MLB - Situation Plays - SDQL

[Alex Vaile]

Sorry, I posted it a minute after they announced. Doesn't look like Mariners roof will be closed. It rarely is

I got on it otunj. Thanks I was sweating it a bit there but nice plays today!
Hope u tailed under in giants and under in phillies as those cashed too. What a day!

[Alex Vaile]

[QUOTE=JMon;22135391]ugh missed it, hope it hits for u

Detroit looking solid so far

[FIRSTand13]

The z-value measures the likelihood that an observed event would occur due only to chance. The larger the z-value, the less likely it is that chance alone would cause the event. A z-value of 2 or larger is typically called "statistically significant" -- the likelihood is less than 5% that chance would cause such an event. A z-value of 3 or larger indicates that the likelihood is less than three in a thousand that chance would cause the observed event.

Sounds very interesting, how is this value determined?

[Alex Vaile]

3 and 0 today for + 3 units.
15 and 4 on posted plays
+ 10.95 units

Another good day even better with our community queries pulling through. Thanks guys. Keep it rolling

[JMon]

[otunj]

H and series game=series games=3 and temperature=Indoors and season=2014

Play the under on indoor games that are 3rd game of 3 game series.
2014 results: 14-28-3 (ROI 25.3%)

both plays were wins yesterday

Today's play:
Astros U8

roof will be closed

[JMon]

line<= 235 and p: DIV and D and p:W and o:WP>=40 and o:WP<=50 and total<11 and DIV

Marlins

[JMon]

Giants solid at home after shutting out a division rival

H and team=Giants and po:runs=0 and p: DIV and SG<4

[Alex Vaile]

season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak
> -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16
> op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and
os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11
and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and
team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors +
pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and
(op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors +
opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)


First posted play 6/26:

Under 6.5 Cards vs Dodgers

Thanks for the plays guys!

[emceeaye]

under play posted in another thread

STR and o:STR and s:margin = -1 and s:streak = 2 and s:biggest lead < 3 and s:errors < 2 and -9 < p:M8 < 3 and p:M8 != -2 and -4 < p:M1 < 3

[otunj]

H and series game=series games=3 and temperature=Indoors and season=2014

Play the under on indoor games that are 3rd game of 3 game series.
2014 results: 14-28-3 (ROI 25.3%)

both plays were wins yesterday

Today's play:
Astros U8

roof will be closed

$$$$$$$$$$

[Alex Vaile]

$$$$$$$$$$

Thanks for posting! Great way to start the day!

[Alex Vaile]

STR and o:STR and s:margin = -1 and s:streak = 2 and s:biggest lead < 3 and s:errors < 2 and -9 < p:M8 < 3 and p:M8 != -2 and -4 < p:M1 < 3

That looks great. Thanks I'm on it!
40%roi wow

[JMon]

$$$$$$$$$$

[JMon]

STR and o:STR and s:margin = -1 and s:streak = 2 and s:biggest lead < 3 and s:errors < 2 and -9 < p:M8 < 3 and p:M8 != -2 and -4 < p:M1 < 3

where was this posted?

[emceeaye]

where was this posted?

It was posted by nash13 in sbrforum thread titled NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL : Nominated Post

[JMon]

It was posted by nash13 in sbrforum thread titled NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL : Nominated Post

oh ya..I remember now. I have it saved, just couldn't remember who provided it. I didn't think it was post here. wonder where Nash is?

[emceeaye]

That looks great. Thanks I'm on it!
40%roi wow

Yes, really nice. From what I can see vu cursory examination, basically, the rationale relates to a starting pitcher who did well in his last start, but since the bullpen gave up a bunch of runs, he got a "no decision" when his team lost the game by a run. This pitcher is on a 2-game winning streak (which of course does not factor in his no decision). In that game his team didn't give a lot of run support, especially to him while he was pitching. Also, in the prior game to the one active today, it looks like this pitcher's team didn't score very many runs, was losing by a lot, or was never winning by much...oh yeah, and since the pitcher and the current opposing pitcher are right handed, their opposing teams' lineups wont hit as well because they are probably mostly comprised of right-handers (and because the pitchers in this game happen to both be doing relatively well)....

[rutt723]

what team is it 40rpi?

thanks keep up the good work

[otunj]

oh ya..I remember now. I have it saved, just couldn't remember who provided it. I didn't think it was post here. wonder where Nash is?

Saved at killer sports? Thinking of doing the $2 a query option. Worth it?

[Alex Vaile]

STR and o:STR and s:margin = -1 and s:streak = 2 and s:biggest lead < 3 and s:errors < 2 and -9 < p:M8 < 3 and p:M8 != -2 and -4 < p:M1 < 3

Winner!!! Was a close one but cashed. Thanks for posting!

[emceeaye]

Winner!!! Was a close one but cashed. Thanks for posting!

Too close for comfort...after the 3-run homer, it got hairy, right? A win is a win

[JMon]

Saved at killer sports? Thinking of doing the $2 a query option. Worth it?

Each to there own here, some think it's too high others not; simply as one is giving back to the creators (free database) and not piggy backing. I think it will come (very soon) where memberships will be required. I myself, have been saving queries for over three years now in each of the major sports. I have roughly 500+ queries saved in MLB alone. I have numerous others in NFL and NBA. I personally love it. Plays come active automatically just by querying the date. You can also edit each if you desire, that is eliminate or change queries.

[JMon]

Marlins have me on

[Alex Vaile]

I know they should have won 2 times already. That error in 7th was rough. So each day your active querys just highlight? That sounds great

[JMon]

I know they should have won 2 times already. That error in 7th was rough. So each day your active querys just highlight? That sounds great

yep! but #2bills a pop. flood only your good ones in...and worry about the rest.

[JMon]

I know they should have won 2 times already. That error in 7th was rough. So each day your active querys just highlight? That sounds great

three hrs three runs, doesn't help

[Alex Vaile]

Cash that under in dodgers. 1 and 0 today on posted plays. More winners from u guys too thanks.
+ 11.9 units
16-4 overall

[emceeaye]

looks good

hasnt been active since last year but make sense to go with this team regardless of query.

H and line >= 125 and Sum(hits@team and season) / Sum(at bats@team and season) <= .265 and 5.7>=o:STDSERA >= 4.7 and o:conference = AL and SG < 3

[posey]

Tigers at Astros

12-26 (-1.03, 31.6%) avg line: 107.7 / -121.6 on / against: -$1,482 / +$1,287 ROI: -33.9% / +25.7% 11-22 (-0.83, 33.3%) avg line: -102.7 / -110.4 on / against: -$1,544 / +$1,383 ROI: -37.1% / +32.1% 14-21-3 (0.09, 40.0%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: -$905 / +$550 ROI: -21.8% / +13.1%

2-9 (-3.82, 18.2%) avg line: 206.5 / -233.6 on / against: -$420 / +$350 ROI: -38.2% / +13.2% 4-7 (-2.32, 36.4%) avg line: 107.6 / -117.3 on / against: -$299 / +$255 ROI: -25.7% / +19.3% 6-5-0 (1.14, 54.5%) avg total: 8.3 over / under: +$25 / -$155 ROI: +2.0% / -13.1%

10-2 (3.00, 83.3%) avg line: -151.8 / 140.7 on / against: +$770 / -$790 ROI: +41.0% / -62.2% 4-3 (0.21, 57.1%) avg line: 105.7 / -119.0 on / against: +$119 / -$189 ROI: +14.9% / -20.8% 5-6-1 (-0.33, 45.5%) avg total: 8.3 over / under: -$160 / +$60 ROI: -12.0% / +4.6%

[posey]

Reds at Giants

20-47 (-1.45, 29.9%) avg line: 136.0 / -148.3 on / against: -$2,050 / +$1,813 ROI: -30.6% / +18.2% 22-23 (-0.01, 48.9%) avg line: -168.7 / 153.0 on / against: -$1,705 / +$1,323 ROI: -22.4% / +29.2% 27-36-4 (0.03, 42.9%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: -$1,245 / +$655 ROI: -16.9% / +8.9%

18-8 (1.19, 69.2%) avg line: -128.0 / 118.0 on / against: +$770 / -$855 ROI: +22.7% / -31.8% 11-14 (0.30, 44.0%) avg line: 141.2 / -155.8 on / against: +$152 / -$301 ROI: +5.4% / -7.3% 10-15-1 (-0.40, 40.0%) avg total: 7.1 over / under: -$620 / +$340 ROI: -22.3% / +11.5%

[posey]

White Sox at Blue Jays

3-14 (-2.12, 17.6%) avg line: 130.1 / -144.0 on / against: -$1,126 / +$1,086 ROI: -63.8% / +44.2% 5-12 (-1.32, 29.4%) avg line: -131.2 / 118.9 on / against: -$1,076 / +$970 ROI: -44.8% / +50.0% 7-9-1 (-0.32, 43.8%) avg total: 8.3 over / under: -$255 / +$145 ROI: -13.8% / +7.7%

12-2 (2.36, 85.7%) avg line: -151.0 / 135.0 on / against: +$820 / -$915 ROI: +38.6% / -62.5% 10-4 (1.93, 71.4%) avg line: -103.1 / -109.3 on / against: +$777 / -$818 ROI: +43.8% / -45.7% 6-7-1 (0.75, 46.2%) avg total: 7.6 over / under: -$190 / +$50 ROI: -12.0% / +3.3%

7-16 (-0.43, 30.4%) avg line: 118.0 / -129.3 on / against: -$787 / +$694 ROI: -33.1% / +23.5% 10-13 (0.15, 43.5%) avg line: -131.5 / 118.4 on / against: -$785 / +$642 ROI: -23.5% / +23.6% 8-11-4 (0.15, 42.1%) avg total: 8.7 over / under: -$390 / +$205 ROI: -15.8% / +7.9%

11-4 (2.13, 73.3%) avg line: -158.7 / 143.7 on / against: +$407 / -$497 ROI: +17.1% / -33.1% 9-6 (0.63, 60.0%) avg line: 135.0 / -146.6 on / against: +$620 / -$725 ROI: +40.6% / -32.7% 7-8-0 (0.60, 46.7%) avg total: 8.7 over / under: -$215 / +$45 ROI: -12.6% / +2.8%

12-8 (0.85, 60.0%) avg line: -109.3 / -101.9 on / against: +$335 / -$478 ROI: +14.1% / -20.4% 12-8 (0.85, 60.0%) avg line: -104.2 / -108.8 on / against: +$457 / -$564 ROI: +17.5% / -21.4% 11-9-0 (0.50, 55.0%) avg total: 8.6 over / under: +$105 / -$325 ROI: +4.8% / -14.7%

[Alex Vaile]

First posted play 6/27:

Under 6 Reds vs Giants -115

The 2 long total queries from Bases point to this one.

[JMon]

hasnt been active since last year but make sense to go with this team regardless of query.

H and line >= 125 and Sum(hits@team and season) / Sum(at bats@team and season) <= .265 and 5.7>=o:STDSERA >= 4.7 and o:conference = AL and SG < 3

yep, I was waiting for this one to be active

[emceeaye]

Marlins have me on

Damn Marlins...bad luck