Mebaran's 2013 MLB Hangout

[Vasco]

I kinda like Milwaukee over 3.5.

[EXhoosier10]

Stl over 4, -110

I like this one

[EXhoosier10]

Nats bats are finally waking up and Shark is getting crushed

[EXhoosier10]

These past few days have been really annoying. I have about 30 minutes to 'cap this morning before brunch and then maybe i'll get a chance to get to the afternoon games later.

[EXhoosier10]

Ran out of time...
5/12
Cle @ Det u9 -110 ~ 1u

[EXhoosier10]

Adding:
Oak -121 ~ 1.5u --- No, I don't like Joe Saunders (even at home).

[italianbandit]

I like Oak as well, and looking at Braves FF now, any thoughts ?

[EXhoosier10]

I like Oak as well, and looking at Braves FF now, any thoughts ?

Just seeing this. Hopefully you laid off both as neither one is looking particularly great.

[italianbandit]

Thanks, I took Oak, but passed on ATL.

[italianbandit]

Whitesox FF -130

[EXhoosier10]

5/13
KC +123 ~ 1u

[italianbandit]

5/13
White Sox -113

good luck ex.

[EXhoosier10]

5/13
KC +123 ~ 1u
Pit TTo3.5 -120 ~ 1u
Mil @ Pit o7 -110 ~ 1.5u

[No coincidences]

5/13
KC +123 ~ 1u
Pit TTo3.5 -120 ~ 1u
Mil @ Pit o7 -110 ~ 1.5u

I don't think Braun or Weeks are playing tonight, Ex.

[EXhoosier10]

Adding:
White Sox -113 ~ 1u

5/13
White Sox -113

good luck ex.

Thanks for the tip. How was that trip up to yosemite? Had you ever been up there before?

I don't think Braun or Weeks are playing tonight, Ex.

Ya, I'm not very excited about this anymore. I saw both offenses have been running super hot over the past couple of weeks + an over ump + Marco Estrada. Checked lineups and weather after the bet to decide if i wanted to go bigger and realized what I had done. Honestly, I had no idea pittsburgh was such a pitchers park, either. Cold night to top it all off

[EXhoosier10]

Adrian Johnson's slow strike call is super annoying on these borderline pitches in Pitt

[EXhoosier10]

Any thoughts on Texas tonight? Grimm's projection from Paul Sporer's SP Guide seems pretty good (i've never seen him) and Griffin is pretty good as well, using his FB tendency to his advantage in oakland. Texas has the better offense IMO and is @ +115.

[No coincidences]

Any thoughts on Texas tonight? Grimm's projection from Paul Sporer's SP Guide seems pretty good (i've never seen him) and Griffin is pretty good as well, using his FB tendency to his advantage in oakland. Texas has the better offense IMO and is @ +115.

Under is my lean personally, so pound that over Ex.

[EXhoosier10]

Lance Lynn continues to walk every single lefty he faces. He was at 14% last year, up to 15% coming into today and is getting lit up against them today. For reference, Edinson Volquez walked 13% of batters he faced last year. How Lynn continues to not get shelled baffles me with those kind of numbers.

Under is my lean personally, so pound that over Ex.

I would lean under too. Guess i'll pass now

[No coincidences]

Lance Lynn continues to walk every single lefty he faces. He was at 14% last year, up to 15% coming into today and is getting lit up against them today. For reference, Edinson Volquez walked 13% of batters he faced last year. How Lynn continues to not get shelled baffles me with those kind of numbers.



I would lean under too. Guess i'll pass now

Yeah, I knew that correction was coming. He pulled a Houdini to get out of that first alive. I don't know how he hasn't had a major regression yet either.

On the other hand, I'm relying on Hefner to save my Mets +1.5 bet. Ouch. That team is just awful.

[italianbandit]

I'm on Texas +115. Agree on your points EX.

[EXhoosier10]

I'm on Texas +115. Agree on your points EX.

I'll pass on this; don't want to botch another good play. May has killed me both of the last two years; last year in May i was -25u, 2011 i lost like 10 days in a row to end the month. I don't understand it, but i think it's time i just stop betting during the month. Just baffling

[italianbandit]

Tuesday 5/14
Tor -117
Tor -1.5 +165
Clev -102

looking at Boston +135

[EXhoosier10]

I'll update recrod tomrorow, but feel free to fade for the rest of the month.

5/14
Tor -125
Chw -108
KC @ Laa u8.5 -115

[italianbandit]

I'll update recrod tomrorow, but feel free to fade for the rest of the month.

5/14
Tor -125
Chw -108
KC @ Laa u8.5 -115

Nice day, don't get into negative thinking, the brain is very powerful. You're very smart, keep grinding. I like Tor to keep scoring runs, going to see what my local has for a TT in morning.

5/15
Yankees -117

[EXhoosier10]

Thanks for the kind words, IB. Baseball is definitely a grind (it's only May)

5/10: 2-3 -0.34
5/11: n/a
5/12: 1-1 -0.815
5/13: 1-3 -2.62
5/14: 3-0 +3

YTD: 89-65-9 +12.825u

[EXhoosier10]

5/15
Cin @ Mia o8 -110 ~ 1.5u --- Probably add another unit once roof status and lineups are confirmed
Mil +105 ~ 0.75u

[italianbandit]

Guys, what are your thoughts on the Angels game over 8.5?

[EXhoosier10]

Guys, what are your thoughts on the Angels game over 8.5?

Outside of the 'ol "both pitchers suck, play the over" reasoning, I don't see anything that would make me lean one way or the other. Then again, both pitchers are really bad....

[italianbandit]

Outside of the 'ol "both pitchers suck, play the over" reasoning, I don't see anything that would make me lean one way or the other. Then again, both pitchers are really bad....

My thoughts exactly. I prefer the "both pitchers peripherals suck, but have good ERAS and win loss records" line in betting an over.
I also want to hit the Vogelsong fade well again, as it has been very profitable, but can't get a feel for today's game.

[EXhoosier10]

I don't really see much for any early games, but I haven't looked at Vogelsong game yet. I'll probably end up watching day games here instead of capping and check in an hour or two before night games and have a look

[italianbandit]

Pirates -.5 -105 FF~1.5 units

[EXhoosier10]

nice play on Pitt, IB

5/15: 0-2 -2.4
YTD: 89-65-9 +10.425u

[No coincidences]

Pirates -.5 -105 FF~1.5 units

Nice hit. Love those "walk off" FF wins.

[italianbandit]

Thanks. Let's find some good buys tomorrow.