🏒 NHL Player Props Today: Best Bets & Prop Picks for Monday, May 11
My NHL player props today feature Kirill Kaprizov, Gabriel Landeskog, and Nazem Kadri.
Kaprizov is on fire, Landeskog is back to a version resembling his best, and Kadri is showing up similarly to how he did during the 2022 postseason. Two of the three have plus-money odds, which compelled me to take the plunge. Let's get into the action for tonight's lone playoff clash.
🏒 Best NHL player props today: May 11
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov Over 0.5 assists (-110 via BetMGM) | 1u → 0.91u | Kaprizov has 3 assists in the last 3 games |
| Gabriel Landeskog Over 0.5 assists (+144 via FanDuel) | 1u → 1.44u | Landeskog has 5 assists in the last 4 games |
| Nazem Kadri Over 2.5 shots (+130 via bet365) | 1u → 1.3u | Kadri hit the Over on this total in all 3 games of the series |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 3.65 units
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💰 Best NHL player prop bet today
Kirill Kaprizov Over 0.5 assists (-110) vs. Avalanche
Kaprizov was back to his dominating best in Game 3 against the Avs, notching a goal and two assists. He leads the playoffs with 14 points, 10 of which are helpers.
With 3 assists in three games against the Avalanche, Kaprizov is involved in most of the Wild's offensive forays. Most importantly, he's getting the job done at 5-on-5, with 10 points in even-strength situations.
BetMGM offers the best price of the best sports betting sites.
🔥 More NHL player prop picks
Gabriel Landeskog Over 0.5 assists (+144) at Wild
Landeskog is back to a version resembling his best. He has an assist in the previous four games, accumulating 5. The Avs' captain took a long time to recover from his debilitating injury, but his confidence is now sky high, and it shows with his play.
He's a big-game player, which he demonstrated in the 2022 Cup run, scoring 22 points in 20 contests. I also love the tasty plus-money odds at FanDuel.
Nazem Kadri Over 2.5 shots (+130) at Wild
Kadri's shots and assists prop are equally appealing. You can score +196 at FanDuel for him to notch at least one assist, which he achieved in three of the previous four games.
I'm backing him to fire at least 3 shots on goal for the fourth straight time in this series. While he didn't hit the Over during the first round, Kadri is ignited, and he's been an influential member of the Avs' top power play unit.
And despite losing 5-1 in Game 2, the Avs have outshot the Wild in all three contests.
🚀 Best NHL parlay picks today
Whether they win or not, the Avs will have a bounce-back game. While the odds are a bit longer, I'm confident in Landeskog and Kadri, not only on their statistics but also on how they're playing.
Kaprizov is the offensive leader of the Wild. Whether he gets a goal or assist, I feel pretty safe that he's going to register a point.
💵 Best NHL parlay bet today
- Kirill Kaprizov Over 0.5 assists (-110)
- Gabriel Landeskog Over 0.5 assists (+144)
- Nazem Kadrid Over 2.5 shots (+125)
Best odds: +948 via BetMGM (0.1u -> .95u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 110-116-4 | +26.81 units ✅ | 12.6% ✅ |
| Player props | 72-85 | +4.47 units ✅ | 3% ✅ |
| Parlays | 5-22 | +0.20 units ✅ | 6.2% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting NHL player props today
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
I'm backing Landeskog and Kadri as I expect the Avs to be much better in Game 3 after their first loss of the postseason. The long odds, while inferring a lower probability, are appealing in this case.
Both are flying, and I expect an even more impactful outing from players who save their best for the playoffs. After seriously considering going with a half unit for Landeskog and Nadri, I landed on a full unit.
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