Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds, Picks, Predictions: Denver Looks to Keep Rolling Against Manageable Spread

Check out our best Timberwolves-Nuggets picks based on the top odds.

Last Updated: January 18, 2023 11:36 AM EST • 3 minute read

The Denver Nuggets have won seven straight after losing their previous matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Are they out for revenge on Wednesday night? Here are our Timberwolves-Nuggets NBA picks based on the best basketball odds.

The Nuggets (31-13) haven’t lost since a road defeat to the Timberwolves (22-23) on Jan. 2, a stretch that now spans seven consecutive wins.

With the team riding high, can Denver correct the mistakes from their last loss to the T-Wolves and keep rolling at home?

Here is our best Timberwolves-Nuggets NBA pick (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Game Info

Date: Wednesday, January 18, 10 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds

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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds Analysis

The Nuggets opened as 8.5-point favorites and have remained at that number across the majority of our recommended sportsbooks. Caesars (-9) is the lone exception. Currently, 62% of the public money is on the Nuggets.

The total opened at 236 before jumping to between 237 and 237.5 across our affiliated sportsbooks. Right now, the Over is generating 56% of the money.

Check out our NBA best bets for Wednesday, Cavaliers-Grizzlies picks, and NBA prop picks.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Pick

Nuggets -8.5 vs. Timberwolves (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Timberwolves beat the Nuggets at home 124-111 a few weeks back. The disappointing experience seems to have been motivating Denver during the team's current winning run.

The Nuggets would have covered -8.5 during six of the seven wins throughout their streak. The Nuggets boast the league's second-best offensive efficiency while averaging 119.9 points per game at home. Minnesota has been pretty much the same team defensively at home and away. But the T-Wolves allowing north of 115 points per outing with poor defensive efficiency puts the Nuggets in a good position on Wednesday.

Minnesota is one of the NBA's worst teams at covering spreads on the road in 2022-23. The Timberwolves are 8-13 ATS as an away team, ranking fifth-last in the category. Meanwhile, the Nuggets boast a 14-8-1 ATS record at home this season. That’s good for sixth in the league to go along with the NBA's second-best home margin of victory (11.0).

We don’t want to rely on the revenge narrative in our evaluations. But when the narrative aligns with a point spread that feels manageable relative to the way the Nuggets have been winning their games recently, Denver becomes an attractive play.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Best Odds

FanDuel, BetMGM, PointsBet (-8.5, -110)

DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	PointsBet
Nuggets -8.5	Nuggets -8.5	Nuggets -8.5	Nuggets -9	Nuggets -8.5
-115	-110	-110	-110	-110

All but one of our recommended sportsbooks are offering the Nuggets at -8.5, which makes the -9 line at Caesars one to avoid. Though DraftKings is posting that number we want, its odds on the play are juiced to -115. FanDuel, BetMGM, and PointsBet all offer the preferred number of -8.5 with standard -110 odds.

Minnesota hasn’t been on any sort of recent run that would have me feeling too nervous about any single-digit spread. If the line is pushed to -10, this play drops to a three-star recommendation.

Check out our best sports-betting sites for Colorado.

Timberwolves-Nuggets pick made 1/18/2023 at 3:17 p.m. ET.

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Written by:
Brenden Schaeffer

Brenden has covered the St. Louis Cardinals as a credentialed baseball writer for KMOV-TV since 2016. His sports writing has appeared in outlets including the Austin American-Statesman and Columbia Daily Tribune. Since 2021, Brenden has co-hosted 'The Big Show' during the afternoon drive for KTGR, the ESPN radio affiliate in Columbia, MO. He has appeared on radio stations around the country, including KMOX, and hosts a daily St. Louis Cardinals podcast. In the sports betting content space, Brenden has covered the NFL, college football, NBA, and college basketball for outlets including SBR since 2019. For his football handicapping, Brenden looks to target NFL player prop markets as well as sharp underdog lines in college football. Brenden looks to reference FanDuel for his sports betting articles because of its consistently competitive odds on parlays. FanDuel's boost offerings are also customer-friendly, and its odds on the NFL Same Game Parlay articles he's written for SBR have historically been consistently competitive compared to other books.