Mercury vs. Aces Predictions, Picks & WNBA Odds: Las Vegas Begins Title Defense
![A'ja Wilson (22) of the Las Vegas Aces shoots against Moriah Jefferson (8) and Megan Gustafson (10) of the Phoenix Mercury, as we offer our best Mercury vs. Aces predictions and expert picks for Tuesday's season opener in Las Vegas.](https://img.sportsbookreview.com/uploads/523e427b-caab-44e7-9785-8806200796bc.jpg?fm=webp&auto=format&auto=compress&h=673&w=880&fit=crop&crop=faces,top,left)
On Tuesday, the Las Vegas Aces welcome the Phoenix Mercury to Michelob ULTRA Arena for the season opener. Our Mercury vs. Aces predictions based on the best WNBA odds will have you ready for the 10 p.m. ET tip off, aired on ESPN2.
The Las Vegas Aces enter the season as the undisputed favorites according to the WNBA championship odds, having clinched consecutive titles. Their pursuit of a historic three-peat begins in the season opener against the Phoenix Mercury on Tuesday, airing at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
The Aces are a commanding 13.5-point favorite, across our best sports betting sites. Their dominant performance in the 2023 season, spearheaded by superstar A'ja Wilson and her formidable teammates, has firmly established them as a powerhouse in the league.
Wilson herself enters the season as the front-runner in the preseasonWNBA MVP odds, setting the stage for what promises to be a thrilling showdown on Tuesday night.
To accompany our Fever vs. Sun predictions and Liberty vs. Mystics predictions, here are our best Mercury vs. Aces predictions (odds via our best sports betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Mercury vs. Aces expert picks
- Aces -13.5 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Aces Over 91.5 points (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
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Mercury vs. Aces predictions for Tuesday
Aces -13.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
I get that our best sportsbooks can only offer a line so short on the first night of the WNBA season. But I'm rather surprised we aren't seeing a bigger spread between these two.
Last year, the Aces opened the year with a 41-point win over the Seattle Storm and finished the year with the WNBA's best record (34-6) and average scoring margin (plus-12.6) en route to a second straight title.
On the other end are the Mercury, who were outscored by 8.3 points per game and finished with a league-worst 9-31 record. Phoenix should rebound this year, but with Brittney Griner (foot) uncertain to play and the Mercury's depth still a major question, I could see this game getting out of hand by the third quarter.
Best odds: -110 via bet365
Aces Over 91.5 points ⭐⭐⭐
If you make only one bet on this season-opening matchup, I'd prefer the spread, but it's hard to ignore this gigantic mismatch on paper.
The Aces paced the league in offensive rating (114.8) last year with three players in the top 11 in scoring. The Mercury, on the other hand, finished dead last in defensive rating (109.9), and that weakness could be exacerbated Tuesday if Griner - one of the league's best defenders when healthy - is out or plays at less than 100%.
This is only a three-star play because of these -118 odds, which represent a 54.13% implied probability with an $8.47 profit on a $10 wager, per our odds converter. That isn't exactly a bargain, but it's still a bet worth making in this matchup.
Best odds: -118 via FanDuel
Mercury vs. Aces info & odds
- When: Tuesday, May 14
- Tip-off: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena (Las Vegas)
- How to watch: ESPN2
- Favorite: Aces -13.5 (-110 via bet365)
DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aces | -13.5 (-110) | -13.5 (-114) | -13.5 (-115) | -13.5 (-110) | -13.5 (-110) |
Mercury | +13.5 (-110) | +13.5 (-106) | +13.5 (-105) | +13.5 (-110) | +13.5 (-110) |
Mercury-Aces predictions made Monday at 5:30 p.m. ET.
Tuesday's WNBA picks
- Fever vs. Sun predictions
- Liberty vs. Mystic predictions
- Mercury vs. Aces predictions
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