MLB 2nd Half Strategy - +318u last 3 years

[jeffjam_]

One thing I don't understand is why this system picked to go against the best team (Blue Jays) in baseball right now even if it was the bet on Yankees. That's mind boggling.

[whydubya]

One thing I don't understand is why this system picked to go against the best team (Blue Jays) in baseball right now even if it was the bet on Yankees. That's mind boggling.

Also hard to justify starting a new series on SD when they're on a 6 game losing streak. Same can be said about the Twins yesterday when they're 2-8 in their last 10. Guess it's a system and you "have" to play it based on historical trends. We just don't know what the system is..hopefully there's some continued refinement here.

[sportsbetter21]

if this goes as planned and we make a killing, will you eat your hat with no salt and upload a video?

And if it doesnt go as planned?
snap your fingers and say "better luck next time?"

[sportsbetter21]

Also hard to justify starting a new series on SD when they're on a 6 game losing streak. Same can be said about the Twins yesterday when they're 2-8 in their last 10. Guess it's a system and you "have" to play it based on historical trends. We just don't know what the system is..hopefully there's some continued refinement here.

Im not using this as an opportunity to say "i told you so"
But i asked this question the first week it came out and I got nothing short of getting my head slammed into the wall with everyone and their grandmother calling me a "hater", but its his right to keep the parameters to himself.
Best case scenario and all those C bets win, the padres win, and no more bets agasint the blue jays and all if find and dandy, but this will come at a price for there are a few here who will point the finger and demand why are you questioning the validity of these picks because they are free, they win and how dare you question anything?
On the flip side, if this tanks, I want those same people (and I will call you out by name) to give an explanation of how this system failed and how much money you lost.
Legend, none of this directed at you. You have stood your ground and I respect that.
Good luck on this tough stretch

[Grivas_Digeni]

And if it doesnt go as planned?
snap your fingers and say "better luck next time?"

ask for your money back

[rsk]

TODAY 8/10


- NYM A bet - currently -196, play Money Line (710 est)
- LAA A bet (vs CHW) - currently +121, play Run Line +1.5 at -190 (810 est)
- SD A bet (vs Cin) - currently -148, play Money Line (1010 est)
- SD C bet - currently -148, play Money Line (1010 est)
- LAD A bet - currently -137, play Money Line (1010 est)
- Bal A bet - currently -120, play Alt Run Line at -240 (1010 est)


Good luck!

thanks for sharing your picks!

i have a question.
on 8/8 the SD A bet had (vs PHI) remark, that means the series started fading PHI, right?
in this case there is no SD C bet today but it should be ARI C bet (vs PHI)?

[ledjend]

Great system if you love action today-I do bol legend

Thanks B.OA!

[ledjend]

If this somehow starts to fail, would you then be interested in telling us how you came up with the plays?

Let's see what happens first.

[ledjend]

if this goes as planned and we make a killing, will you eat your hat with no salt and upload a video?

Lol.

[ledjend]

One thing I don't understand is why this system picked to go against the best team (Blue Jays) in baseball right now even if it was the bet on Yankees. That's mind boggling.

Also hard to justify starting a new series on SD when they're on a 6 game losing streak. Same can be said about the Twins yesterday when they're 2-8 in their last 10. Guess it's a system and you "have" to play it based on historical trends. We just don't know what the system is..hopefully there's some continued refinement here.

Always easier to play QB on Monday morning.

[ledjend]

thanks for sharing your picks!

i have a question.
on 8/8 the SD A bet had (vs PHI) remark, that means the series started fading PHI, right?
in this case there is no SD C bet today but it should be ARI C bet (vs PHI)?

The C bet is ON SD tonight.

The original post was my mistake - sorry for the confusion.

[ledjend]

Legend, none of this directed at you. You have stood your ground and I respect that.
Good luck on this tough stretch

Thank you! Good luck to us all!

[stacks on deck]

Ok boys. This is what seasons are made of.

[MMA_Oracle]

@ledjend

congrats on your C bet today. i never figured out a way i could fade your picks other than just making single bets so i stayed away. i want to see this succeed. good luck with your plays tomorrow

[stacks on deck]

Ok boys. This is what seasons are made of.

Boom. Thank you Justin upton. One down. Like 4 big chases to go. This is a big next couple of days.

[benkyoq]

1 down, 2 more C bet to go. Hope Yankees and Twins get their shit together

[MMA_Oracle]

1 down, 2 more C bet to go. Hope Yankees and Twins get their shit together

I believe both C bets tomorrow will be on the Yankees. He's betting on the Yankees for one C bet and fading the Indians in the other C bet

[ledjend]

@ledjend

congrats on your C bet today. i never figured out a way i could fade your picks other than just making single bets so i stayed away. i want to see this succeed. good luck with your plays tomorrow

Thanks Oracle!

[ledjend]

Boom. Thank you Justin upton. One down. Like 4 big chases to go. This is a big next couple of days.

No style points on that one - but a win's a win. Def big night tonight!

[ledjend]

1 down, 2 more C bet to go. Hope Yankees and Twins get their shit together

You and me both!

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/10

Flat Betting (Entered day 85-55, -11.87 u)

- LAA +1.5 at -190 - Loss
- LAD +1.5 at -215 - Loss
- NYM at -153 - Win
- Bal +1.5 at -260 - Win
- SD at -136 - Win
- SD at -136 - Win


4-2, -.05 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 62-42, -4.52 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 27-15, -7.40 u

Year to date combined - 89-57, -11.92 u



Chase (Entered day 84-3, +30.5 u)

- LAA A bet (vs CHW) - Loss
- LAD A bet - Loss
- NYM A bet - Win
- Bal A bet - Win
- SD C bet - Win
- SD A bet (vs Cin) - Win


Year to date - 88-3, +34.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/11


- NYY C bet - currently +106, play Run Line +1.5 at -205 (710 est)
- NYY C bet (vs Cle) - currently +106, play Run Line +1.5 at -205 (710 est)
- LAA B bet (vs CHW) - currently -125, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at -260 (810 est)
- Min B bet - currently -105, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at -205 (810 est)
- Stl A bet - currently -155, play Money Line (815 est)
- Phi A bet - currently +152, play Run Line at -145 (940 est)
- LAD B bet - currently -175, play Money Line (1010 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[tr4sh]

oh wow, didnt realize both C bets would be on yankees. let's hope Carrasco is off tonight

[Grivas_Digeni]

i predict many 1-run games today. good luck to those who tail this

[sportsbetter21]

How many total units on yankees -1.5 today?

[bryanoens]

Nothing on -1.5....the bet is on +1.5. Be careful

[stacks on deck]

geez. nyy get shit together.. get this dude out of here. 5 hits in 2 innings.

[sportsbetter21]

Nothing on -1.5....the bet is on +1.5. Be careful

Sorry thats what I meant.
Relax everyone, Yanks are "winning"

[MMA_Oracle]

i bet everyone tailing was shitting bricks early in the game. glad your two C bets hit today, one more tomorrow. BOL Ledjend

[ledjend]

i bet everyone tailing was shitting bricks early in the game. glad your two C bets hit today, one more tomorrow. BOL Ledjend

Early in the game was actually cake compared to extra innings. Every time Cleveland gets a base runner you're thinking 2 run jack. That was the real torture.

Glad we pulled it out, but like you said - not out of the woods yet.

[ledjend]

YESTERDAY 8/11

Flat Betting (Entered day 89-57, -11.92 u)

- LAA +1.5 at -270 - Loss
- Phi +1.5 at -125 - Loss
- NYY +1.5 at -210 - Win
- NYY +1.5 at -210 - Win
- Min +1.5 at -185 - Win
- StL at -145 - Win
- LAD at -184 - Win


5-2, +1.05 u on day

Year to date only -199 lines and below - 65-43, -2.77 u
Year to date only -200 lines and above - 29-16, -8.10 u

Year to date combined - 94-59, -10.87 u



Chase (Entered day 88-3, +34.5 u)

- LAA B bet (vs CHW) - Loss
- Phi A bet - Loss
- NYY C bet - Win
- NYY C bet (vs Cle) - Win
- Min B bet - Win
- StL A bet - Win
- LAD B bet - Win


Year to date - 93-3, +39.5 u


Important Note: As of 7/23, lines of -200 or greater I have not been flat betting - but I continue to keep records for both: 1) for those of you who still are, and 2) to see whether that decision will turn out to be profitable or not.

[tr4sh]

That was a sweat but good day for us. Now just need Angels to take care of business and we're back on track

[Can U Tank It]

Early in the game was actually cake compared to extra innings. Every time Cleveland gets a base runner you're thinking 2 run jack. That was the real torture.

boy o boy isnt that the truth. whew!!

[ledjend]

TODAY 8/12


- Bal A bet - currently +120, play Run Line +1.5 at -190 (340 est)
- Phi B bet - currently +150, play Run Line +1.5 at -155 (340 est)
- Mia A bet (vs Bos) - currently +110, play Run Line +1.5 at -160 (410 est)
- NYY A bet - currently +120, play Run Line +1.5 at -200 (710 est)
- Min A bet (vs Tex) - currently -115, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (810 est)
- LAA C bet (vs CHW) - currently -120, play Alt Run Line +1.5 at not listed yet (810 est)


Good luck!


*IMPORTANT: Be sure to monitor the lines on Covers.com and wait as long as you can to place your action. Closing lines of -130 or lower should be made on the Run Line/Alternate Run Line.

[sportsbetter21]

Nice wins yesterday
I know a cluster of C bets makes people real skiddish, myself included
But im only betting the c games so thanks for the wins/units

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GMSvcHwYcGw