MLB 2nd Half Strategy - +318u last 3 years

[chief42]

Anyone tracking this thread been keeping records of the A, B, C wins/losses as a running percentage?
Another C bet tomorrow, we need this to come through in a big way after the back to back C losses.

[sportsbetter21]

TODAY 8/27


No games today - big day Friday!

Chicago white sox vs seattle?
Game B?

[chief42]

series is vs Boston, whoever they play against

[sportsbetter21]

series is vs Boston, whoever they play against

I see
Thanks

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/28


- NYM B bet (vs Bos) - currently -199, play Money Line (710 est)
- NYY B bet - currently -220, play Money Line (735 est)
- Min C bet (vs Hou) - currently +119, play Run Line +1.5 at -140 (810 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[chief42]

1 C Bet down! 1 C bet due to Mets relief pitching coming right up!

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/28

Flat Betting (Entered day 126-82, -20.58 u)

- NYM at -196 - Loss
- NYY at -203 - Win
- Min +1.5 at -145 - Win


2-1, +.04 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 88-61, -9.09 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 40-22, -11.45 u

Year to date combined - 128-83, -20.54 u



Chase (Entered day 125-5, +35 u)

- NYM B bet (vs Bos) - Loss
- NYY B bet - Win
- Min C bet (vs Hou) - Win


Year to date - 127-5, +37 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/29


- NYM A bet - currently -195, play Money Line (405 est)
- NYM C bet (vs Bos) - currently -195, play Money Line (405 est)
- SF A bet (vs StL) - currently +102, play Run Line +1.5 at -165 (405 est)
- NYY A bet (vs Atl) - currently -195, play Money Line (710 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[Loder222]

deGrom what a idiot -,- 2 runs and where the f.. is offensive ... Again Mets stupid loses match Ihope they lose tomorrow morons

[bob6199]

-26.4 units on that loss. only up +10 now, what a swing lately....

[sportsbetter21]

Positive spin this is up 10 units if you started at day 1

[bryanoens]

You're optimistic sports better. It's been a bad couple weeks.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/29

Flat Betting (Entered day 128-83, -20.54 u)

- NYM at -193 - Loss
- NYM at -193 - Loss
- SF +1.5 at -130 - Loss
- NYY at -195 - Win


1-3, -4.16 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 89-64, -13.25 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 40-22, -11.45 u

Year to date combined - 129-86, -24.7 u



Chase (Entered day 127-5, +37 u)

- NYM C bet (vs Bos) - Loss...-202, -196, -193 = -25.19 (rounded to -25)
- NYM A bet - Loss
- SF A bet (vs StL) - Loss
- NYY A bet (vs Atl) - Win


Year to date - 128-6, +13 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

Obviously not a whole lot of room for error the rest of the way.

+13 units at this point of the season is far below expectations.

We need to go on a run - and it needs to happen now.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/30


- NYM B bet - currently -175, play Money Line (110 est)
- SF B bet (vs StL) - currently +104, play Run Line +1.5 at -165 (405 est)
- Ari A bet - currently -140, play Money Line (410 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[sportsbetter21]

Past numbers will be validated with upcoming results.

Anyone care to elaborate?
It's gotten rather quiet in here last few weeks

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/30

Flat Betting (Entered day 129-86, -24.7 u)

- SF +1.5 at -170 - Loss
- Ari +1.5 at -180 - Loss
- NYM at -158 - Win


1-2, -2.5 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 90-66, -15.75 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 40-22, -11.45 u

Year to date combined - 130-88, -27.2 u



Chase (Entered day 128-6, +13 u)

- Ari A bet - Loss
- SF B bet (vs StL) - Loss
- NYM B bet - Win


Year to date - 129-6, +14 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

Anyone care to elaborate?
It's gotten rather quiet in here last few weeks

I promised 100 units and we're sitting at +14 with just over 3 weeks left and a pending C bet - of course it's gonna be quiet dipshit.

[Grivas_Digeni]

It's always quiet, even after days when two C bets hit.

[sportsbetter21]

I promised 100 units and we're sitting at +14 with just over 3 weeks left and a pending C bet - of course it's gonna be quiet dipshit.

Remember saying this?
If you're in this thread right now but following someone else - I hope they're making you 100 units every 3 months. Because if they're not, and you still continue to follow them even after reading this - you're an idiot and you don't deserve money!

Need I say more?

[sportsbetter21]

It's always quiet, even after days when two C bets hit.

Ledjend makes brash promises when the going is good but resorts to name calling when things arent working out as expected.
He danced around answering how he came up with his impressive past results and asked people to follow him blindly promising he would lead them from rags to riches. He has seemed to forgotten the numerous times i have patted him on back for his consistent postings of plays and accurate record keeping, even the flat betting record which is at -27 units.

Just sayin, im just pointing the facts and looking for answers

[keel44]

I find this always happens, even with myself.
You find something good.....then you post on here.......and it fails.

[sportsbetter21]

Wouldn't go as far as saying this is a failure. It's in the positive 13 units. It's more of an accountability issue. Everyone was more than happy to crush my nuts when I was asking for hard data to support these claims
and well on its way to another +100 units, but now with after the over abundance of C bets, the maxed out amount of series losses now no one has anything to say. When ledjend says "look at the stats, this is a proven winner over the years, look how many units I've won....."
im looking at the stats and see this is currently well below the expected outcome, but not a complete failure.
maybe there are 100 more plays and will end up +113 this way everyone can benefit

[ledjend]

Ledjend makes brash promises when the going is good but resorts to name calling when things arent working out as expected.
He danced around answering how he came up with his impressive past results and asked people to follow him blindly promising he would lead them from rags to riches. He has seemed to forgotten the numerous times i have patted him on back for his consistent postings of plays and accurate record keeping, even the flat betting record which is at -27 units.

Just sayin, im just pointing the facts and looking for answers

Not true - I called you names when were +50 units, too.

Fact is, you're my least favorite type of person in this world - like that dude in 300 who gets killed by the wife.

I don't forget anything, which I why I called you a dipshit.

What answers would you like, dipshit?

[ledjend]

Wouldn't go as far as saying this is a failure. It's in the positive 13 units. It's more of an accountability issue. Everyone was more than happy to crush my nuts when I was asking for hard data to support these claims
and well on its way to another +100 units, but now with after the over abundance of C bets, the maxed out amount of series losses now no one has anything to say. When ledjend says "look at the stats, this is a proven winner over the years, look how many units I've won....."
im looking at the stats and see this is currently well below the expected outcome, but not a complete failure.
maybe there are 100 more plays and will end up +113 this way everyone can benefit

And here you go again - covering both sides of your ass.

I would have more respect for you if you just came in here and blasted me.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/31


- NYY A bet (vs Bos) - currently +102, play Run Line +1.5 at -205 (710 est)
- Mia A bet (vs Atl) - currently +108, play Run Line +1.5 at -210 (710 est)
- Hou A bet (vs Sea) - currently -215, play Money Line (810 est)
- Was C bet (vs StL) - currently +127, play Run Line +1.5 at -180 (815 est)
- Ari B bet - currently -110, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at -210 (840 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[sportsbetter21]

I read a book recently that talked about why we tend to focus more on negative things than positive. The author explained that the ancient part of our mind is built for survival. Focusing on negative rather than positive could potentially save your life.

It served a purpose back in the day when people would hear noises in the woods. If they ignored that noise and it turned out to be a mountain lion, regardless of the million good things that could've been happening in their lives at that moment, it wouldn't matter because they'd be dead.

I'm not going to tell you what the strategy is. Doesn't matter what the reason is - it's just what I've decided.

So it's up to you to figure out which part of your mind to listen to. Is the noise I'm making the sound of a mountain lion - or is the sound just similar to a mountain lion from your past?

Let me remind you how you answer questions in regards to your past numbers.

[sportsbetter21]

I don't need your respect, I want you to pick winners so I can profit
So quit crying and get back to work and improve your system.i was expecting to double my bankroll like you promised
So please deliver

QUOTE=ledjend;24449095]And here you go again - covering both sides of your ass.

I would have more respect for you if you just came in here and blasted me.[/QUOTE]

[ledjend]

Fair enough, dipshit.

[bryanoens]

I don't forget anything, which I why I called you a dipshit.

What answers would you like, dipshit?

EXCELLENT! Love it. Forget the hater who loves cockmeat sandwiches. Let's cash!

[sportsbetter21]

EXCELLENT! Love it. Forget the hater who loves cockmeat sandwiches. Let's cash!

Agreed, lets cash with all the swallowers, i mean followers
and please dont forget one of those cockmeat sandwiches for your mom. Tell her were out of the extra large dark meat.

[MMA_Oracle]

So now that this system has imploded, do you care to share what the parameters were as to who you bet on?

[funnyb25]

system looks like junk to me

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/31

Flat Betting (Entered day 130-88, -27.2 u)

- Was +1.5 at -190 - Loss
- NYY +1.5 at -170 - Win
- Mia +1.5 at -170 - Win
- Hou at -235 - Win
- Ari +1.5 at -210 - Win


4-1, +2.1 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 92-67, -15.65 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 42-22, -9.45 u

Year to date combined - 134-89, -25.1 u



Chase (Entered day 129-6, +14 u)

- Was C bet (vs StL) - Loss...-140, -170, -190 = -17.79 (rounded to -18)
- NYY A bet (vs Bos) - Win
- Mia A bet (vs Atl) - Win
- Hou A bet (vs Sea) - Win
- Ari B bet - Win


Year to date - 133-7, +0 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[Ebe]