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Russell Wilson of the Denver Broncos throws the ball during the first half against the Carolina Panthers, and we offer our top NFL parlay picks for Week 4 based on the best NFL odds.
Russell Wilson of the Denver Broncos throws the ball during the first half against the Carolina Panthers. Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images via AFP.

There are three intriguing NFL matchups on Christmas Day. Read on for our top NFLChristmas Day prop picks based on the latest odds

We'll get to enjoy a special holiday NFL tripleheader. The slate begins with the Green Bay Packers escaping the freezing cold to take on the Miami Dolphins. Later that afternoon, the Denver Broncos travel west to play the Los Angeles Rams. Finally, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers end the day against the Arizona Cardinals. 

The following props offer a deeper dive into the books, going beyond the more typical bets. Some are specific to one book, but all are selected based on value.

Here are our best NFL Christmas Day prop picks (odds via Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, and Barstool Sportsbook; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our Christmas Day parlay picks.

NFL Christmas Day Prop Picks for Week 16

  • Packers Over 23.5 (+100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Russell Wilson -27.5 Over Baker Mayfield passing yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Arizona Cardinals +4.5 first-half spread (-110 via WynnBET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Check out our Week 16 NFL picks roundup.

NFL Christmas Day Prop Predictions

Packers Over 23.5 (+100) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Green Bay struggled offensively to start the season and is averaging 20.5 points per game. However, that's shot up to 28.3 over the team's past three affairs. The Packers have reached at least 24 points in four of their last five contests. They've eclipsed this total six times in 2022.

Meanwhile, Miami is allowing 24.6 points per game. The Dolphins are on a three-game losing streak and have surrendered at least 24 points in two of their last three outings. The Los Angeles Chargers finished just one point shy of cashing this prop against the Dolphins in Week 14. The Over on this total has hit eight times in 2022 against Miami.

Caesars is the only book offering the Over at even money. DraftKings has it listed at -105, Barstool is at -109, and FanDuel sits at -102. BetMGM is offering the line at 20.5 while pricing the Over at -160.

Check out our Packers-Dolphins picksSGP picks, and Aaron Rodgers-Tua Tagovailoa picks.

Wilson -27.5 Over Baker Mayfield passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Wilson is averaging 233.8 passing yards per game during his first year in Denver. Overall, the Broncos are averaging 231.6 yards through the air per matchup. They're facing a Rams defense that's allowing 241.5 yards per outing to opposing quarterbacks.

Despite winning his Los Angeles debut, Mayfield threw for only 230 yards against the Las Vegas Raiders. That number plummeted to only 111 versus the Packers in Week 15. He's averaging a mere 183.8 passing yards per game in 2022 overall. His opponent this week is allowing the fourth-fewest passing yards per game (211.6).

Check out our Broncos-Rams picks and SGP picks.

Cardinals +4.5 first-half spread (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Cardinals are averaging 9.8 first-half points in 2022, and they're surrendering 12.4 points to their opposition before the half. Arizona has gone into the locker room with the lead at the half in its last three games. That includes the last two when Arizona has played without quarterback Kyler Murray.

Tampa Bay has been struggling to score overall in 2022, let alone in the first two quarters of the game. The Bucs are averaging only 8.1 points before halftime while allowing nine to opponents. They've failed to lead at the half in three out of their last four matchups. 

The price for this prop remains constant across most of the major books. However, Barstool posts Tampa Bay at -3.5 as -124 favorites, with Arizona +3.5 at -103 underdogs.

Check out our Buccaneers-Cardinals picks and SGP picks.

Christmas Day prop picks made 12/24/2022 at 12:44 a.m. ET.

Where to Bet on NFL Christmas Day Prop Picks

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Related Pages

●      U.S. Sports Betting | Best U.S. Sportsbook Promos