🏀 Heat vs. Hornets Player Props: NBA Play-In Picks & Best Bets (April 14)
📡 SBR Edge: LaMelo Ball Heats Up from Three
My Heat vs. Hornets player props feature LaMelo Ball Over 4.5 3-pointers made (+135). He ranks first in the NBA in 3-point attempts over the last two weeks, and I expect that trend to continue on Tuesday. Bam Adebayo Under 21.5 points (-122) is my next NBA best bet, as it has not been profitable to take his Overs since his 83-point performance.
π Best Heat vs. Hornets player props: NBA Play-In Tournament
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball Over 4.5 three-pointers made | +135 via FanDuel | 0.74u -> 1u | Has attempted most 3PT per game in last 2 weeks |
| Bam Adebayo Under 21.5 points | -122 via DraftKings | 0.61u -> 0.5u | Has gone Under in 7 of last 11 games |
Total wagered: 1.35 units | Max profit: 1.5 units
π° Best Heat vs. Hornets prop bet
The Hornets have the 11th-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
LaMelo Ball Over 4.5 3-pointers made (+135)
If you've been betting Ball to go over on 3-pointers lately, you've been making money. He's averaging 12.71 3-point attempts per game over the last two weeks, which is the most in the NBA in that span.
Not only has he been launching from deep, but he's been making them too, cashing this bet in five straight games. Ball Over 4.5 3-pointers made is +135 at FanDuel, but I would be comfortable playing this up to +110 on the best sports betting sites. I also feature this bet in my Heat vs. Hornets prediction.
π₯ More Heat vs. Hornets prop picks
Our NBA playoff series odds break down all confirmed first-round matchups.
Bam Adebayo Under 21.5 points (-122)
While the market only slightly overreacted after Adebayo's 83-point game, his offensive output has been trending downward. He has scored 20 or fewer points in seven of his last 11 games, including back-to-back outings with 14 or fewer from April 4β7.
The Hornets are arguably the best offense in the NBA, and Adebayo will be spending most of his energy on defense, trying to help his team pull off the upset. Adebayo Under 21.5 points is -122 at DraftKings, but I would play this up to -140 on the best sports betting apps.
π Heat vs. Hornets same-game parlay
There's solid value on this SGP because there's a strong chance the Hornets will slow down the game - and won't need Knueppel to score as much - if they build a large lead early on.
Bet365 lists this parlay at +330, while FanDuel is offering just +274. This combination has cashed in two of the Hornets' last four games.
💵 Heat vs. Hornets SGP picks
- Hornets -5.5
- Kon Knueppel Under 17.5 points
Best odds: +330 via bet365 (0.3u -> 1u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 108-126-4 | -17.04 units β | -6.4% β |
| Game picks | 1-0 | +1.5 units β | 87% β |
| Player props | 99-99-4 | -19.53 units β | -7.7% β |
| Parlays | 8-27 | +0.99 units β | 8.8% β |
π‘ How I'm betting Heat vs. Hornets: NBA Play-In Tournament strategy
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Iβve risked 0.74 units on my best NBA bet - Ball Over 4.5 three-pointers made - which is less than I would usually risk on a player prop.
While I believe the line pays out more than fair value, FanDuel is better than most sportsbooks at pricing player props, and I donβt want to be overconfident, even though itβs still early in the betting cycle.
Iβve bet slightly less on Adebayoβs prop because, while I like it directionally, itβs not too far off from where Iβd set it.
π Heat vs. Hornets injuries
πΊ How to watch Heat vs. Hornets: NBA Play-In Tournament
- Date: Tuesday, April 14
- Tipoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Spectrum Center (Charlotte, N.C.)
- TV: Streaming on Prime Video
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