Skip to main content

Browns vs. Texans NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions for Wild Card Weekend

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: January 13, 2024 1:36 PM EST • 3 min 20 sec read.

Joe Flacco of the Cleveland Browns hands the ball off to Kareem Hunt in the first quarter against the Los Angeles Rams, and we offer our top Browns vs. Texans player props based on the best NFL odds.
Joe Flacco of the Cleveland Browns hands the ball off to Kareem Hunt in the first quarter against the Los Angeles Rams. Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images via AFP.

The Cleveland Browns travel to play the Houston Texans on Wild Card Weekend following an exhilarating Week 18 battle for the AFC South crown, and we're offering our top Browns vs. Texans player props based on the best NFL odds.

Joe Flacco will once again get the chance to prove he is indeed elite when he leads his Cleveland Browns to Houston to face the Texans in the opening matchup of Wild Card Weekend.

Flacco looked every bit of the part in the Clevelands' Week 16 triumph over the Texans, throwing for an incredible 368 passing yards on 27 completions and tossing three touchdowns to lock up the victory.

With a trip to the AFC Divisional Round on the line, can Flacco replicate that success? Or will the Browns opt for a more conservative approach in the postseason?

As part of our NFL predictions and to accompany our Browns vs. Texans prediction, C.J. Stroud NFL player props, and Joe Flacco NFL player props, here are our best Browns vs. Texans NFL player props for Wild Card Weekend (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Browns vs. Texans NFL player props: Wild Card Weekend

Joe Flacco Under 275.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

You're going to notice a trend with these three player props.

The projections are telling us that the Browns will opt to slow this contest down with the running game rather than let Flacco sling the ball all around the field like he did in Week 16. Cleveland would be wise to do so, as that win was aided by Amari Cooper putting on an all-time performance, which helped people forget that Flacco also threw two interceptions in the game.

Among our best sports betting apps, FanDuel is giving Flacco the most respect with its passing yards line of 275.5. In comparison, bet365 is down at 269.5, DraftKings and BetMGM are at 270.5, and Caesars is at 272.5.

Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, has Flacco's total set at 270.5, with the Under priced at -118.

Across five projection models, Flacco's average passing yards projection is 263.08. Based on that number, we're getting nearly 19% positive expected value on this bet. Between the value and this somewhat rogue line, this is a four-star play that I personally bet immediately upon finding.

Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate Disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook

Joe Flacco Under 23.5 passing completions (-113 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Sticking with fading Flacco, we're also taking the Under on his passing completions total.

You know the narrative, so we'll get straight into the numbers. Flacco's average passing completions total across those same five projection models is 21.75, more than two completions less than what he'd require to go Over on this prop.

When we run that projection against BetRivers' -113 odds on Under 23.5, we're getting roughly 21% +EV on this bet.

In comparison, Pinnacle's Under on the same line is juiced to -130 after opening at -115. That tells us there's been relatively significant sharp action on the Under.

Once again, as a result of the value relative to both the projection and the odds found at our other best sports betting sites, this is a four-star play at BetRivers.

I want to note, though, that some may jump to parlay these first two bets. I'd opt against that and suggest betting both as singles. A positive correlation between the two props will likely shorten the odds for your SGP to the point that it's not worth it, and Flacco can still eclipse one number while going Under the other.

Visit our Google News page and click "Follow" (⭐) for the latest odds, picks and news!  

Jerome Ford Over 11.5 rushing attempts (-130 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

If you checked out our Browns vs. Texans prediction, you'll see I recommended Jerome Ford Over 41.5 rushing yards. Well, the data tells us there's also value in his rushing attempts Over.

I don't love it quite as much as the Flacco plays, which you'll notice by it receiving one fewer star, but it's still a solid bet.

Ford's average rushing attempts projection across our five trusted models is 12.5, which is showing exactly 5% +EV on Over 11.5 at Fanduel's -130 odds.

I preferred his rushing yards Over 41.5 at FanDuel on Wednesday, which showed roughly 12% +EV, but that number is now gone, with the lowest total being 42.5. Therefore, if you missed that, this is a solid prop to pivot to.

As you can see from all three plays, the data and sharp bettors agree that this game will play out differently than the Week 16 affair. Make sure to use our exclusive FanDuel promo code for two of them, and get solid value before the public catches up and our best sportsbooks move these numbers!

Browns-Texans player props made Thursday at 1 p.m. ET.

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related pages

Written By:
Andrew Brennan
Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He's been a Boston Red Sox fan for over 20 years and a Liverpool supporter for nearly a decade. He's probably watching, talking about, or thinking about sports while you read this.