Mavericks vs. Thunder Player Props & Odds: Wednesday's NBA Playoff Prop Bets

With the series split 2-2, the Thunder will try to take advantage of a hobbled Luka Doncic behind the play of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as we offer our best player props for the two stars.

Rob Paul

Last Updated: May 15, 2024 1:59 PM EDT • 5 minute read

With the series level at two, the Dallas Mavericks enter the lion's den at the The Paycom Center to face the Oklahoma City Thunder for Wednesday's Game 5, and we're offering our top Mavericks vs. Thunder player props based on the best NBA odds.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25) won Game 4 thanks to a spirited 100-96 display over the Dallas Mavericks (50-32). The Thunder are favored by 4 points at our best sports betting sites as the prepare for the crucial encounter. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT) at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's stellar performance has elevated Oklahoma City's position in the NBA championship odds race. Meanwhile, Luka Doncic's recent setbacks and injuries have sent his 2024 NBA Finals MVP odds plummeting.

Game 5 promises an exciting showdown between two teams hungry to seize control of the series.

To accompany our Cavaliers vs. Celtics player props, here are our best Mavericks vs. Thunder player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5 player props

Luka Doncic Under 29.5 points (-120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 46.5 points + rebounds + assists (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Jalen Williams Over 10.5 rebounds + assists (+100 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Mavericks vs. Thunder prop bet predictions for Wednesday

Luka Doncic Under 29.5 points ⭐⭐⭐

At times, Doncic has looked like the second coming of Larry Bird, and at others, he looks like your drunk uncle who's got one bad knee but swears he was All-State in high school. It's pretty clear that Doncic's knee is continuing to bother him and slowing his scoring output.

Despite coming off a triple-double in Game 4, Doncic scored just 18 while going 2-for-9 from three. The knee is hurting his ability to elevate and in turn has him shooting abysmally from deep. Since the injury in the first round against the Los Angeles Clippers, Doncic is averaging 25.3 points and shooting 22.8% from behind the arc.

Doncic has scored fewer than 30 points in seven of his last eight games. The -120 odds imply a 54.55% probability the Under hits, according to our odds calculator, with a $10 bet paying out $18.33 in total.

Best odds: -120 via FanDuel

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 46.5 points + rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐

The two most prominent Kentucky fans from Canada are on entirely different trajectories right now. While Drake is getting it handed to him by an MC from California, Gilgeous-Alexander is taking it to a PG from Slovenia. (Won't be long until Drake's making a hog call with John Calipari at Arkansas, but what can he rhyme with woo pig sooie?)

After a slow first round by his standards, Gilgeous-Alexander has come alive against the Mavericks. He's averaging 31.8 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 7.0 assists in this series - for a combined total of 48.6 - and has cleared this prop total in all four games.

The Mavericks defense has been up and down all year, and with Doncic banged up, it's opened the door for SGA to take over the series. A $10 bet on these odds would return a $9.26 profit on a winning ticket with a 51.92% win probability.

Best odds: -108 via DraftKings

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Jalen Williams Over 10.5 rebounds + assists ⭐⭐⭐⭐

What a thrill it is to hear Ian Eagle say, "Jalen Williams passes to the other Jaylin Williams," a true treat that the Thunder have two second-year players with the same name. Even if it leads to some confusion, Mark Daigneault can't be complaining with the way they've both impacted the series - especially Jalen Williams.

While he's been sporadic as a shooter against the Mavericks, Williams has made up for it with his energetic rebounding and playmaking instincts. He's coming off a nine-rebound, six-assist game and is averaging a combined 11.8 in the series.

I love the +100 odds because they're an outlier price. This same prop is -120 at our other best sports betting apps. Those odds imply a 54.64% probability the prop hits, but our odds pay $20 in total on a $10 bet.

Best odds: +100 via FanDuel

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5 info & odds

When: Wednesday, May 15
Tip-off: 9:30 p.m. ET
Where: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City)
How to watch: TNT
Favorite: Thunder -4 (-110 via bet365)

Mavericks-Thunder player props made Tuesday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

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Written by:
Rob Paul

Rob is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review. He’s been with the team since early 2024, with this being his first full-time role in the sports betting industry. Before joining SportsbookReview.com, he contributed to various sports outlets, including FanSided and Pro Football Network. During that period, he spent five years working full-time as a local community journalist, after attending Durham College for journalism and Wilfrid Laurier University for history. He previously hosted an NFL draft and college football-focused podcast where he had the opportunity to interact with future NFL players such as Maxx Crosby and Quinn Meinerz. Rob has spent multiple years working as a freelance podcast producer for numerous sports-related podcasts while making guest appearances on several college football shows. He’s also made guest appearances on SportsTalk Mississippi on several occasions to talk all things NFL draft. Rob values the way sports betting acts as a catalyst for telling stories and growing interest in certain sports, particularly FCS football, WNBA, and mid-major college basketball. He’s always been drawn to the more obscure teams and conferences in major college sports, but most of all, Rob loves using stats to find the best player props to back.