1. 03-31-11 10:11 AM #1
    leetreaper
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    Tony Stoffo's Underdog System

    Im gonna be monitoring it this season.
    So the rules are:

    1. Eliminate any games in which the moneyline odds are greater than +150
    2. Eliminate any games in which underdogs lost 3 or more games in a row or the favourites have won 3 or more games in a row.
    3. Eliminate any games in which the favoured teams pitcher in among top 20 of the al or nl NPERA determined by Jeff Sagarin on Usa Todays site.
    4. Always play the under when two starting pitchers in top 20.

    Im gonna be using $30 as my standard unit.
    So today we have 4 plays:

    1. Was +130 30 to win 39
    2. Mil +104 30 to win 31.2
    3. Det UN 8.0 30 to win 25
    4. SF UN 6.5 30 to win 30

    Lets have a great year, gl all!!!
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  2. 03-31-11 10:12 AM #2
    D3 Mighty Ducks
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    I'm on the Brewers and Under 8 as well.. best of luck with this system.
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  3. 03-31-11 10:17 AM #3
    leetreaper
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    Thank you, this system showed a profit in each and every last 5 years, let us gogogo!!!
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  4. 03-31-11 10:47 AM #4
    GGZOLA
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    THIS is same system being spreadaround other forums as well...it was originally from vegasinsider.
    And it is suggested to wait 2 weeks b4 playing right away but GL anyways...
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  5. 03-31-11 10:49 AM #5
    Sawyer
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    Thank you, this system showed a profit in each and every last 5 years, let us gogogo!!!
    Are you sure? It had some losing seasons iirc.
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  6. 03-31-11 10:54 AM #6
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sawyer View Post
    Are you sure? It had some losing seasons iirc.
    i was using it last 3 seasons, was + in 2 and slightly fav in the other one but still profitable...
    there could be apllied some filters later in the season like u mentioned as well...
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  7. 03-31-11 11:12 AM #7
    teecee
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    i won 66 units in the first month of '10 using this system. it started to fall apart after that, so i stopped a couple months, or so, into the season. i did not play many of the unders at all after losing my first 5 or 6. g/l.
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  8. 03-31-11 11:17 AM #8
    jorge1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sawyer View Post
    Are you sure? It had some losing seasons iirc.
    Sawyer, you are right...its had losing seasons!

    Quote Originally Posted by teecee View Post
    i won 66 units in the first month of '10 using this system. it started to fall apart after that, so i stopped a couple months, or so, into the season. i did not play many of the unders at all after losing my first 5 or 6. g/l.
    great system for first part of the season (after 10 -14 days play), but it tends to fall apart...last year i toyd with it and you cant just go with it blindly..its a good scale to filetr out games daily, but then out of those you gotta cap each game to see whats happening with each team respectively
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  9. 03-31-11 11:28 AM #9
    celtics12
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    im going to watch these today and see how they do..
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  10. 03-31-11 11:31 AM #10
    socalaaron
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    Another system I will keep an eye on. Thanks! Good luck to all this season.
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  11. 03-31-11 12:04 PM #11
    leetreaper
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    ya maybe aply some filters, like extend to top 30 pitchers, head to head history etc....def will be doing some tweaks in a couple of weeks...
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  12. 03-31-11 03:05 PM #12
    leetreaper
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    Tigers bullpen is such a joke, ******* jezz........
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  13. 03-31-11 10:04 PM #13
    leetreaper
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    Tough opening day...
    1-3, -$60
    Shoulda been 3-1 or at least 2-2 if not for a 2 out 9th inning walk-off by Ramon and Detroit bullpen collapse....
    Better luck tomorrow all.
    Sides 0-2, -60
    Totals 1-1, +0
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  14. 03-31-11 10:07 PM #14
    Stallion
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    This system is being used in another thread too. I don't think it will work. Best way to play early in the season is the dogs and the overs.
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  15. 03-31-11 10:15 PM #15
    Metalspined
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    use a variation of this myself...today I have the exact same plays...but I mostly supplement them with a few others as well...Good Luck
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  16. 04-01-11 10:04 AM #16
    leetreaper
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    1. Cle 30 to win 29
    2. KC 30 to win 39
    3. Phi Un 7.0 30 to win 25
    4. Tex Un 8.5 30 to win 31.50
    5. Sea Un 6.5 30 to win 26

    Gl today folks!
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  17. 04-01-11 11:03 AM #17
    ebbearsfb1
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    Different then the way I do it, good luck. I got. 5 dog plays today. And who is tony staffo? Never heard of him
    Last edited by ebbearsfb1; 04-01-11 at 11:06 AM.
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  18. 04-02-11 11:20 PM #18
    dharma2u
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    Hello leetreaper!
    Are you going to keep posting the plays from Tony's Underdog System? If not, could someone point me to the thread that Stallion mentioned that is posting the plays.
    Thanks!
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  19. 04-03-11 12:00 AM #19
    ebbearsfb1
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    Check out my thread... 5 and 2 with those plays
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  20. 04-03-11 12:32 AM #20
    leetreaper
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    sorry guys, im not gonna be online this weekend, plz someone update the thread, be back on mon lock and load!
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  21. 04-03-11 09:56 AM #21
    The Resurrection
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    Where do you find Sagarin's pitcher data for 2011?
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  22. 04-03-11 10:00 AM #22
    ebbearsfb1
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    alright posted the plays in my thread... 8 plays during the day and one more at night
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  23. 04-03-11 10:11 AM #23
    dharma2u
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    Thanks ebbearssfb1!!!
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  24. 04-03-11 10:27 AM #24
    leetreaper
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    google it: sagarin usatoday
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  25. 04-03-11 11:27 AM #25
    The Resurrection
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    I only find the stats for last season
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  26. 04-03-11 12:13 PM #26
    Metalspined
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    Which is the stats you need to use until they have gone through the whole pitcher rotation...
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  27. 04-03-11 12:33 PM #27
    ebbearsfb1
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    Just added 4 more plays
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