Bears vs. Giants Picks, Predictions NFL Week 4: Will Chicago Keep Running?
The Chicago Bears and New York Giants are two of the most surprising 2-1 teams in the NFL through three weeks. Check out our top picks for Bears-Giants in Week 4.
The Chicago Bears bounced back from a 27-10 loss to the Green Bay Packers in Week 2 with a 23-20 home win over the Houston Texans last week. Despite little no passing game, they're 2-1 straight up and 1-1-1 against the spread.
The Giants suffered their first loss of the season in the form of a 23-16 defeat at the hands of the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football. They had previously upset both the Tennessee Titans and Carolina Panthers.
Check out all of our top NFL Week 4 picks here.
Here are our top Bears-Giants NFL picks for Week 4 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, and BetRivers; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Bears vs. Giants Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Oct. 2, 1 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- Weather: 68 degrees, 30% chance of precipitation, 12-mph winds
Bears vs. Giants Odds
Bears vs. Giants Odds Analysis
The spread has stayed firm at the consensus opening number of Giants -3 with 53% of the tickets and 52% of the cash backing New York to cover.
The Over/Under has dropped slightly from 39.5 to 38.5 as of Sunday morning with 68% of the tickets on the Under; however, those account for just 49% of the handle.
Bears vs. Giants Picks
- Moneyline: Bears ML (+158 via Caesars) ★★★★★
- Over/Under: Under 39.5 (-109 via BetRivers) ★★★★★
- Prop: Fields Under 148.5 passing yards (-115 via DraftKings) ★★★★★
Bears vs. Giants ATS Pick
Bears ML (+158) ★★★★★
Chicago’s coaching staff came into this season with one priority – running the ball as much as possible. Perhaps the Bears lack confidence in starting quarterback Justin Fields, who was not drafted by the current management group. Either way, both Bears’ running backs, David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert, are getting a ton of work and it’s leading to wins.
The sportsbooks favor the Giants, but New York’s inability to stop the rush could really bite the G-Men in this matchup. They’ve allowed nearly 140 rushing yards per game, and will have to defend that more often than not against a Bears team that has only 45 pass attempts through three games.
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Bears vs. Giants O/U Pick
Under 39.5 (-109) ★★★★★
It’s usually tough to take the Under on such a low total, but neither team has scored with regularity. Both average below 20 points per game and have a questionable quarterback under center.
New York and Chicago also lack wide receiving talent, made worse following Giants wideout Sterling Shepard's injury news. The stars would have to align for the Over to hit, as even five touchdowns and a field goal won’t move the needle far enough.
Bears vs. Giants Prop Pick
Fields Under 148.5 passing yards (-115) ★★★★★
Fields must be feeling strange so far this season, given how little he's used. He wasn’t a high-volume passer last season either, but averaging just 15 attempts per game is somewhat absurd.
This prop total appears to be a bit high, given that Fields hasn’t thrown for more than 121 yards in a game yet this season, and Chicago projects to be able to lean on the run once again against the Giants' weak rush defense. New York is 28th by defensive DVOA against the run. This is unlikely to be the spot where the Bears' open up their questionable passing game.
Where to Bet on Bears vs. Giants Picks
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Bears-Giants picks made 9/29/2022 at 4:24 p.m. ET
