2014 MLB thread with friends

[mikmik]

Coin like I said you are top 3 capper on here. Thanks for all you do.

[No coincidences]

I think my card is done. Don't really see anything else I'm interested in.

[No coincidences]

Coin like I said you are top 3 capper on here. Thanks for all you do.

Appreciate the kind words. I don't agree, but it's nice to hear that. Thanks.

[mikmik]

Bro just wanted to give credit where credit is due.

[EVfollower]

Agree with mikmik on top 3 around here. You, hardcoar (tennis betting forum), bigpage25 all do really well. Cappinterp is doing really well too but he is on hot streak so we'll see. You guys all show how varying units wagered per bet is better than just flat betting.

[mikmik]

Your records show on all sports

[Tommy Karate]

Appreciate the kind words. I don't agree, but it's nice to hear that. Thanks.

humble...i like it.

stop thinking cappers who come and go/no transparency are better then you....

[RavensFan2k3]

Agree with mikmik on top 3 around here. You, hardcoar (tennis betting forum), bigpage25 all do really well. Cappinterp is doing really well too but he is on hot streak so we'll see. You guys all show how varying units wagered per bet is better than just flat betting.

I have to agree. t-bone and leetreaper should be added to make a top 5

[mikmik]

Boom yanks under

[No coincidences]

7-2, +8.8U today
117-105, +26.97U thread

[No coincidences]

Looking at Cubs FF and FG, Twins and Fish for Thursday.

[No coincidences]

Looking at Cubs FF and FG, Twins and Fish for Thursday.

Edit: not sure on Cubs. I was capping Shark vs. Lynn. I see it's going to be Hammel vs. Wacha because of the rainout.

[Anish]

No Coincidences, congratulations on the win streak. I've been checking this thread for a few weeks and tailed your CWS pick today for 15 units. Just created an account to say thanks and that you have a unique betting style that most people disagree with, but works in the long run. I'm surprised your unit size is so small, you're clearly a great capper. Cheers.

[No coincidences]

No Coincidences, congratulations on the win streak. I've been checking this thread for a few weeks and tailed your CWS pick today for 15 units. Just created an account to say thanks and that you have a unique betting style that most people disagree with, but works in the long run. I'm surprised your unit size is so small, you're clearly a great capper. Cheers.[ATTACH]68655[/ATTACH]

Wow -- that's outstanding. Congratulations.

I appreciate the kind words. I could definitely consider upping my unit size to $40 or $50 per, and probably will if I can find a way to be more selective. I make a TON of plays, which probably isn't the smartest thing to do, but that increases my overall "risked" amount so much that I can't really comfortably afford to get into the $50 per unit range and still call this a hobby.

I do love seeing when other bettors tail for $100 a unit or whatever -- I remember getting a few PM's from guys who used my plays last year and wound up in the black around the $5-10,000 range. That's great. I just hope I can keep things up for what has been a pretty good two-year stretch for me overall.

[No coincidences]

2014 MLB thread with friends

+26.97 in 2014 MLB.

2013-14 NBA picks

+56.94U in 2013-14 NBA.

2013-14 NFL picks

+81.8U in 2013-14 NFL.

2013 NCAA Football thread

-17.55U in 2013-14 college football.

2013-14 NCAA Hoops thread

-8.79U in 2013-14 NCAA hoops.

2013 MLB thread

+93.6U in 2013 MLB.

2012-13 NCAA hoop picks

-25.66U in 2012-13 NCAA hoops.

2012-13 NBA Picks

+1.5U in 2012-13 NBA.

2012-13 NFL picks

+28.73U in 2012-13 NFL.

2012 NCAA picks

+10.03U in 2012-13 NCAA football.

+247.57U total in all sports since the start of the '12 football season.

[mikmik]

Dude you have nothing to prove to anyone lol. Like I said top 3.

[mikmik]

Keep what you do. I thank you from the bottom of my heart. You, lucky1g leet, and recently ck have made me a ton of money.

[No coincidences]

The above threads account for roughly 3,700 plays in the last 21 months. At 1.5U per play (estimate) and $20 per unit, that's well over $100,000 of action during that period of time.

And that, my friends, is why I keep my plays at $20 per unit.



Again, is it the most efficient way to gamble? Hell no. Would I be better of being more selective and focusing on quantity over quality? Wouldn't we all? I am still way too addicted to the capping and action side of sports betting to take that "next step," which would be to pick and choose my spots more and increase my unit size.

It is what it is. I'm just being honest. And I guess if I were doing this for a living or money I truly needed, I'd probably do just that. As it stands, though, I'm a recreational gambler doing this because I love to do it -- not because I'm trying to make a living at it.

[No coincidences]

Keep what you do. I thank you from the bottom of my heart. You, lucky1g leet, and recently ck have made me a ton of money.

That's great to hear. I'll do my best.

[Anish]

Wow -- that's outstanding. Congratulations.

I appreciate the kind words. I could definitely consider upping my unit size to $40 or $50 per, and probably will if I can find a way to be more selective. I make a TON of plays, which probably isn't the smartest thing to do, but that increases my overall "risked" amount so much that I can't really comfortably afford to get into the $50 per unit range and still call this a hobby.

I do love seeing when other bettors tail for $100 a unit or whatever -- I remember getting a few PM's from guys who used my plays last year and wound up in the black around the $5-10,000 range. That's great. I just hope I can keep things up for what has been a pretty good two-year stretch for me overall.

That's great, man. Good luck and there's no doubt in my mind you'll have a season well in the black. You HAVE to take dogs in this sport, often and confidently.

[Anish]

The above threads account for roughly 3,700 plays in the last 21 months. At 1.5U per play (estimate) and $20 per unit, that's well over $100,000 of action during that period of time.

And that, my friends, is why I keep my plays at $20 per unit.



Again, is it the most efficient way to gamble? Hell no. Would I be better of being more selective and focusing on quantity over quality? Wouldn't we all? I am still way too addicted to the capping and action side of sports betting to take that "next step," which would be to pick and choose my spots more and increase my unit size.

It is what it is. I'm just being honest. And I guess if I were doing this for a living or money I truly needed, I'd probably do just that. As it stands, though, I'm a recreational gambler doing this because I love to do it -- not because I'm trying to make a living at it.

Welp, that answers the unit size question LOL.

[fitguy67]

You guys all show how in the right hands varying units wagered per bet is can be better than just flat betting.

there, fixed it...

problem is, it's hard to find those right hands (such as those singled out for praise on this page, including NC)...unfortunately, it's far easier to find the wrong hands, in which the freedom to vary bet-sizes is like the freedom to ingest (& recommend daily amounts to others) of crack cocaine.

[KimJongStern]

The above threads account for roughly 3,700 plays in the last 21 months. At 1.5U per play (estimate) and $20 per unit, that's well over $100,000 of action during that period of time.

And that, my friends, is why I keep my plays at $20 per unit.



Again, is it the most efficient way to gamble? Hell no. Would I be better of being more selective and focusing on quantity over quality? Wouldn't we all? I am still way too addicted to the capping and action side of sports betting to take that "next step," which would be to pick and choose my spots more and increase my unit size.

It is what it is. I'm just being honest. And I guess if I were doing this for a living or money I truly needed, I'd probably do just that. As it stands, though, I'm a recreational gambler doing this because I love to do it -- not because I'm trying to make a living at it.

I'm sure you've thought of this but why not take advantage when your red hot and grow your unit temporarily to cash in and then shrink your unit back down to its original size?

[Pauulzcappin]

Keep killing it coiner.

[Smutbucket]

Keep up the good work coin but I think ur 1.5 unit per bet estimate is a little generously low...keeping accurate records of bet sizes is of utmost importance in handicapping....I'd much rather tail someone +20 units that's betting 1 unit a game and a max bet of 2 units then someone up +50 units but with a much higher bet size average of 5 including some large chase max bets of 20+ units....its all about money management and in my opinion even if you really really love an edge it shouldn't be more than 3 x your average bet size ….

[Down_Goes Bookie]

way to go Coin...

[RavensFan2k3]

Coin you see the craziness with this Cin/SD line? Yesterday opened around -160-170 for the Reds. Went as low wasv- -138. Gsme gets canceled...now its -118. Whaa?

[whtsox13]

Coin you see the craziness with this Cin/SD line? Yesterday opened around -160-170 for the Reds. Went as low wasv- -138. Gsme gets canceled...now its -118. Whaa?

Seeing Reds at -155 on 5Dimes I'd like the -118 please where is that?

[Big Bear]

I'm sure you've thought of this but why not take advantage when your red hot and grow your unit temporarily to cash in and then shrink your unit back down to its original size?

lol grow your unit and then let it shrink back down

[No coincidences]

Keep up the good work coin but I think ur 1.5 unit per bet estimate is a little generously low...keeping accurate records of bet sizes is of utmost importance in handicapping....I'd much rather tail someone +20 units that's betting 1 unit a game and a max bet of 2 units then someone up +50 units but with a much higher bet size average of 5 including some large chase max bets of 20+ units....its all about money management and in my opinion even if you really really love an edge it shouldn't be more than 3 x your average bet size ….

You're probably right re: average bet size. It would be interesting to see what that # actually is. I almost never go above 4U, though I have had an occasional "big" play. Of course for me, a 10U play is only $200, where to someone tailing me at $100 per unit would be investing a grand in that play. Again, those plays can be counted on two hands during the last two years, but I have made a few of them. So in actuality, my amount invested is probably closer to $200,000 total in the last two years than $100,000.

[No coincidences]

I'm sure you've thought of this but why not take advantage when your red hot and grow your unit temporarily to cash in and then shrink your unit back down to its original size?

Because no one really knows when they'll get "hot" vs. when variance starts kicking them in the teeth. You can chase your streak either way, but that's not a very sound betting strategy long term -- whether your winning or losing. At least to me.

[RavensFan2k3]

Seeing Reds at -155 on 5Dimes I'd like the -118 please where is that?

-145 now. The linemovement these past 2 days for this game have been weird

[No coincidences]

Keep killing it coiner.

way to go Coin...

Thanks, fellas.

[No coincidences]

-145 now. The linemovement these past 2 days for this game have been weird

I don't generally like to bet doubleheaders. Never really know re: lineups, motivation, etc. I tend to just leave them alone.

[mikmik]

Coin thanks for all the insight.