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Yankees vs. Blue Jays Player Prop Prediction, Odds: Top Picks for Monday

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: April 15, 2024 6:59 PM EDT • 3 min 42 sec read.

The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees meet for the second time in the 2024 season, and we delve into the matchup with our Yankees-Blue Jays player props based on the top MLB odds.

The water-treading Toronto Blue Jays welcome the surging New York Yankees to Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ont., on Monday, with first pitch expected at 7:07 p.m. ET. 

Off to a blistering start, the Yankees are 12-4. The team has been impressive overall, but its pitching staff remains particularly lethal while sitting second league-wide with a 2.78 ERA.

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are still trying to find their footing, with an inconsistent offense often weighing the team down while ranking 21st in runs. However, the Jays have won two straight series to begin their current homestand.

To complement our MLB best bets for Monday, here are our best Yankees-Blue Jays player prop prediction and MLB picks (odds via our best MLB betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Yankees vs. Blue Jays game info & odds

  • When: Monday, April 15
  • First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ont.
  • How to watch: Sportsnet
  • Favorite: Yankees (-105 via Betway)

Yankees vs. Blue Jays player props

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Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction

Chris Bassitt Over 5.5 strikeouts (-135 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Christ Bassitt has mostly made a loud thud to start 2024. It's still so very early, but that noise is a stark contrast to the rocket ignition around this time in 2023.

Bassitt has allowed four earned runs in two of his three starts to begin the current campaign. His launchpad ways include giving up a home run in each outing. The veteran's issues can largely be tied to an ineffective sinker so far, which is his most-used pitch. Opponents are posting a .321 batting average against a sinker that he's been throwing 44.9% of the time, according to Baseball Savant.

However, Bassitt did bounce back in his most recent start while allowing only one earned run across 6 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners. And most importantly for this prop, many of the outs he's been getting have been coming via the strikeout, even when the hurler is ineffective otherwise.

Bassitt notched a season high eight strikeouts against the Mariners. He also opened the season with six against the Tampa Bay Rays.

That's all coming with Bassitt fresh off a strong first season in Toronto, and especially an impressive finish when his K/9 rose to 9.1 in September. He's carried that over early in the 2024 season, which has no doubt led to the 6.69 strikeout projection Bassitt is receiving for Monday through NumberFire.

A $10 wager at -135 through Betway would lead to a $7.40 profit. The implied win probability is 57.47%.

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Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 runs scored (+100 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐  

For all his struggles making consistent quality contact, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. still maintains a quality eye at the plate. He ranks 10th in the American League after walking nine times over his first 16 games.

Guerrero's willingness to take a free pass combines rather well with Yankees starting Luis Gil and how often he lets batters saunter down to first base. Gil has been impressive overall thus far in 2024 while recording a stratospheric 14.0 K/9. But he's walked seven batters over only nine innings of work, leading an 18.4 walk rate that ranks among the bottom 6% in MLB, according to Baseball Savant.

Yes, the Blue Jays' offense continues to be maddeningly inconsistent, so wagering on runs in any fashion tied to them comes with inherent risk. However, Guerrero hits second for Toronto, meaning his ability to walk leaves him on base often for the heavy hitters who follow. Most notably Bo Bichette, whose seven-game hitting streak was just snapped, and Justin Turner, who's produced a staggering 1.095 OPS thus far.

A $10 wager at +100 translates to $10 in winnings, and the implied probability is 50%.

Juan Soto Over 1.5 total bases (+105 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐⭐  

Bassitt may be able to send enough Yankees batters back to the dugout after whiffs and bewildered looks at strikes to hit his strikeout Over. But the contact he does allow could be of the thunderous variety.

His hard-hit rate will surely normalize soon enough, but right now it sits at an alarmingly high 43.8%, per Baseball Savant. That's a steep climb up from his 35.3% in 2023, and even further off Bassitt's 32.8 in 2022.

And now a pitcher who's often allowing laser beams faces a man who has basically been a pulsating laser himself in the batter's box. Juan Soto is slashing a galactically high .344/.468/.541. He ranks 16th leaguewide with his 1.009 OPS. The slugger has cashed the Over on this prop in five of his last eight games, a stretch that includes a homer, two doubles, and four multi-hit outings.

Putting $10 on this prop would give you a $10.50 payout, and the implied odds are 48.8%.

Yankees-Blue Jays player props made 4/15/24 at 10:10 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Sean Tomlinson
Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, with stops at theScore, Bleacher Report, and now Sportsbook Review. The NFL has been his focus for much of that time, beginning as a features writer at theScore, and then as a national writer at B/R. He has survived Tebowmania in all of its forms, and vividly remembers watching the butt fumble live. Sean now leans on the knowledge gained from past experience in his role as a Publishing Editor and writer here at Sportsbook Review.