🏀 Warriors vs. Clippers Player Props: NBA Play-In Tournament Picks & Best Bets (April 15)
They may be the players we're most excited to watch on Wednesday night, but I'm fading two overvalued legends in the NBA Play-In Tournament matchup between the Warriors and Clippers.
My Warriors vs. Clippers player props include taking the Under on Kawhi Leonard and Steph Curry combo prop totals. The No. 10 Warriors take on the No. 9 Clippers at 10 p.m. ET (streaming on Prime Video) on Wednesday, from Intuit Dome in Inglewood, Calif., with the Clippers a 4.5- to 5.5-point betting favorite.
🏀 Best Warriors vs. Clippers player props: NBA Play-In picks for April 15
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard, F, Clippers | Under 37.5 points + rebounds (-106 via DraftKings) | 1u -> 0.94u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Stephen Curry, G, Warriors | Under 31.5 points + assists (-107 via DraftKings) | 0.5u -> 0.47u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Bennedict Mathurin, G, Clippers | Over 11.5 points (-103 via DraftKings) | 0.5u -> 0.48u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.89 units
💰 Best Warriors vs. Clippers prop bet
The Clippers have the 17th-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Kawhi Leonard Under 37.5 points + rebounds (-106)
This is a combo prop total that I would think is too high for Kawhi Leonard at nearly any point this season, but especially so when you look at his recent form. The Claw has only gone Over 37.5 points twice across his last 15 games.
He won't have the easiest matchup either, with the Warriors ranking near the top of the league in limiting forward scoring, according to Hashtag Basketball. The best price for this prop is -106 at DraftKings, but I would bet it up to -115 if that was all that was available.
🔥 More Warriors vs. Clippers prop picks
Our NBA playoff series odds break down all confirmed first-round matchups.
Stephen Curry Under 31.5 points + assists (-107)
Curry exceeded 31.5 points + assists in just one of the four games he played since returning from injury. If you look at his performance last postseason, he finished Under this mark in five of seven playoff games that he started and completed. And that was with Jimmy Butler (out for the season) and a healthy Draymond Green (listed as day-to-day ahead of this matchup).
If there's anyone who can pull a rabbit out of his hat in a matchup like this, it's Curry. But the odds are significantly stacked against him in this spot, and DraftKings' -107 betting odds don't reflect that.
Bennedict Mathurin Over 11.5 points (-103)
A recent cold streak has the best sports betting sites devaluing Bennedict Mathurin's scoring. He went Over this number in both regular-season matchups against the Warriors and has averaged 17.4 points per game since joining the Clippers.
His downhill style is a perfect antidote if Los Angeles' shots aren't falling on Wednesday, as he demonstrated with the Pacers in the postseason a year ago.
🚀 Warriors vs. Clippers same-game parlay
Spinning off of my Warriors vs. Clippers prediction - in which I'm backing Clippers -4.5 - I'm adding two player props to create a 3-leg parlay. I'm banking on the idea that we won't necessarily get legendary performances out of Leonard and Curry, and that the Clippers are clearly the superior team playing at home in this matchup.
💵 Warriors vs. Clippers SGP picks
- Clippers -4.5 (-115)
- Kawhi Leonard Under 37.5 points + rebounds (-106)
- Stephen Curry Under 31.5 points + assists (-107)
Best odds: +603 via DraftKings (0.3u -> 1.5u)
💡 How I'm betting Warriors vs. Clippers
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
I understand what the market is thinking: The postseason is here, and it's time for some vintage performances from all-time greats Kawhi Leonard and Steph Curry.
But these player prop totals don't make sense when you look at how each star is playing lately. That being said, I'm a little more confident in the Leonard Under. That's why I'm wagering a full unit there, and just a half-unit on both the Curry and Mathurin player props.
🚑 Warriors vs. Clippers injuries
📺 How to watch Warriors vs. Clippers: NBA Play-In Tournament
- Date: Wednesday, April 15
- Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Intuit Dome (Inglewood, Calif.)
- Streaming: Prime Video
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