🏀 Warriors vs. Clippers Prediction & Picks: NBA Play-In Odds for Wednesday, April 15
Two former Western Conference contenders will look to keep their season alive in the NBA Play-In Tournament on Wednesday night, with the No. 10 Warriors taking on the No. 9 Clippers for the opportunity to advance.
My Warriors vs. Clippers prediction targets Los Angeles' dominance in this California rivalry while also backing one of the Clippers' depth scorers. Wednesday's tipoff is at 10 p.m. ET (streaming on Prime Video) from Intuit Dome in Inglewood, Calif., with the Clippers anywhere from a 4.5- to 5.5-point betting favorite.
π Warriors vs. Clippers picks & odds: NBA Play-In Tournament
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| π° Pick | βοΈ Bet size (units) | π§ Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Clippers -4.5 (-115 via DraftKings) | 1u β 0.87u | Clippers have won seven of their last eight against Warriors. |
| Under 220.5 (-110 via DraftKings) | 1u β 0.9u | Only one of four Warriors-Clippers games went Under this number. |
| Bennedict Mathurin Over 11.5 points (-103 via DraftKings) | 0.5u β 0.48u | Mathurin averaged 17.6 PPG this season. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.25 units
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π Who will win Warriors vs. Clippers?
The Warriors limped to the finish line with a 5-15 record over their last 20 games, and their season should mercifully come to an end at the hands of the Clippers in Inglewood on Wednesday night. I'm backing Los Angeles' backcourt depth and defense to lead the Clippers to a 6-point win against their in-state rivals, keeping their playoff hopes alive for at least one more day.
Score prediction: Clippers 112, Warriors 106
π° Warriors vs. Clippers prediction & best bet
The Clippers have the 17th-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Clippers -4.5 (-115)
The Clippers have won seven of eight against the Warriors, and I expect them to extend that one-sided dominance with a play-in tournament victory to eliminate Golden State.
Golden State is reaching an inflection point with its aging and injured roster, which sinks any chance of the Warriors making a postseason run in 2026. Their horrendous form of late makes backing L.A. against the spread an easy decision.
I'm grabbing Clippers -4.5 at DraftKings now before the spread moves further toward L.A., as evidenced by Caesars offering Clippers -5.5 at the same odds (-115).
π₯ Best Warriors vs. Clippers player prop bet
Our NBA playoff series odds break down all confirmed first-round matchups.
Bennedict Mathurin Over 11.5 points (-103)
I love the value available for Bennedict Mathurin's scoring total at DraftKings, given both the entire sample size of his 2025-26 season and his success against the Warriors specifically.
He went Over this number with ease in both Clippers-Warriors games following his trade from the Pacers (20 points and 17 points). While he's gone slightly cold as a scorer of late, this is a low total for Mathurin and his 17.6 points-per-game average to clear. The Canadian guard already showed during Indianaβs Finals run last season that he can deliver monster postseason performances when given the opportunity.
DraftKings is the best option for this player prop, with FanDuel's total set one point lower at significantly worse odds (-136).
🏀 More NBA player props
I also back Bennedict Mathurin to score 12+ points with my Warriors vs. Clippers player props.
π Warriors vs. Clippers same-game parlay
I'm backing a 2-leg parlay for this matchup, based on the belief that the Clippers' defense will lead them to a relatively easy win. Only one of four Warriors-Clippers games this season went Over this total (220.5).
💵 Warriors vs. Clippers SGP picks
- Clippers -4.5 (-115)
- Under 220.5 (-110)
Best odds: +220 via DraftKings (0.5u -> 1.1u)
π‘ How I'm betting Warriors vs. Clippers: NBA Play-In Tournament strategy
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
A rivalry that once heavily favored the Warriors has leaned Clippers all season, which is why my betting focus is on Los Angeles for this matchup. Single-elimination NBA games can be difficult to predict, but there's enough in the Clippers' favor that has me feeling good about my targets.
I'm most confident in Clippers ATS and the Under, with a full unit wagered on each. I'm also value-hunting with a half-unit bet on Mathurin, who is being short-changed with his line but could be affected by the postseason minutes squeeze.
π Live Warriors vs. Clippers odds: NBA Play-In Tournament
The Clippers opened as a 4.5-point favorite, and outside of DraftKings, the best sports betting sites have moved the spread to as high as 5.5 points. I expect L.A. to be favored by 5 or 5.5 points across the market by tipoff time.
π Warriors vs. Clippers betting trends
| Warriors | Statistic | Clippers |
|---|---|---|
| 37-45 | Record | 42-40 |
| 35-47 | ATS record | 42-40 |
| 48-34 | O/U record | 40-42 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 113.8 (19th) | Offensive rating | 116.3 (11th) |
| 114.4 (16th) | Defensive rating | 115.2 (18th) |
| -0.5 (20th) | Net rating | 1.1 (16th) |
π Warriors vs. Clippers injuries
πΊ How to watch Warriors vs. Clippers: NBA Play-In Tournament
- Date: Wednesday, April 15
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Intuit Dome (Inglewood, Calif.)
- TV: Streaming on Prime Video
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