Skip to main content
Canada guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) and guard RJ Barrett (9) battle for a rebound as we offer our Canada vs. Australia prediction and expert picks for Tuesday's Olympic men's basketball contest at Stade Pierre Mauroy in the Paris 2024 Olympics.
Canada guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) and guard RJ Barrett (9) battle for a rebound with USA guard Devin Booker (15) in USA Basketball Showcase at T-Mobile Arena. Photo by Candice Ward / USA TODAY Sports via Imagn.

Canada and Australia both won their Olympic men's basketball opener, but our best sports betting sites have the Canadians priced as 6-point favorites to stay unbeaten when these teams meet Tuesday at Stade Pierre Mauroy in Lille, France. Tip-off is set for at 7:30 a.m. ET.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, one of the NBA MVP odds favorites, scored 21 points to help Canada defeat Giannis Antetokounmpo and Greece over the weekend. Our Canada vs. Australia prediction expects SGA and his teammates to build on their Olympic debuts as the second favorites by the men's Olympic basketball odds.

Canada vs. Australia predictions for Tuesday

Canada vs. Australia odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

  • Canada -6 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Australia Under 86.5 points (-105) ⭐⭐⭐
  • RJ Barrett Over 16.5 points (-120) ⭐⭐⭐

Canada -6 ⭐⭐⭐

Canada narrowly held off Greece in Saturday's 86-79 win over Greece, but it'll face a stiffer test against the fifth-ranked team in the world in Australia.

Still, don't be fooled by that final score. The Canadians led by as many as 16 points and never trailed, and Gilgeous-Alexander looked like a man inspired in his first taste of Olympic action after an MVP-worthy season for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Canada's roster is chock-full of NBA veterans and defensive stalwarts, while the Australian squad feature some pros but none to the level of SGA, RJ Barrett, Jamal Murray, or the other top players for Canada.

Odds: -110 | Implied probability: 52.38%

Australia Under 86.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

We made this same bet against Canada's opponent in its Olympic opener, and Greece accordingly fell below its scoring total against this tenacious defense.

The Canadians boast the best perimeter defense of any team not named Team USA. That's a big deal against a team led by Patty Mills and Josh Giddey - two capable playmakers who could struggle to create their own shot against Luguentz Dort, Dillon Brooks, and others.

Odds: -105 | Implied probability: 51.22%

RJ Barrett Over 16.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

With all eyes on Gilgeous-Alexander and Murray, the "forgotten star" of this Canadian backcourt quietly led his team in scoring (23) in the first official game of this tournament and was tied for the team lead in exhibition play (15.7 PPG).

Australia allowed a less talented Spain offense to score 80 points on Saturday, and its backcourt isn't exactly built with defense in mind. This feels like another opportunity for Barrett to assert his will on the international stage.

Odds: -105 | Implied probability: 54.55%

Canada vs. Australia odds & game info

CanadaAustralia
Moneyline-250+205
Spread-6 (-110)+6 (-110)
Over/UnderOver 178.5 (-108)Under 178.5 (-112)
  • When: Tuesday, July 30
  • Tip-off: 7:30 a.m. ET
  • Where: Stade Pierre Mauroy (Lille, France)
  • How to watch: CBC, Peacock
  • Favorite: Canada -6 (-110)

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.

Related pages