🏒 NHL Player Props Today: Best Bets & Prop Picks for Tuesday, May 12
With two games on the playoff docket, I've selected the best NHL player props for tonight's action.
They feature Alex Newhook, Josh Doan, Mitch Marner, and Tage Thompson, along with a bonus pick for the nightcap at T-Mobile Arena in Sin City. I'm looking forward to Newhook and Doan bossing play again, along with strong performances from Thompson and the playoff points leader, Marner.
🏒 Best NHL player props today: May 12
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Newhook Over 1.5 shots (-118 via Caesars) | 1u → 0.85u | Newhook hit the Over in three straight |
| Josh Doan Over 2.5 shots (+150 via bet365) | 1u → 1.5u | Doan hit the Over in four straight |
| Mitch Marner Over 0.5 assists (-140 via BetMGM) | 1u → 0.71u | Marner has at least one assist in 8 of 10 games |
| Tage Thompson Over 0.5 assists (+132 via FanDuel) | 0.5u → 0.67u | Thompson scored 2 points in the Game 3 loss |
Total wagered: 3.5 units | Max profit: 3.73 units
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💰 Best NHL player prop bet today
Alex Newhook Over 1.5 shots (-118) vs. Sabres
Newhook has elevated a few notches in the playoffs, and he's having a superb series against the Buffalo Sabres, scoring 5 goals in the previous four games. Newhook lit the lamp twice in Games 2 and 3, and he fired 4 shots on goal in all three games.
I love the lower total for a player who is dictating play with his relentless physicality. Newhook is having success in front of the net, with the Sabres struggling to move the immovable force.
I'm also drawn to his goal-scoring prop, which is being offered at +325 at the best sports betting sites.
🔥 More NHL player prop picks
Tage Thompson Over 0.5 assists (+125) at Canadiens
Despite the Sabres' lopsided loss in Game 3, Thompson will take confidence from his performance. He scored two points (1 goal, 1 assist) and was the team's most dangerous offensive threat.
That spirited display came after his disastrous Game 2 outing, where he finished with a minus-4 rating. If the Sabres score a couple of goals, I expect Thompson to contribute.
He has 5 helpers in the previous six games.
Josh Doan Over 2.5 shots (+150) at Canadiens
Like Newhook, Doan is exceeding expectations for the Sabres in the postseason. He has an assist in four straight games, which is another appealing prop.
I'm opting to go for the Over on his shots total, which he accomplished in four straight contests. Despite his Over streak, Doan has tasty +150 odds to make it five games in a row. He's attempted 15 in the last three games, and I expect him to be revved up for the critical Game 4.
Mitch Marner Over 0.5 assists (-140) vs. Ducks
I've cashed three straight Marner assist props, and I expect to make it four. While his -140 odds are on the outer edge of what I play, I can't forgo the opportunity to cash in on the playoff points leader, who has at least one assist in eight of 10 games.
Marner notched 4 assists in Games 3 and 4 in Anaheim and will be ready to make an impact in the pivotal swing game. Only teammate Jack Eichel has more than Marner's 10 assists.
💡 Vegas Golden Knights player prop
Brett Howden is thriving alongside Marner, scoring 7 goals in the previous seven games. He scored at least one goal in every game in that sample, except Game 2 in Vegas. I love the long odds as much as his hot streak.
Best odds: +300 via bet365
🚀 Best NHL parlay picks today
I'm omitting the Thompson assist prop, as it's the pick I feel least confident about. The 3-leg SGP has an implied probability of 12.72%.
💵 Best NHL parlay bet today
- Alex Newhook Over 1.5 shots (-120)
- Josh Doan Over 2.5 shots (+150)
- Mitch Marner Over 0.5 assists (-140)
Best odds: +686 via bet365 (0.1u -> .69u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 113-118-4 | +26.01 units ✅ | 12.1% ✅ |
| Player props | 73-87 | +3.77 units ✅ | 2.5% ✅ |
| Parlays | 5-23 | +0.10 units ✅ | 3% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting NHL player props today
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
I'm going with Doan and Newhook, not only because of their recent form but due to the style, tempo, and charged physical nature of the series. They find a way to bully their way into playoff contests through hits and shots.
Marner has been consistent throughout the postseason, and I doubt I'll get -140 odds for him again after Game 5. I feel least confident about the Thompson pick, so I'm only investing half a unit. Each unit is $10.
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