -8.22 u)

- Sea +1.5 at -175 - Loss
- Bal at -185 - Win
- Mil at -170 - Win


2-1, +.25 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 72-45, +1.23 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 30-17, -9.20 u

Year to date combined - 102-62, -7.97 u



Chase (Entered day 99-3, +45.5 u)

- Sea A bet (vs Bos) - Loss
- Bal B bet - Win
- Mil B bet - Win


Year to date - 101-3, +47.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/15


- Tor A bet - currently -120, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (107 est)
- Sea B bet (vs Bos) - currently -133, play Money Line (135 est)
- Sea A bet - currently -133, play Money Line (135 est)
- NYM A bet - currently -109, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (710 est)


Yes, Seattle should be played as 2 separate series.

Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[tr4sh]

this -300 alt run line on Mariner... and then felix lays an egg like that... painful

[pm9964]

Oh well, Seattle C bets coming up......part of it........

[Grivas_Digeni]

This Boston team is on a mission. Not sure what it is, exactly. But they are!

[ledjend]

this -300 alt run line on Mariner... and then felix lays an egg like that... painful

Very!

[ledjend]

Oh well, Seattle C bets coming up......part of it........

Hopefully just one.

[ledjend]

This Boston team is on a mission. Not sure what it is, exactly. But they are!

Their coach got diagnosed with lymphoma on Friday afternoon - did not have a filter in place for that one.

[stacks on deck]

Lets get the mets so we wont have 3 b bets an a c bet on the same day.

[tr4sh]

silly that mariners scored 10 and still couldnt cover the run line haha

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/15

Flat Betting (Entered day 102-62, -7.97 u)

- Sea +1.5 at -300 - Loss
- Sea +1.5 at -300 - Loss
- Tor +1.5 at -210 - Loss
- NYM +1.5 at -180 - Loss


0-4, -9.9 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 72-46, -.57 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 30-20, -17.3 u

Year to date combined - 102-66, -17.87 u



Chase (Entered day 101-3, +47.5 u)

- Sea B bet (vs Bos) - Loss
- Sea A bet - Loss
- Tor A bet - Loss
- NYM A bet - Loss


Year to date - 101-3, +47.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/16


- Tor B bet - currently -129, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (107 est)
- NYM B bet - currently -160, play Money Line (110 est)
- Bal A bet (vs Oak) - currently -165, play Money Line (135 est)
- Sea B bet - currently +115, play Run Line +1.5 at -170 (135 est)
- Sea C bet (vs Bos) - currently +115, play Run Line +1.5 at -170 (135 est)
- Tex A bet (vs TB) - currently -104, play Alt Run Line at not listed yet (305 est)


Hopefully today will be as good as yesterday was bad.

Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[tr4sh]

[ledjend]

Yea man - nice bounce back day!