Twins vs. Dodgers Predictions, Picks & Odds: Plenty of Whiffs in Rubber Match?

Check out our best Twins vs. Dodgers predictions for Wednesday's matchup based on the top MLB odds.
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The Los Angeles Dodgers and Minnesota Twins wrap up an entertaining series between two division leaders with a matinee affair Wednesday. Find out where we lean in the rubber match with our Twins vs. Dodgers predictions, based on the best MLB odds.

The Twins and Dodgers conclude a three-game series Wednesday with a juicy pitching matchup between Minnesota's Sonny Gray and L.A.'s Dustin May.

The starters own a combined 8-1 record this season and will face off against lineups that lead the majors in strikeouts.

Here is our best Twins vs. Dodgers prediction (odds via DraftKings; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Twins vs. Dodgers pick

Sonny Gray Over 5.5 strikeouts (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

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We can include day games in our Wednesday MLB best bets, and we're targeting Gray's strikeout prop. The Over/Under is set at an enticing 5.5, and DraftKings is offering the best odds at -110.

Gray has been lights-out to begin the season. He owns a 4-0 record, 1.39 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and ranks in the top 20 in the league in strikeouts (56). 

He's striking out a career-high 11.12 batters per nine innings. That mark ranks sixth among qualified pitchers. His strikeout rate is also at a career-high 30.8% and ranks fifth in the majors, just behind Atlanta's Spencer Strider, Toronto's Kevin Gausman, Angels star Shohei Ohtani, and Arizona's Zac Gallen.

Add to the equation that the Dodgers rank fifth in the majors in strikeouts (390) and that Gray has had a great deal of success against the current L.A. lineup. Gray owns seven career strikeouts of outfielders Mookie Betts and Jason Heyward, six Ks against slugger Max Muncy, and five whiffs of All-Star Freddie Freeman.

Gray has topped 5.5 strikeouts in each of his last five outings and is coming off a nine-strikeout performance against the Chicago Cubs last Friday.

Ballpark Pal has this prop set at -146 and NumberFire has Gray projected to reach 6.11 strikeouts on Wednesday. 

Despite the supporting evidence, we're keeping this as a three-star play because there's always the possibility of the Dodgers' vaunted lineup chasing a pitcher early.

Our Mike Spector is targeting a pitcher in the other 3:10 p.m. ET game with his MLB best bets.

Twins vs. Dodgers best odds

DraftKings (-110)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars PointsBet
Over 5.5 strikeouts Over 5.5 strikeouts Over 5.5 strikeouts Over 5.5 strikeouts Over 5.5 strikeouts
-110 -116 -130 -118 -125

We'll take advantage of DraftKings hanging the standard -110 odds on this prop. The rest of our best sports betting apps have moved this line, including BetMGM, which has it priced at -130.

Twins vs. Dodgers odds

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Twins vs. Dodgers odds analysis

The Dodgers opened at -145 and are still favored at that price. L.A. is drawing 62% of the moneyline bets.

The Over/Under has also seen little movement and is posted at 8.5 runs. The Under is the popular bet, drawing 62% of the action.

Twins vs. Dodgers game info

  • Date: Wednesday, May 17, 3:10 p.m. ET
  • TV: SportsNet LA, Bally Sports North
  • Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
  • Weather: Mostly sunny, 24 degrees, 0% precipitation

Twins-Dodgers pick made 5/17/2023 at 11:04 a.m. ET.

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