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Netherlands player Cody Gakpo scores against Turkiye as we take a look at an appealing parlay for the Netherlands vs. England Euro 2024 semifinal.
Netherlands player Cody Gakpo scores against Turkiye in the Euro 2024 quarterfinals. Photo by Pro Shots via Sipa USA

The Netherlands and England are a victory away from securing a place in the European Championships final for the second time. The Netherlands haven't been to the final since winning the tournament more than 30 years ago, while England lost agonizingly in penalties in its last trip to the final.

Our Netherlands vs. England parlay and SGP picks focus on a pair of Oranje attackers and the halftime result. The Three Lions enter the semifinal tilt as the consensus favorites across our best sports betting sites.

Gareth Southgate's side has the second-shortest Euro 2024 odds, while Holland are the slight outsiders of the remaining quartet.  

Wednesday's match starts at 3 p.m. ET and will be played at BVB Stadion in Dortmund, Germany (Fox Sports).

These sides have proven an admirable ability to come back from the brink, with England winning both knockout matches after conceding first. The Netherlands went down early in their quarterfinal against Turkiye and overturned a one-goal deficit in the opening group game versus Poland. 

You can also check out our Netherlands vs. England predictions and Netherlands vs. England player props.

Netherlands vs. England parlay: Euro 2024 semifinal 

Netherlands vs. England odds via our best soccer betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Combined odds: +532 | Implied probability: 34.84%

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Memphis Depay Over 2.5 shots

Memphis Depay leads the Netherlands in shot attempts (17) and shot attempts per 90 minutes (3.62). He had at least three attempted shots in four of five Euro 2024 matches. The only exception was a two-shot performance against France in the 0-0 draw. 

Depay had four shot attempts in each knockout match and has been one of the Netherlands' most consistent and formidable attacking threats. The 30-year-old is experienced enough to find pockets of space and isn't hesitant to fire toward goal.

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England's defense is the best Holland has seen since playing France in the group stage, but I expect the Dutchman to hit the Over for the fifth time in six contests. 

This leg of the parlay has +100 odds, which would pay a profit of $10 on a $10 standalone wager. 

Odds: +100 via bet365 | Implied probability: 50%

Cody Gakpo Over 1.5 tackles

I bet you expected a Cody Gakpo goal-scoring prop, which, by the way, is also a pretty tasty option. However, I turn to Gakpo's tackling prowess for this leg of the parlay. Ronald Koeman tasks Gakpo to place the defense, sometimes the midfield, under quick and unrelenting pressure.

In doing so, Gakpo has nine tackles, the second-most on the team. He's won eight of those nine tackles. He had at least two tackles in four of five Euro 2024 matches, with the Round of 16 the only exception. The Netherlands will require Gakpo to defend from the front against the Three Lions, and I expect him to do exactly that. 

The -138 odds of this leg would pay a profit of $7.15 on a $10 standalone wager. 

Odds: -138 via via bet365 | Implied probability: 56.90%

Halftime draw

Three of England's five matches and two of Holland's contests entered the break deadlocked. Historically, semifinals tend to go into the interval tied. Six of the eight semifinals since Euro 2008 were level going into the halftime break. 

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England's semifinal against Denmark at Euro 2020 was deadlocked at one as the halftime whistle blew. Considering what's at stake, I feel the probability of entering the interval all square is higher than the 54.55% bet365's odds suggest. 

This parlay has combined odds of +532, which will pay a profit of $53.20 if all three legs hit. 

Odds: -120 via bet365 | Implied probability: 54.55%

Netherlands vs. England game info

  • When: Wednesday, July 10
  • Time: 3 p.m. ET
  • Where: BVB Stadion (Dortmund, Germany)
  • How to watch: Fox Sports (US), TSN (Canada)
  • Favorite: England (+165 via FanDuel)

Netherlands-England predictions made Tuesday at 2 p.m. ET.

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