🏒 Ducks vs. Golden Knights Prediction & Odds: Game 1 NHL Picks for Today, May 4
Last Updated: May 4, 2026 11:40 AM EDT • 4 minute read X Social Google News Link
The second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs gets underway tonight, featuring an exciting Pacific Division rivalry between the Anaheim Ducks and the Vegas Golden Knights. Game 1 has its puck drop set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nev.
Oddsmakers have set the total at 6.5, while valuing the Golden Knights as a sizable home favorite in moneyline betting markets at -166 odds. My Ducks vs. Golden Knights prediction includes the moneyline, a total, a correct score bet at +3500, and a player prop.
🏒 Ducks vs. Golden Knights picks & odds today: May 4
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Ducks +1.5 (-170 via BetMGM) | 1u → 0.58u | Ducks have covered +1.5 in 3 straight H2H matchups. |
| Over 6.5 (-105 via bet365) | 1u → 0.95u | Over 6.5 has won in 3 straight H2H matchups. |
| Jackson LaCombe Over 0.5 points (-122 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.82u | LaCombe led the Ducks with 9 points in 1st Round. 1 goal and 7 assists in last 5 starts. |
Total wagered: 3.0 units | Max profit: 2.35 units
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🏆 Who will win Ducks vs. Golden Knights?
The Ducks and Golden Knights are both playing with confidence following their first-round wins. Anaheim's victory over Edmonton signals that the Ducks are a legitimate threat to win the Western Conference.
There's a ton of young talent on the Ducks' roster. All three of Vegas' regular-season matchups against Anaheim resulted in a loss.
Anaheim scored three or more goals in five of six games against the Oilers in the first round. Don't be surprised if the Ducks pull off the road upset tonight in Las Vegas. I'm taking Anaheim on the puck line at +1.5.
Score prediction: Ducks 5, Golden Knights 4
💰 Ducks vs. Golden Knights prediction & best bet
Ducks +1.5 (-170)
Taking the Ducks to cover +1.5 feels like the best bet to place in Game 1 against the Golden Knights. The Ducks are 42-45 on the puck line this season, compared to Vegas' 36-52 ATS record.
Anaheim also swept the Golden Knights in the regular season, beating Vegas 4-3 in every outing. The Golden Knights dropped a home game to the Mammoth in the first round, too.
All we need is the Ducks to lose by a goal tonight. Head to BetMGM to get the best price on Anaheim's +1.5 puck line at -170 odds.
🔥 Best Ducks vs. Golden Knights player prop bet
Jackson LaCombe Over 0.5 points (-122)
Anaheim's top-line defenseman, Jackson LaCombe, led all Ducks players with nine points in the first-round series win over the Oilers. Now, LaCombe draws a matchup against goaltender Carter Hart, who has allowed four goals in three of his past four starts.
LaCombe logged over 26 minutes ATOI in four straight starts against Edmonton in the last series. The 25-year-old defenseman skates on the second power-play unit, affording him additional scoring chances.
In his past five starts, LaCombe has scored a goal and tallied seven assists for Anaheim. LaCombe recorded three points in three starts against Vegas during the regular season, managing at least one point in two of those matchups.
Let's back LaCombe to stay hot on the ice and bet on him to go over 0.5 points in Game 1 tonight at FanDuel's -122 odds.
🚀 Ducks vs. Golden Knights same-game parlay
For my Ducks vs. Golden Knights same-game parlay, I'm rolling out a two-legger with the Ducks +1.5 and over 6.5 total goals. This won in all three regular-season H2H matchups played.
Go to BetMGM to bet one more unit on this Ducks vs. Golden Knights same-game parlay at +210 odds.
💵 Ducks vs. Golden Knights SGP picks
- Ducks +1.5 (-170)
- Over 6.5 (-105)
Best odds: +210 via BetMGM (1u -> 2.1u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since [DATE].
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-32-2 | +20.16 units ✅ | +35.5% ✅ |
| Game picks | 9-8 | +8.38 units ✅ | +63.3% ✅ |
| Player props | 7-8 | -1.71 units ❌ | -11.4% ❌ |
| Parlays | 6-9 | +12.32 units ✅ | +117.3% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting Ducks vs. Golden Knights
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
I'm taking 4.25 units to bet on tonight's Game 1 matchup between the Ducks and Golden Knights. The Ducks are being undervalued by oddsmakers on the road, allowing us to bet Anaheim's +1.5 puck line at -170 odds.
We saw the Ducks sweep the Golden Knights in the regular season, including on the road at T-Mobile Arena. Anaheim also won on the road against Edmonton, while cashing over 6.5 total goals in five of six playoff games, so I'm on over 6.5 in Game 1 tonight.
Jackson LaCombe was the leading point scorer for the Ducks against the Oilers. I expect his production to remain intact against a volatile goaltender like Carter Hart, which is why I'm backing LaCombe in the player prop total points market.
📊 Live Ducks vs. Golden Knights odds: Game 1
There has been virtually no line movement since Game 1 numbers for the moneyline and total were released a couple of days ago. Vegas remains a healthy home favorite at -166 odds, while the goal total sits at 6.5, with juice on the under.
Only 34 percent of moneyline bets are on the Ducks, while 64 percent of puck line wagers are on Anaheim. The public is also expecting a high-scoring Game 1, with 60 percent of bets placed on over 6.5.
📈 Ducks vs. Golden Knights betting trends
| Ducks | Statistic | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| 47-41 | W-L record | 43-45 |
| 42-45 | ATS record | 36-52 |
| 51-34-3 | O/U record | 42-41-5 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 3-2 |
🚑 Ducks vs. Golden Knights injuries
📺 How to watch Ducks vs. Golden Knights Game 1
- Date: Monday, May 4
- Puck drop: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, Nev.)
- TV: ESPN
Matt MacKay X social