Todays Action, 2009 M.L.B. Thread

[therber2]

::sigh:: I picked the perfect day to run this experiment. I have roaches, and will be doing a roach bombing today. I'll make it a point though to try and get that consensus thing updated before game time. Those rat bastards.

[TodaysAction]

Therb,
You can add these to the list

August 25th
A's +109 (7 to win 7.63)
Dodgers -112 (7.84 to win 7)
Giants -125 (8.75 to win 7)
Tigers +160 (7 to win 11.20)
Twins -158 (11.06 to win 7)

Continued success to you tonight.

[TodaysAction]

therber is on fire since May!!

TA is always on

Thank you shoebox. Will read your thread for today later on and hopefully we'll have some of the same.

[TodaysAction]

DET vs. LAA
If you're not aware, and for those already know this sorry to repeat it, once I cash from a series I am done with it. This is the case currently and will most likely remain as such. Get your win (money) and move on (stick & move). Haven't run the numbers yet because of the win yesterday.

[TodaysAction]

Last night went 2-3-0, 40% win rate (yikes!) but still added 7.30 units to the accounts.

[VegasPlayer]

Good morning AceofSP2107,

None taken as it's not one that gets posted very often. Look at posts 1,945 to about 1,952 for what your looking for. Not sure but it should be either page 54 or 56 - if not sorry but it'll get you close to where you can find it.

Hey Ace. If you can't find let me know and I'll send you a hint. Has to look for it my self last night and almost missed out. I'll tell you this right now. It was a winner.

[therber2]

DET vs. LAA
If you're not aware, and for those already know this sorry to repeat it, once I cash from a series I am done with it. This is the case currently and will most likely remain as such. Get your win (money) and move on (stick & move). Haven't run the numbers yet because of the win yesterday.

Sorry TA if I missed it, but are you on DET for this series against the Angels? I can tell you are getting excited about something there.

[VegasPlayer]

Last night went 2-3-0, 40% win rate (yikes!) but still added 7.30 units to the accounts.

That's OK TA. + money works for me. Don't the Giants know that you never walk the pitcher?

[TodaysAction]

Sorry TA if I missed it, but are you on DET for this series against the Angels? I can tell you are getting excited about something there.

. , very much so but there's till much left plus other sports, great time of the year.

[TodaysAction]

That's OK TA. + money works for me. Don't the Giants know that you never walk the pitcher?

Me too - just a way of taking a shot at shills/touts who need that high win rate to try and turn a profit. Glad I wasn't the only one wondering, WHY ARE YOU DOING THAT? That game is over, can't change the outcome, time to move forward.

[therber2]

That's OK TA. + money works for me. Don't the Giants know that you never walk the pitcher?

Giants made me very sad last night. Aren't these guys supposed to be pros?

[therber2]

. , very much so but there's till much left plus other sports, great time of the year.

I'm lost. You were on the series with Oakland you mean?

[Axis]

Atlanta -1.5
Milwaukee -133
Colorado +101
San Fran. -118

[therber2]

Aug 25th

Texas +1.5 -115 (2.5 units)
Texas +180 (.5 units)
Pirates +1.5 EV (1 unit)
Pirates +160 (.5 units)
Nats +1.5 EV (.5 unit)
Giants -118 (3 units)
Oakland -102 (2 units)
NYM +182 (.5 unit)
Brewers -135 (2.5 units)
Giants, Boston, Atlanta parlay +264 (.5 units)

[MexicanStallion]

Texas +1.5 -115 (1.5 units)
Texas +180 (.5 units)
Pirates +1.5 EV (1 unit)
Pirates +160 (.5 units)
Nats +1.5 EV (.5 unit)
Giants -118 (1 unit)
Oakland -102 (2 units)
NYM +182 (.5 unit)
Brewers -135 (2.5 units)

Interesting card. Good luck today

[therber2]

Sure a lot of action on the Braves today. Anyone have an explanation?

[oda11]

BOL today therber2.

[therber2]

Interesting card. Good luck today

Yeah, I feel this one might be a little risky. I always expect the worst, and we all know that a day can go one way or the other you just need to be up in the long run. Careful today guys, I see a lot of risk and possible traps.

[pocketlint]

Texas +1.5 -115 (1.5 units)
Texas +180 (.5 units)
Pirates +1.5 EV (1 unit)
Pirates +160 (.5 units)
Nats +1.5 EV (.5 unit)
Giants -118 (3 units)
Oakland -102 (2 units)
NYM +182 (.5 unit)
Brewers -135 (2.5 units)
Giants, Boston, Atlanta parlay +264 (.5 units)

therber if you are feeling charitable towards a guy who lost nearly a small fortune on the Giants yesterday what would you give him among your most confident picks today? cant use the BoSox cause theyre like -310

[TodaysAction]

Food For Thought

Tx @ ny
===> tx: 194 ba, 347 slg, 1.412 sp whip, 1.222 rp whip
===> ny: 366 ba, 659 slg, 1.728 sp whip, 1.758 rp whip

[TodaysAction]

Food For Thought

PHI at PIT
===> PHI: 231 BA, 442 SLG, 1.200 SP WHIP, 0.714 RP WHIP
===> PIT: 245 BA, 404 SLG, 1.436 SP WHIP, 1.463 RP WHIP

[TodaysAction]

Food For Thought

WASH at CUBS
===> WASH: 255 BA, 451 SLG, 1.769 SP WHIP, 1.500 RP WHIP
===> CUBS: 194 BA, 280 SLG, 0.833 SP WHIP, 0.980 RP WHIP

[TodaysAction]

Food For Thought

AZ at SF
===> AZ: 250 BA, 298 SLG, 1.529 SP WHIP, 1.000 RP WHIP
===> SF: 238 BA, 475 SLG, 1.500 SP WHIP, 2.523 RP WHIP

[TodaysAction]

Food For Thought

OAK at SEA
===> OAK: 275 BA, 412 SLG, 1.222 SP WHIP, 1.375 RP WHIP
===> SEA: 243 BA, 421 SLG, 1.215 SP WHIP, 0.549 RP WHIP

[TodaysAction]

Food For Thought

METS at FL
===> NYM: 245 BA, 412 SLG, 1.667 SP WHIP, 1.801 RP WHIP
===> FLA: 255 BA, 378 SLG, 1.702 SP WHIP, 1.667 RP WHIP

[TodaysAction]

Food For Thought

CIN at MILW
===> CIN: 267 BA, 305 SLG, 1.471 SP WHIP, 1.125 RP WHIP
===> MIL: 294 BA, 505 SLG, 2.162 SP WHIP, 0.915 RP WHIP

[TodaysAction]

Atlanta -1.5
Milwaukee -133
Colorado +101
San Fran. -118

Welcome back Axis.

October 3 is not that far away!

Soon returns!!

[TodaysAction]

Sure a lot of action on the Braves today. Anyone have an explanation?

Syndicate play/release early so 'they' can get more + money after screwing the sheep - just one option/opinion.

[pocketlint]

So you see the Nats pulling a fast one , TA?

I know these are food(s) for thought but they are very interesting and I thank you for that.

I'm trying to dig myself out the hole that the Giants have led me into.

Also I appreciate your input on therber's cautionary note :

If you are not aware, the MLB season is winding down. Your old style of gambling isn't going to be the same.

Be aware of teams/team matchups that involve the boys that lost their chance to go all the way. My opinion off the bat is that it the daily grind wouldn't be as good as waiting for the real games. Terry and Fog can you guys give your two cents on post season betting? How you would be the final games?

[TodaysAction]

So you see the Nats pulling a fast one , TA?

I know these are food(s) for thought but they are very interesting and I thank you for that.

I'm trying to dig myself out the hole that the Giants have led me into.

Also I appreciate your input on therber's cautionary note :

Good afternoon pocketlint,

Don't know if it's a fast one or not yet - just wanted to get these out here after our lunch so people can make a more informed choice. By no means is this/was that/were those posts to sway a person one way or the other.

Not a problem nor an issue. is not far away, so hang in there.

SF gets the award of the week for pissing me off the most this past week, so you're not alone in that regard.

Find a way that works for you and PLUNG!

[Foghorn]

Last night went 2-3-0, 40% win rate (yikes!) but still added 7.30 units to the accounts.

TA, nice job again. I will take under 50% for positive units any time.

Hockey Season starts tonight, so I have to map out a practice plan. Placing my play now. Like some games tonight, but don't like the juice. Soooooooooooooooooo..............

San Diego at Atlanta:
San Diego has only won 19 games on the road against 40 losses. Latos has struggled in his last 3 with an 8+ ERA. Padres only batting .226 vs righties in their last 10, and have lost 4 of their last 5 and 7 of 10. Atlanta has won 2 of 3 this season. Atlanta going with Jurrjens, who isn't lighting is up lately, but the Braves have won 2 of his last 3 starts. Atlanta has won 20 of the last 26 in this series.

NYM at Florida:
Mets are 13 games under .500 on the road, and have lost 5 of their last 6 and 7 of 10. Francouer is now on the disabled list, so add him along with Delgado, Wright, Cora, Beltran, etc. Florida has lost 4 of their last 5, but they are returning home where they won 3 of their last 4. They are a much better home team, but they may be out Nick Johnson, who continues to nurse a hamstring.

PARLAY:
Atlanta & Florida (1 unit) +115
Record: 43-27-2 (+29 units)

Go get em boys. Also looking at LAA over Det because Lackey owns Detroit and after last night, I think Angels bounce back. I will be back late tonight if I decide to go that way.

Good Luck to Everyone, let's make some money........

[therber2]

PHI at PIT
===> PHI: 231 BA, 442 SLG, 1.200 SP WHIP, 0.714 RP WHIP
===> PIT: 245 BA, 404 SLG, 1.436 SP WHIP, 1.463 RP WHIP

WASH at CUBS
===> WASH: 255 BA, 451 SLG, 1.769 SP WHIP, 1.500 RP WHIP
===> CUBS: 194 BA, 280 SLG, 0.833 SP WHIP, 0.980 RP WHIP

AZ at SF
===> AZ: 250 BA, 298 SLG, 1.529 SP WHIP, 1.000 RP WHIP
===> SF: 238 BA, 475 SLG, 1.500 SP WHIP, 2.523 RP WHIP

OAK at SEA
===> OAK: 275 BA, 412 SLG, 1.222 SP WHIP, 1.375 RP WHIP
===> SEA: 243 BA, 421 SLG, 1.215 SP WHIP, 0.549 RP WHIP

METS at FL
===> NYM: 245 BA, 412 SLG, 1.667 SP WHIP, 1.801 RP WHIP
===> FLA: 255 BA, 378 SLG, 1.702 SP WHIP, 1.667 RP WHIP

CIN at MILW
===> CIN: 267 BA, 305 SLG, 1.471 SP WHIP, 1.125 RP WHIP
===> MIL: 294 BA, 505 SLG, 2.162 SP WHIP, 0.915 RP WHIP

Thank you TA. Where did you get these numbers, and what is the time frame in which they were collected (season long, 20 day, 3 day, etc)? I usually look at it all average them, and add a bit of weight to the recent.

[therber2]

TA, nice job again. I will take under 50% for positive units any time.

Hockey Season starts tonight, so I have to map out a practice plan. Placing my play now. Like some games tonight, but don't like the juice. Soooooooooooooooooo..............

San Diego at Atlanta:
San Diego has only won 19 games on the road against 40 losses. Latos has struggled in his last 3 with an 8+ ERA. Padres only batting .226 vs righties in their last 10, and have lost 4 of their last 5 and 7 of 10. Atlanta has won 2 of 3 this season. Atlanta going with Jurrjens, who isn't lighting is up lately, but the Braves have won 2 of his last 3 starts. Atlanta has won 20 of the last 26 in this series.

NYM at Florida:
Mets are 13 games under .500 on the road, and have lost 5 of their last 6 and 7 of 10. Francouer is now on the disabled list, so add him along with Delgado, Wright, Cora, Beltran, etc. Florida has lost 4 of their last 5, but they are returning home where they won 3 of their last 4. They are a much better home team, but they may be out Nick Johnson, who continues to nurse a hamstring.

PARLAY:
Atlanta & Florida (1 unit) +115
Record: 43-27-2 (+29 units)

Go get em boys. Also looking at LAA over Det because Lackey owns Detroit and after last night, I think Angels bounce back. I will be back late tonight if I decide to go that way.

Good Luck to Everyone, let's make some money........

Great write up Fog. I added your picks into the experiment. We are on opposite side with FLA and NYM; however I did the game light for the bargain (that I personally think it is). Never feel good though about a play against you though.

Anyways guys, the play of the day is definitely ATL. Let's see what happens, and get your plays in; I'll keep adding them, and show the results later on.

[therber2]

therber if you are feeling charitable towards a guy who lost nearly a small fortune on the Giants yesterday what would you give him among your most confident picks today? cant use the BoSox cause theyre like -310

Just wait; nothing stands out to me today tremendously. Maybe tomorrow, I'll be asking you the same question. Maybe go small on Foghorn's play.

[dvb02]

Just wait; nothing stands out to me today tremendously. Maybe tomorrow, I'll be asking you the same question. Maybe go small on Foghorn's play.

Wouldn't your most confident play be San Fran (since you have 3 units on it)?