🏒 Golden Knights vs. Ducks Prediction & Odds | Game 4 NHL Picks for Sunday, May 10
It's been a magical season in Anaheim, but it could soon be over if the Ducks aren't able to solve their defensive issues at home.
Anaheim was lit up for six goals in Game 3, and my Golden Knights vs. Ducks prediction projects more Vegas offensive success when the series continues tonight at Honda Center (9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN and Sportsnet.) My favorite play is the Over 6.5, but I'm also backing the Knights as small moneyline favorites, along with a score prediction and player prop bet for tonight.
🏒 Golden Knights vs. Ducks picks & odds today: May 10
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Knights moneyline(-113 via FanDuel) | 0.5u → 0.44u | Vegas has scored 16 goals in its last three road games in these playoffs. |
| Over 6.5 (-105 via BetMGM) | 1u → 0.95u | Anaheim has allowed 4+ goals in eight of its last 11 at home. |
| William Karlsson Over 0.5 points (+120 via BetMGM) | 1u → 1.2u | Karlsson played on a line with the red-hot Mitch Marner last game, drawing an assist. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.59 units
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
🏆 Who will win Golden Knights vs. Ducks?
I'm taking Vegas to win this game by two goals because of Anaheim's defensive struggles at home. The Ducks have given up at least four goals in eight of their last 11 at Honda Center, and I don't expect them to be able to generate enough offense against Vegas to overcome those issues.
Score prediction: Golden Knights 5, Ducks 3
💰 Golden Knights vs. Ducks prediction & best bet
Over 6.5 (-105)
The Ducks' best chance to even up the series tonight is to try to outscore the Golden Knights, not smother them defensively. Anaheim has given up at least four goals in eight of its last 11 home games dating back to the regular season, and only one of those games stayed Under the total.
Meanwhile, Vegas has scored 16 goals in its last three road games and at least three in five of its last six away from home. I'd play Over 6.5 up to -115 odds, making BetMGM's -105 price worth a full unit play.
🔥 Best Golden Knights vs. Ducks player prop bet
William Karlsson Over 0.5 points (+120)
Karlsson was quiet in his first two games of this series as he returned from a lower-body injury that sidelined him since Nov. 8. However, he seems to have hit his stride now, generating 0.3 expected goals and an assist in Game 3, where he saw 19 minutes of ice time.
Some of that increased production could also be explained by moving onto a line with Mitch Marner, who ranks second in the playoffs in both goals and points. Marner recorded a natural hat trick skating with Karlsson on Friday, and all signs point to the two being teamed together again tonight along with Brett Howden.
Betting Karlsson's points props is a way to jump on Marner's coattails at a cheaper price than backing Marner himself. BetMGM's +120 return on Karlsson recording a point is great value in a market I'd play down to even money.
🚀 Golden Knights vs. Ducks same-game parlay
A logical game script tonight is for the Ducks to come out with desperation to avoid a 3-1 series hole, only to be undone by their defensive issues at home. I won't be surprised at all if both teams score at least three goals tonight, but the Golden Knights' experience should help them pull things out in the end. A high-scoring Knights win would almost certainly involve more contributions from Marner, who is coming off a four-point night and has six goals in nine playoff games.
💵 Golden Knights vs. Ducks SGP picks
- Golden Knights Moneyline (-113)
- Over 6.5 (-106)
- Mitch Marner Over 0.5 points (-235)
Best odds: +264 via FanDuel (0.5u -> 1.32u)
💡 How I'm betting Golden Knights vs. Ducks
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
This game sets up well to exploit Anaheim's defensive issues at home, and I'm looking to take advantage. The Over is my favorite play and worth a full unit, while a half-unit play on the moneyline is another way to back Vegas having offensive success tonight. Getting plus money on a member of the Karlsson-Marner-Brett Howden line to record a point is also worth a full unit stake in a game where I'm expecting goals from both sides.
📊 Live Golden Knights vs. Ducks odds: Game 4
FanDuel opened the Knights as small -113 moneyline favorites and set the total at 6.5 with slight -112 juice to the Under. Neither line had moved much by Sunday morning, although the Under had ticked down to -114 juice. I'm not expecting significant movement throughout the day.
📈 Golden Knights vs. Ducks betting trends
| Golden Knights | Statistic | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| 39-26-9-8 | W-L record | 43-33-6-0 |
| 34-48 | ATS record | 40-42 |
| 39-39 | O/U record | 47-32 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 2-3 |
🚑 Golden Knights vs. Ducks injuries
📺 How to watch Golden Knights vs. Ducks Game 4
- Date: Sunday, May 10
- Puck drop: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
- TV: ESPN, Sportsnet
- Streaming: ESPN+
Related Articles
