Dream vs. Liberty Prediction: WNBA Picks & Betting Splits for Wednesday, Sept. 23
My Dream vs. Liberty prediction prepares for a pivotal matchup at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn on USA Network.
New York, which is a 1.5-point favorite, desperately needs a win to avoid being the No. 8 seed after starting the year as the WNBA championship odds favorites. Atlanta, meanwhile, can secure home-court advantage in Round 1 with a victory.
🏀 Dream vs. Liberty prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty -1.5 (-110 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.91u | The spread has flipped toward the Liberty for a reason. This is a must-win situation. |
| Under 176.5 (-110 via DraftKings) | 0.5u → 0.44u | I project slight value on the Under in a game with playoff seeding implications. |
| Breanna Stewart Over 19.5 points (-122 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.82u | Since returning from the FIBA World Cup, Breanna Stewart is averaging 26 points per game. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.17 units
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🏆 Who will win Dream vs. Liberty?
I predict the Liberty will beat the Dream by three points on Wednesday. New York suffered an 11-point home loss to Atlanta on Monday, but the rematch could be a different story. The Liberty have won and covered in three of their last four games as favorites.
Score prediction: Liberty 89, Dream 86
💰 Dream vs. Liberty prediction & best bet
Liberty -1.5 (-110)
In Monday's head-to-head meeting, Atlanta closed as a 1.5-point favorite with New York playing the second night of a back-to-back. However, the Liberty are now favored by as much as 2.5 points just two days later, after their 95-84 loss.
At 1.5 or better, I'm willing to lay the points with the more talented team. The Liberty have underperformed as preseason title favorites, but they might be rounding into form. They are 6-3 across their past nine games, posting a +6.6 net rating over that span.
In a must-win situation at home, I'm trusting the Liberty to deliver.
🔥 Best Dream vs. Liberty player prop bet
Breanna Stewart Over 19.5 points (-122)
Coming off her MVP performance in the FIBA World Cup, New York forward Breanna Stewart has maintained her momentum in the WNBA. She's averaging 26 points per contest in her return, scoring at least 24 in all three outings.
Stewart scored 27 points against the Dream on Monday, knocking down 11 of her 19 shot attempts. She went to the free throw line eight times, which is a problem in this matchup. Atlanta ranks ninth in free throws allowed, which is how Stewart earns 22% of her scoring production.
With this scoring line as high as 20.5 in the market, I'm taking advantage of FanDuel's offering before tipoff.
🚀 Dream vs. Liberty same-game parlay
My Dream vs. Liberty parlay counts on Stewart to lead New York to a crucial victory on Wednesday. Stewart is the team's best player, thanks to her impact on both ends of the floor. It doesn't seem like a bad idea to trust one of the league's best players in this spot.
💵 Dream vs. Liberty SGP picks
- Liberty -1.5 (-110)
- Breanna Stewart Over 19.5 points (-122)
- Dream Under 87.5 (-106)
Best odds: +305 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.3u)
📊 Live Dream vs. Liberty odds
🤑 Dream vs. Liberty betting splits
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Team / bet type | Odds | Bet % | Handle % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dream | |||
| 🔴 Moneyline | -150 | 59% | 72% |
| 🔴 Spread | -3.5 | 77% | 67% |
| 🔴 Total | o174.5 | 50% | 16% |
| Liberty | |||
| ⚫ Moneyline | +125 | 41% | 28% |
| ⚫ Spread | +3.5 | 23% | 33% |
| ⚫ Total | u174.5 | 50% | 84% |
📺 How to watch Dream vs. Liberty
- Date: Wednesday, Sept. 23
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn)
- TV: USA Network
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