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Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA Player Props, Odds: Picks and Predictions for Christmas Day

Philip Wood

Last Updated: December 25, 2023 11:30 AM EST • 2 min 35 sec read.

Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets reacts after scoring, and we offer our top NBA player props and expert picks for Saturday based on the best NBA odds.
Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets reacts after scoring. Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images via AFP.

The Denver Nuggets host the Golden State Warriors on Christmas Day, as we make the best Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.

The Warriors have won five consecutive games to get above .500 for the first time since Nov. 12, and they're averaging 125.8 points during that stretch.

However, the Nuggets have won four in a row themselves, and they have the second-best record in the West.

Nikola Jokic is averaging the second-most rebounds per game this season, and when these two teams met earlier this season, he scored 35 points.

In addition to our NBA Christmas Day predictions and NBA Christmas Day player props, here are our best Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA player props and NBA picks for Christmas Day (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA player props for Christmas Day

Nikola Jokic 2+ made 3-pointers (+150 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jokic is averaging just 1.2 made 3-pointers per game this season, and he’s averaging less than one made shot from beyond the arc this month. However, he has made multiple 3-pointers in nine games this season, and he attempted eight in his previous game against the Warriors.

Jokic didn’t make a single shot from deep in Saturday’s win over the Charlotte Hornets. However, he has failed to make a 3-pointer in back-to-back games just once this season. The real reason that happened was because he played only 16 minutes in that second game against the Chicago Bulls.

Jokic has attempted multiple shots from long range in all but three of his games this season. As a 32.7% shooter from deep, he will put up enough shots to hit multiple threes on Christmas Day.

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Stephen Curry Under 27.5 points (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Christmas Day has not been kind to Curry. He’s scored more than 20 points just once in 10 games on Christmas, making him a great player to fade on one of the NBA’s biggest days. This year, we are again fading Curry.

When these two teams met back in November, Curry scored just 23 points on 6-of-17 shooting. Additionally, all of his made field goals came from beyond the arc. The Nuggets will likely play a similar style in this game, daring the Warriors to beat them with anyone but Curry.

Denver is eighth-best in the league in opponent 3-point percentage, and they’re allowing just 110 points per game. In a tough matchup, expect Curry to fail to hit his season average of 28.3 points.

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Aaron Gordon 4+ assists (+150 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Finally, we're backing Aaron Gordon to get out of a slump. He’s averaging 3.4 assists per game this year, but he’s dished out two or fewer assists in each of his last three games. Interestingly, though, the only game in his last four in which he did record four assists was the only game in which he played fewer than 30 minutes.

The Warriors are eighth-best in the league in assists allowed per game. However, oddsmakers are very confident in Gordon to record at least three. The price for Over 2.5 assists is -162.

When these two teams met earlier this season, Gordon recorded three assists. That performance came during a six-game stretch during which he recorded at least five assists in five games. For this price, it’s worth backing him to figure it out on Monday.

Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA player props made Sunday at 10:35 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil is a Sports Betting Analyst for Sportsbook Review and BettingPros.com, specializing in NFL and college football. He previously covered college football and college basketball for CanesInsight.com, where he also hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast. Phil is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is if a line doesn't make sense, just assume that Vegas knows something you don't. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. Some would call him a frontrunner for his love of the Yankees and the Celtics, but he's also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and will never forgive the refs for the blown pass interference call against the Cowboys in 2015.