2015 SDQL Baseball Thread

**posey** · 04-25-15, 08:57 AM

AD and DIV and game number < 40 and STDSERA > 4.7 and o:STDSERA > 4.7 and league = AL
SU:	64-51 (0.66, 55.7%)	avg line: 134.5 / -146.9	on / against: +$3,705 / -$4,517	ROI: +31.9% / -26.5%
RL:	63-17 (2.25, 78.8%)	avg line: -153.7 / 139.6	on / against: +$3,748 / -$3,971	ROI: +30.1% / -48.3%
OU:	53-55-8 (0.25, 49.1%)	avg total: 9.2	over / under: -$670 / -$300	ROI: -5.3% / -2.3%

Stros.

**Alex Vaile** · 04-25-15, 09:35 AM

Season to date: 10-6 + 4.48 units
Yesterday's results : 2-1 for + 1.12 units
Phillies and Marlins winners, Brewers losers and Royals postponed

**bking79** · 04-25-15, 10:00 AM

i think either strasburg or wainwrite get lit up today

**bking79** · 04-25-15, 10:01 AM

cards line droppin to -136 from 150

**bking79** · 04-25-15, 10:03 AM

the umpire in the cardinals and nationals games are 3-0 to the DOGS i looked it up

**Alex Vaile** · 04-25-15, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by bking79

the umpire in the cardinals and nationals games are 3-0 to the DOGS i looked it up

I like your thinking on the ump angle but 3 and 0 not many games to back it up. That said I like Strasburg to lose too. Good luck.

**Alex Vaile** · 04-25-15, 10:52 AM

Today's plays:

Play White Sox +110
Play Phillies + 107
Play Brewers +134
Play Marlins +140

HD and tA(W) < .42 and month < 7 and division = o:division. This query has been hot this season so I continue to ride it.

**bking79** · 04-25-15, 11:06 AM

good luck alex!

**posey** · 04-25-15, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by Alex Vaile

Today's plays:

Play White Sox +110
Play Phillies + 107
Play Brewers +134
Play Marlins +140

HD and tA(W) < .42 and month < 7 and division = o:division. This query has been hot this season so I continue to ride it.

Agree with you here, there are other queries which support this.

**Alex Vaile** · 04-25-15, 12:41 PM

[QUOTE=bking79;23921043]good luck alex![/Quote

Let's have a winning day!

**Alex Vaile** · 04-25-15, 12:42 PM

Originally posted by posey

3 winners and only 1 loser yesterday.

Solid day Posey! Let's keep it going!

**Alex Vaile** · 04-25-15, 06:20 PM

Marlins crushing!

**Alex Vaile** · 04-25-15, 09:47 PM

Season to date : 11-8 + 3.88 units
Today's results: 1-2 for - .6 units
Marlins winners, Phillies and Brewers losers and White Sox postponed again

**mdunlap3** · 04-25-15, 10:29 PM

Nats offense just pitiful

**Alex Vaile** · 04-26-15, 01:11 AM

Sunday's plays:

Play Over 7.5 even Nats vs Marlins

H and total<=7 and day=Sunday and STDSWHIP<=1.05 and conference=NL and SG>2 (JMon)

This is a contrarian play as these 2 teams are heavy to the under after shutting out and being shut out respectively I just think these teams are due for a good scoring battle and this query supports that.

**Alex Vaile** · 04-26-15, 01:37 AM

Sunday's plays:

Play White Sox + 110

HD and tA(W) < .42 and month < 7 and division = o:division

Play Marlins +112

H and p:margin >= 3 and op:runs = 0 and WP < 60 and o:WP > 38.5 and line > -230 and conference = o:conference and (month != 7 and month != 8) and 2008 <= season and SG > 1 and total > 6.5 (JMon)

**posey** · 04-26-15, 03:44 AM

I gonna look up at how much units I stand since starting to post here. Had another positive day yesterday (posted queries went 2-0, 1 push) and my queries are 5-1. Gonna start querying now.

**posey** · 04-26-15, 04:39 AM

To make it clear, I used the closing odds here for the first few games. Risking 1 u each pick (NOT to win).

4/24
Mariners -195 W +0.51 u (nearly forgot it)
Marlins +103 W +1.03 u
Dodgers -117 W +0.85 u
Giants -123 L -1.00 u
Boston -112 W +0.89 u

4/25
Marlins +135 W +1.35 u
White Sox PPD 0.00 u
Astros +104 W +1.04 u

6-1, +4.67 u.

**posey** · 04-26-15, 04:51 AM

*Nationals -109 (*I don't play it because it conflicts with another query which supports the Marlins)
Indians -111

**posey** · 04-26-15, 04:53 AM

White Sox +115

**posey** · 04-26-15, 05:02 AM

Giants @ Rockies Under +110

**posey** · 04-26-15, 05:17 AM

Astros +143

**posey** · 04-26-15, 05:30 AM

Blue Jays @ Rays Under 7.5 -119
Rangers @ Angels Under 8 -105

**bking79** · 04-26-15, 05:59 AM

D and p:margin = -1 and month = 4 and season >= 2006 diamond backs and redsox

**bking79** · 04-26-15, 06:30 AM

marlins were a good win for us phillies relievers killed that game but jerome williams has been money for me when he pitches at home

**bking79** · 04-26-15, 06:44 AM

Kyle Gibson will be on the mound for the Twins. Once again I'll be going with Gibson coming off a poor start. It seems to be working for me since last year, so why stop now. We also have a few other things going for us in this game. Gibson already seems to pitch well against Seattle. His 2 start last year vs. Seattle both wins, 6in, 7h & 0r and 7in, 6h & 1r. The funny part is, he was coming off poor starts in both of those games.
Seattle will be calling up Roenis Elias from Tacoma (AAA) for his first start this season. While down in AAA he started 3 games, getting drilled in all of them (8.04era). In his last start on Monday night he was leaving the ball over the middle of the plate that left the park (2HRs). He also faced the Twins twice last year, going 10.1in 13h & giving up 11runs.
Also look for the Twins leadoff hitter Brian Dozier to have a good game, he seems to be heating up right now. Brian also hit Elias pretty well last season going 4-5 with 2 doubles & a HR.

**posey** · 04-26-15, 06:48 AM

Originally posted by bking79

D and p:margin = -1 and month = 4 and season >= 2006 diamond backs and redsox

Only to add to it: home dogs are +3.1% ROI, AD are +19.6% in this situation.
When you add 'SG > 1' to the query you get an overall ROI of +20.7% (HD +13.1%, AD +23.1%).

Red Sox are listed as a dog at killersports, but Pinnacle has them as clear favs.

**bking79** · 04-26-15, 06:55 AM

wow there turning around to the favorite yikes diamond backs are in there to what do yu think about dbacks today POSEY

**posey** · 04-26-15, 07:56 AM

I haven't picked it yet but it is not too unlikely that I will pull the trigger ond Dbags.

**bking79** · 04-26-15, 08:27 AM

Ya i like loriano to get lit up dbags hit leftys good

**bking79** · 04-26-15, 09:15 AM

Friers has good numbers verse cards bats today

**Alex Vaile** · 04-26-15, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by bking79

Friers has good numbers verse cards bats today

Lots of good queries to start the day. Hard to take Brewers who are listed in one of my queries too. They are so bad even if Fiers has decent numbers.

**bking79** · 04-26-15, 10:06 AM

Hey alex goodmornin bro what query has brewers has it been good

**Alex Vaile** · 04-26-15, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by bking79

Hey alex goodmornin bro what query has brewers has it been good

HD and tA(W) < .42 and month < 7 and division = o:division

Ya its been solid but brewers have only won 1 out of 3 so far in it.

**bking79** · 04-26-15, 10:14 AM

yu think miami continues with the sweep ?