Monday Night Football Picks & Predictions: Bills vs. Jets Best Bets
The final game of Week 1 is here, and our Monday Night Football picks and predictions have you covered for your Bills vs. Jets best bets at our best NFL betting sites.
It's not too late to turn a profit during the NFL's opening week.
To help you with your Bills vs. Jets prediction, we've rounded up our betting experts' top NFL picks for Monday Night Football between the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets with a variety of selections from our best NFL prop betting sites.
Monday Night Football picks: Bills vs. Jets
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Jordan Poyer Over 4.5 tackles + assists (+120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Last season, Jordan Poyer registered at least five combined tackles in eight of his 12 games. He cleared this mark in solo tackles alone during two of his outings. Poyer has appeared in 13 games against the Jets and logged five-plus total tackles in seven. That includes three of his last four meetings.
The Jets attempted 36.9 passes per game in 2022, which ranked them seventh in the league. That number could decrease somewhat since Aaron Rodgers attempted just over 31 passes per contest with Green Bay in 2022. However, Poyer will still play a large role in bringing down the Jets receivers when they do catch the ball.
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Bills vs. Jets player props from Rod Villagomez
Josh Allen + Aaron Rodgers Under 45.5 completions (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Perhaps we’re overplaying the importance of history when it comes to Monday night’s game, but we’d play this completion total as low as 42.5. This isn’t a five-star play because both Rodgers and Allen have been known to produce incredible games, but this is the closest thing to a lock you’re going to get in this contest.
Allen completed just 18 and 16 passes against the Jets in his two games during 2022. Even if he goes to 21, that would still require Rodgers to complete 25 passes for this Over to hit. Rodgers completed just 19 passes during his only game against the Bills in 2022.
It seems oddsmakers are banking on bettors basing their wagers on name alone without looking at stats. Because there's nothing in recent history to suggest this total will finish anywhere near 46.
Josh Allen vs. Aaron Rodgers player props from Phil Wood
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Garrett Wilson Over 68.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
In 2022, Wilson averaged 13.3 yards per reception, so as long as he hauls in four or five balls in this game, he is going to have a chance to hit this Over. With Rodgers under center, the offense is going to be much more open than it was a year ago. This will bode well for Wilson, who will be used more on deeper passing routes than he was last season.
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Additionally, Wilson seems to have this Bills defense figured out. He went for 92 yards in his first game against them and 78 in his second. While his yards per reception in each game were 13 or lower, that was with a completely different offense.
Garrett Wilson player props from Phil Wood
Josh Allen Over 6.5 rushing attempts (-140 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
One of my favorite NFL prop angles is to bet on mobile quarterbacks in prime-time matchups, especially against a defense that creates a lot of pressure. Check and check for Allen vs. the Jets' defense.
Allen averaged 7.75 rushing attempts per game last year, which includes 19 total rushes during his two meetings against New York in 2022. He also started the 2022 campaign off with 10 rushing attempts when facing the Los Angeles Rams in the season opener on Thursday Night Football.
I project just under eight rushing attempts for Allen in this Week 1 clash with the Jets. Not only will Allen record his fair share of scrambles, but he should be featured in designed runs with not much competition in the Buffalo backfield. Running back James Cook figures to lead the Bills in rushing, but his Over/Under has been set at just 10.5 carries. Damien Harris, the backup RB, is getting a total of 5.5 across our best sports betting apps.
It's worth paying the -140 juice in this case, as FanDuel has bumped this line up to 7.5 and DraftKings is offering the Over at -163 vig on 6.5 rushing attempts. The market has clearly been pushing this Over, and we're taking advantage of BetMGM not paying attention.
Trending player prop picks from Shane Jackson
Bills vs. Jets anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Allen Lazard (Jets, WR) +300 via BetMGM ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This may feel like low-hanging fruit to a degree but I'm most interested in BetMGM's outlier +300 odds on this prop with most of our other best sports betting sites setting Lazard's odds of finding the end zone at +275 or worse.
Garrett Wilson led the Jets with 18 red-zone targets as a rookie last season, all while playing with the three-headed monster of Zach Wilson, Joe Flacco, and Mike White. Behind Wilson, receiver Elijah Moore and Tyler Conklin had nine red-zone targets apiece, Braxton Berrios had eight, and Corey Davis had seven. Of that group, only Conklin remains on the roster.
Lazard finds himself in the perfect position to scoop up that red-zone work, especially with the Jets expected to find themselves in the scoring area of the field much more often with Aaron Rodgers at the helm of the offense. In his fifth NFL season, Lazard led the Green Bay Packers with 11 red-zone looks last season and caught seven for four touchdowns. It was his second straight season with at least six total touchdowns while working with Rodgers.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions from Esten McLaren
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