MLB - Situation Plays - SDQL

[otunj]

Delay gonna blow the angels under. Now they're hitting.

doesn't look to be shaping into a good night for me

[Alex Vaile]

doesn't look to be shaping into a good night for me

Well at least under hung for angels royals. Come on Yankees

[BasesLoaded314]

p:RMAX = 1 and p:margin = 2 and 13>p:hits>7 and p:TLOB>5 and SG<4

love this one. VERY simple, logical and effective.


here, we fade teams that won by 2 runs, under the following conditions:
-Primary qualifier: their biggest inning last game was 1 run (multiple innings are allowed given that they won by 2)
- last game, they had from 8 to 12 hits
-they left at least 6 on base
-its game 1,2 or 3 of the series

[BasesLoaded314]

BOOM, another goodie

p:RMAX = 1 and p:margin = 3 and p:hits>8

[Alex Vaile]

BOOM, another goodie

p:RMAX = 1 and p:margin = 3 and p:hits>8

Love those percentages! Thanks Bases!

[Alex Vaile]

1 and 1 posted plays today 0 units.
18 and 7 posted plays
+ 10.7 units. Thanks for the plays today guys! Kind of a tough day with some strange games. Back at it tomorrow

[BasesLoaded314]

906 brewers/rockies over wait (8.5-104)
914 blue jays -143
914 blue jays white sox over 9+115
918 astros/tigers under 8.5-110
920 royals wait (+101)
920 royals angels under 8.5 -110
923 indians wait (+187)
924 mariners/ indians under 6.5 even
928 Marlins wait (+125)


conflict:
918 Astros & tigers = no action

[BasesLoaded314]

Yankees-red sox under

[BasesLoaded314]

p:RMAX = 1 and p:runs = 2 and SG < 4 and SGS = 3 and op:runs < 5 and 0 < po:runs < 5 and op:HR < 2 and op:hits > 2 and 3 < p:hits < 13 and tS(HR, N=4) < 7 and 3 < oS(HR, N=10) < 14 and tS(hits, N=10) < 103 and oS(hits, N=10) < 104 and -23 < oS(ou margin, N=10) < 16 and os:SHRA < 3 and day != Wednesday and 0 > ou streak > -6

[tarosill]

p:RMAX = 1 and p:margin = 2 and 13>p:hits>7 and p:TLOB>5 and SG<4

love this one. VERY simple, logical and effective.


here, we fade teams that won by 2 runs, under the following conditions:
-Primary qualifier: their biggest inning last game was 1 run (multiple innings are allowed given that they won by 2)
- last game, they had from 8 to 12 hits
-they left at least 6 on base
-its game 1,2 or 3 of the series

Great work Bases as always.
This is an addition for even better ROI: (SG=1 and op:runs>0 or SG>1 and opp:runs>1)

[tarosill]

Here is one inspired by Blue Jays.

HF and p:margin = -1 and pp:margin = -1 and LGS and streak > -4 and pp:runs > 0

[JMon]

1 and 1 posted plays today 0 units.
18 and 7 posted plays
+ 10.7 units. Thanks for the plays today guys! Kind of a tough day with some strange games. Back at it tomorrow

tough day for sure...I ended up 4-4 with juice loss, but 1-3 on posted plays (one's I was confident in) Money management is a must for sdql players. Back to the grind.

[JMon]

ref post #750

Situation A: Fade a Sunday NL Getaway team

2014 tracking results on the fade: 16-22 (+225)

Last week (-220)

Fading(play against):

Diamondbacks

[JMon]

ref post #750

Situation B: Sunday Under Getaway

2014 tracking results on the under: 15-17-2 (+35)

Last week: (+185)

Play under

Diamondbacks

[otunj]

FYI on the 2014 under stat.

Padres lead the league this year in overall unders (by $1100). They lead the league in both home and away unders.

Padress H and A unders

24-54-3 (-0.53, 30.8%)

avg total: 7.2

over / under: -$3,390 / +$2,770

ROI: -39.0% / +30.5%

The Red Sox and Orioles are a close 2nd and 3rd, respectively, on HOME unders.

Red Sox H unders

13-26-0 (-0.77, 33.3%)

avg total: 8.6

over / under: -$1,595 / +$1,170

ROI: -36.8% / +27.5%

Orioles H unders

12-25-2 (-1.40, 32.4%)

avg total: 8.6

over / under: -$1,540 / +$1,155

ROI: -36.1% / +26.7%

[JMon]

This compliments one of bases totals on the Red Sox under..

Logical and simple; where we play the under on a tired road team in a rubber match, off a win

A and p:W and RG3 and site streak <= -8 and 2004<=season and 10>=total>6 and month>4

[otunj]

H and series game=series games=3 and temperature=Indoors and season=2014

14-29-3 (-0.37, 32.6%)

avg total: 8.0

over / under: -$1,735 / +$1,375

ROI: -34.7% / +26.8%

9 game under streak...4-0 since I started posting plays here

Marlins Park's roof is closed for today's game vs Athletics

Marlins/A's U7.5 -115


Here's another query that points to the under as well.
season>=2011 and conference=AL and o:conference=NL and AF and 10>total>=7

Astros may be an under play later. Status of the roof is unknown at the moment.

[JMon]

H and series game=series games=3 and temperature=Indoors and season=2014

14-29-3 (-0.37, 32.6%)

avg total: 8.0

over / under: -$1,735 / +$1,375

ROI: -34.7% / +26.8%

9 game under streak...4-0 since I started posting plays here

Marlins Park's roof is closed for today's game vs Athletics

Marlins/A's U7.5 -115


Here's another query that points to the under as well.
season>=2011 and conference=AL and o:conference=NL and AF and 10>total>=7

Astros may be an under play later. Status of the roof is unknown at the moment.

Got it!...I hope the stros are a play. I think I have one to compliment it.

[otunj]

This compliments one of bases totals on the Red Sox under..

Logical and simple; where we play the under on a tired road team in a rubber match, off a win

A and p:W and RG3 and site streak <= -8 and 2004<=season and 10>=total>6 and month>4

Plus, the one he just posted above:

p:RMAX = 1 and p:runs = 2 and SG < 4 and SGS = 3 and op:runs < 5 and 0 < po:runs < 5 and op:HR < 2 and op:hits > 2 and 3 < p:hits < 13 and tS(HR, N=4) < 7 and 3 < oS(HR, N=10) < 14 and tS(hits, N=10) < 103 and oS(hits, N=10) < 104 and -23 < oS(ou margin, N=10) < 16 and os:SHRA < 3 and day != Wednesday and 0 > ou streak > -6

[JMon]

Here is one inspired by Blue Jays.

HF and p:margin = -1 and pp:margin = -1 and LGS and streak > -4 and pp:runs > 0

Nice tarosill. I posted a query yesterday that tells us to fade the south siders

[JMon]

Plus, the one he just posted above:

p:RMAX = 1 and p:runs = 2 and SG < 4 and SGS = 3 and op:runs < 5 and 0 < po:runs < 5 and op:HR < 2 and op:hits > 2 and 3 < p:hits < 13 and tS(HR, N=4) < 7 and 3 < oS(HR, N=10) < 14 and tS(hits, N=10) < 103 and oS(hits, N=10) < 104 and -23 < oS(ou margin, N=10) < 16 and os:SHRA < 3 and day != Wednesday and 0 > ou streak > -6

Yes, I was referring to this one!

[otunj]

ref post #750

Situation B: Sunday Under Getaway

2014 tracking results on the under: 15-17-2 (+35)

Last week: (+185)

Play under

Diamondbacks

Still trying to find out what the hell the first half actually means, but:

S(1@t:starter and t:site = away and to:team) is None and team = Diamondbacks and A and season = 2014 and o:WP < 55


OU: 1-8-0 (-2.28, 11.1%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: -$755 / +$680 ROI: -79.1% / +66.0%



Plus, they're playing Padres who are the best under team this season.

[JMon]

Still trying to find out what the hell the first half actually means, but:

S(1@t:starter and t:site = away and to:team) is None and team = Diamondbacks and A and season = 2014 and o:WP < 55


OU: 1-8-0 (-2.28, 11.1%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: -$755 / +$680 ROI: -79.1% / +66.0%



Plus, they're playing Padres who are the best under team this season.

first time starter is facing a team???

[JMon]

Still trying to find out what the hell the first half actually means, but:

S(1@t:starter and t:site = away and to:team) is None and team = Diamondbacks and A and season = 2014 and o:WP < 55


OU: 1-8-0 (-2.28, 11.1%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: -$755 / +$680 ROI: -79.1% / +66.0%



Plus, they're playing Padres who are the best under team this season.

There is a under tendency when the Padres are trying to avoid a three game sweep at home---w/o as a Fav

H and p:L and pp:L and SG=SGS=SG=3 and team=Padres and F

[otunj]

Here is one inspired by Blue Jays.

HF and p:margin = -1 and pp:margin = -1 and LGS and streak > -4 and pp:runs > 0

Thanks! Here's one that says fade the white sox (play blue jays) with much larger sample size

4.50>=9 * tS(o:earned runs - starter earned runs) / tS(9 - starter innings pitched) >= 3.75 and A and 150>=line>=100 and o:STDSERA<=3.2 and o:conference=AL and 2009<=season

[Alex Vaile]

Wow you guys have been busy this morning! Looks good so far!

[JMon]

Nice tarosill. I posted a query yesterday that tells us to fade the south siders

Thanks! Here's one that says fade the white sox (play blue jays) with much larger sample size

4.50>=9 * tS(o:earned runs - starter earned runs) / tS(9 - starter innings pitched) >= 3.75 and A and 150>=line>=100 and o:STDSERA<=3.2 and o:conference=AL and 2009<=season

Yep, that is the one!

[bobby29]

BOOM, another goodie

p:RMAX = 1 and p:margin = 3 and p:hits>8

Bases, is there any plays for this query today, because when i enter it, all i see is the last play of june 10th 2014 and nothing after that.
Thanks
Bobby

[Alex Vaile]

I like the As today. 2 solid trends going check these out:

When Tommy Milone starts the Athletcs are 19-2 since April 2012 after facing 25 or fewer hitters. And
The Athletcs are 12-0 since July 04, 2004 as a road favorite
afer a win in which they had 12+ hits and it is the last game of a series for a net proft of $1200.
SDQL TEXT: team=Athletcs and AF and 12<=p:hits and p:W and SG=SGS and date>=20040704

[otunj]

tough day for sure...I ended up 4-4 with juice loss, but 1-3 on posted plays (one's I was confident in) Money management is a must for sdql players. Back to the grind.

THIS! you will have bad days, but do not chase, do not make impulsive decisions to make back your money. That is one way casinos and bookies make money. Good query systems have shown profit year after year. With patience and good money management, the systems will still be profitable. The stock market goes into a funk to. If my stocks begin to slump, I look at it and if it becomes a pattern, I consider putting my money in another stock. If I pulled my money out because my monthly portfolio lost $700 last month, it does me harm as I now become erratic with my investment. Stick to certain value in your betting unit and adjust the amount after Agee months if needed

[Alex Vaile]

The Astros are 0-19 (+$1,900) since 2010 following a loss where they scored 2-5 runs and led after eight innings.
SDQL TEXT: team=Astros and season>=2010 and p:M8>=1 and p:L and 5>=p:runs>=2

[otunj]

Bases, is there any plays for this query today, because when i enter it, all i see is the last play of june 10th 2014 and nothing after that.
Thanks
Bobby

If it's not listed in the query results, there is no play

[Alex Vaile]

H and series game=series games=3 and temperature=Indoors and season=2014

14-29-3 (-0.37, 32.6%)

avg total: 8.0

over / under: -$1,735 / +$1,375

ROI: -34.7% / +26.8%

9 game under streak...4-0 since I started posting plays here

Marlins Park's roof is closed for today's game vs Athletics

Marlins/A's U7.5 -115


Here's another query that points to the under as well.
season>=2011 and conference=AL and o:conference=NL and AF and 10>total>=7

Astros may be an under play later. Status of the roof is unknown at the moment.

Under it is. Look down at my posts and I feel Oakland is the side play in this one. Maybe a small parlay?

[JMon]

I have a query for the A's today...which I am playing, but I need to find now..ugh

[Alex Vaile]

906 brewers/rockies over wait (8.5-104)
914 blue jays -143
914 blue jays white sox over 9+115








918 astros/tigers under 8.5-110
920 royals wait (+101)
920 royals angels under 8.5 -110
923 indians wait (+187)
924 mariners/ indians under 6.5 even
928 Marlins wait (+125)


conflict:
918 Astros & tigers = no action

What query favors Marlins? 2 good trends from Killer sports liking the As. I liked it too till I saw your plays. Good luck today Bases!