Blue Jays vs. Rangers Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Tonight, Sept. 19

The Rangers have pulled even with the Astros atop the AL West, and tonight they turn to Cal Quantrill to keep their postseason hopes alive. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays, who are mathematically alive for the playoffs, start Jose Soriano in a must-win game.

My best Blue Jays vs. Rangers prediction focuses on the Blue Jays' offensive struggles against a hot pitcher. Below, I make my three best MLB picks for tonight's 7:05 p.m. ET game at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Blue Jays are -120 favorites, and the game will air locally and stream on MLB.TV.

⚾ Blue Jays vs. Rangers picks & odds today

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🏆 Who will win Blue Jays vs. Rangers?

I'm taking the Rangers to win this game 4-2. The Blue Jays have struggled to score runs all season, which is bad news against a pitcher with a 2.90 ERA who has allowed the Blue Jays' batters to hit just .154 off him in his career.

Score prediction: Rangers 4 Blue Jays 2

💰 Blue Jays vs. Rangers prediction & best bet

First 5 innings ML: Rangers (-102)

Earlier this season, Quantrill threw 4 scoreless innings against the Blue Jays, striking out five and allowing just two hits. Even though the Blue Jays have the eighth-best batting average in baseball, the Rangers' starter is allowing opponents to hit just .220 off him this year.

Meanwhile, Soriano enters this game having allowed at least three earned runs in five of his last six starts. With at least seven at-bats under their belt, Jake Burger and Wyatt Langford are each hitting at least .500 against Soriano, and Corey Seager has a slash line of .364/.636/1.136.

🔥 Best Blue Jays vs. Rangers player prop bet

Cal Quantrill Over 3.5 strikeouts (+114)

Quantrill has struck out just 81 batters in 108.2 innings this season, but he's struck out at least four batters in seven consecutive appearances. He's also pitched at least 6.0 innings in six straight outings.

While the Blue Jays are the second-least strikeout-prone team in the league, there are two more reasons to love this Over. First, the Blue Jays are tied for the fewest runs in the league, so Quantrill is likely pitching at least 6.0 innings again. And second, he's struck out nine of the 28 Blue Jays he's faced, allowing four hits and zero runs.

💣 Blue Jays vs. Rangers home run prediction

Corey Seager to hit a home run (+500)

Seager is 4-for-11 with a home run against Soriano. His 14.4% barrel rate is the 17th-best in the league, and 12 of his 18 home runs have come against right-handed pitchers. His 91.7 mph exit velocity is the 30th-highest in the league.

Soriano has one of the lowest launch angle sweet-spot percentages in the MLB, but he's allowed three home runs in his last four starts. While his 7.3% opponent barrel rate isn't terrible, it's average at best, ranking 183rd out of 341 qualifying pitchers. 

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📺 How to watch Blue Jays vs. Rangers

• Date: Saturday, Sept. 19
• First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
• Ballpark: Globe Life Field (Arlington, Texas)
• TV: Local
• Streaming: MLB.TV