Top Expert Betting Picks for 2022 Super Bowl
The matchup for the big game is set! Find out where our NFL betting experts lean in our 2022 Super Bowl expert picks.
The lines and odds are in. What's the best way to bet the Super Bowl LVI matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals?
Here's a look at the top moneyline and Over/Under picks for the 2022 Super Bowl from our team of betting experts (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale):
Top 2022 Super Bowl Expert Picks
SEE ALSO: 2022 Super Bowl Line Shopping
Top 2022 Super Bowl ATS Expert Picks
Bengals +4.5 (-110 via Caesars)
Second-year quarterback Joe Burrow and the offense may garner all of the headlines, but the Bengals' AFC Championship win was truly about the defense. The unit may not have the best statistical rankings in the NFL, but it is truly legit.
Pass-rusher Trey Hendrickson will perhaps go down as one of the most underrated free-agent signings of all time if the Bengals win their first Super Bowl title. Along with tackle D.J. Reader and fellow defensive end Sam Hubbard, Cincinnati has a nasty front line. Against a Rams offensive line that has looked vulnerable on several occasions, the Bengals figure to have the upper hand.
Cincinnati is also well-equipped at the linebacker position, with former Logan Wilson headlining the position. While the Bengals lack elite cover corner talent, veteran safety Vonn Bell is a solid anchor in the secondary.
Combining this sturdy defense with a talented offense, it's hard not to come away believing the Bengals can stay within the number. The availability of four and the hook remains sparse at national sportsbooks but is well worth waiting for. - John
SEE ALSO: Top Super Bowl 56 Prop Bets
Rams -4 (-112 at FanDuel)
The Rams have already moved from -4 to -4.5 (-110) at DraftKings since the odds opened late Sunday night. I haven't placed any wagers on the point spread yet, as I'm curious to see how the movement could impact my preferences in the coming days.
At Rams -4.5, the Bengals become a more intriguing option, with final scores such as 24-20 Rams or 27-23 Rams feeling like legitimate possibilities for which the hook on Cincinnati's side would be greatly appreciated. Assuming I can still find the Rams at -4, that's my lean at present.
The Rams' fifth-ranked passing offense has a major advantage against a Bengals' defense that allows 264.6 yards through the air on average (27th in NFL). Cooper Kupp has been a dynamite presence all season long for Los Angeles, but now teams have to contend with a well-integrated Odell Beckham causing problems as a bona fide secondary receiving option. Both star wide receivers eclipsed 100 yards receiving in the Rams' NFC Championship win over the 49ers.
The Bengals can score points, too, scoring right with the Rams on the season at around 27 points per game. Like Los Angeles, Cincinnati's strength offensively comes in the passing game. But the advantage swings heavily to the Rams when considering the pressure that Burrow figures to be under.
The Bengals' struggles along the offensive line have been well-documented. Cincy surrendered 55 sacks on the season, 30th in the NFL. The Rams have caused the third-most sacks in the league, with Aaron Donald leading the way. Leonard Floyd and Von Miller have wrecked their share of quarterbacks, as well.
Burrow's been under duress all postseason, but it's going to reach new heights in the Super Bowl. I don't expect the second-year star to be absolutely perfect against the menacing Rams defense. Not without a capable offensive line protecting him. - Schaeffer
Bengals +4.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
The narrative surrounding the Super Bowl LVI matchup between the Bengals and Rams is fascinating. Los Angeles went "all-in" to win a championship based on their numerous offseason and in-season trades and acquisitions. Conversely, the Bengals were not even given a chance to finish anywhere but fourth in their own division, let alone win a championship. They're trying to join the 1999 Rams as teams with 150-1 or longer preseason odds to win a Super Bowl. Everything is pointing to the Rams, especially with this game being played in SoFi Stadium. Yet, we still find ourselves asking, "How do you bet against Joe Burrow?"
Burrow is attempting to become the only player ever to win a Heisman Trophy, a collegiate national championship, and a Super Bowl. The Bengals are never out of a game with Joe Cool under center. They just handed Patrick Mahomes his first career loss (37-1) when leading by 15 points. However, the most impressive part of Cincinnati's win over Kansas City was that an often overlooked defense held Mahomes and the Chiefs to just three points after halftime, giving Burrow and the offense a chance to get them back in the game.
Both the Bengals and Rams have won their last two playoff games by three points apiece. Yet the Rams have the feel that they have "survived" after trying to give their games away, while the Bengals have "earned" their victories. Cincinnati is 7-1 when rushing for at least 100 yards. A balanced offense will be vital in keeping this game close.
There is something special about Burrow's makeup and mentality, and it is clear his teammates feel like they can and will win every game with him under center. We will not make the mistake of picking against him, especially when the lights are brightest. - Spector
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Top 2022 Super Bowl O/U Expert Picks
Wait for Total to Climb
While the Bengals' defense has flown under the radar all season, it's no secret that the Rams have some studs on that side of the ball. In a matchup against a horrendous Cincy offensive front, Donald, Floyd, Miller and the rest of the L.A. pass-rushers will have a decisive advantage. Star corner Jalen Ramsey will most likely draw Bengals wideout Ja'Marr Chase in coverage. Regardless, his presence will help the Rams eliminate one of the Bengals' top receivers.
After pumping up both defenses in this matchup, my play is clearly the total Under. However, now is not the time. After the line opened as high as 50 at some spots, it is now down to 48 or 48.5 across the market.
If there's one thing we can be sure of when it comes to the betting public, it's that they will hammer the Over in this game. After all, the public bets with their hearts and on what they want to see. No one wants to see a low-scoring, defense-first Super Bowl. It would not come as a surprise to see this line climb back up to opening or even higher closer to the game. When it does, we'll be ready to strike. - John
SEE ALSO: 2022 Super Bowl Betting Guide
Over 48 (-110 at DraftKings)
Considering the sheer volume of plays for which Burrow has been under considerable pressure this season, and particularly in the playoffs, he's done a remarkable job of avoiding the big mistake. Though I believe that Donald and Co. get home to dial-up at least one marquee defensive play in this Super Bowl, that doesn't mean Burrow won't persevere to show the world a bit of the magic that got him here in the first place.
The Bengals aren't going to be held without explosive plays against the Rams. As the total continues dropping from its original opening line of 49 at most books, I begin to grow more fond of slamming the Over in spite of everything we've seen from these two teams thus far in the playoffs. My belief is the Rams offense will thrive to the extent that Burrow and Co. will be forced into an alternate game plan compared to their three previous playoff scripts.
For this script, I see the Rams getting to 27-plus points. With a running game that could be limited for both sides, sustaining the type of six or seven-minute drives that kill Overs could be a difficult task. With the expectation that the Rams have a healthy lead into the fourth quarter, the onus could be on the Bengals to drive quickly to stay alive. I like their chances of doing so to the extent that the Over 48 finds its legs. If you like the Over, too, bet it at DraftKings rather than FanDuel, where the total currently remains at 48.5. - Schaeffer
Over 48 (-110 via DraftKings)
The line movement is shading towards the Under, based mainly on each team's dominant defensive performances in the conference championship games. In addition, a widespread narrative entering the Super Bowl is that the Rams' ability to pressure the quarterback and Cincinnati's poor pass protection lead many to believe this will be a low-scoring game. However, there is plenty to support both teams' chances of scoring points.
Burrow was sacked nine times by the Titans, tied for the most ever in a playoff game. However, head coach Zac Taylor and the rest of the Bengals' offensive coaching staff made the necessary in-game adjustments, and Burrow's statistics were eye-popping considering the duress he was under.
Look for Los Angeles to use a balanced and unpredictable offense to sustain scoring drives. In their first two playoff games, the Rams scored 41 combined first-half points using vastly different philosophies. Against Arizona, they ran the ball 66% of the time and rushed for 94 yards. Against Tampa Bay, they rushed 30% of the time in the game's first 30 minutes and ran for 31 yards but offset that with 219 passing yards.
Cincinnati will combat Los Angeles' fierce pressure by getting the ball out quickly and relying on their playmakers (6.3 yards after catch per reception- ranks second in the NFL). In addition, Los Angeles has averaged 27 ppg (sixth in NFL) and 375 ypg (seventh), including the playoffs. Both teams have explosive offenses that can put points on the board in a hurry, which should lead to an entertaining shootout. - Spector
Where to Bet on the Super Bowl
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