Tigers vs. Blue Jays Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Monday, Sept. 14
The Blue Jays are one game out of the final AL Wild Card spot, and my Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction expects Toronto to win today with Jose Soriano on the mound.
Troy Melton starts for the Tigers, who are 5½ games out of the final Wild Card spot and have just a 1.1% chance to make the playoffs, according to FanGraphs. My MLB picks back the Blue Jays as a -138 betting favorite, with first pitch from Rogers Centre in Toronto set for 7:07 p.m. ET (MLB.TV).
⚾ Tigers vs. Blue Jays picks & odds today
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| ⚾ Pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays ML (-138 via FanDuel) | 2.07u → 1.5u | The Tigers are 1-4 in Melton's last 5 starts, with the RHP posting a 5.14 ERA in that span. |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (+135 via BetRivers) | 0.74u → 1u | Guerrero will likely start trending upward after finally homering at Rogers Centre. |
Total wagered: 2.81 units | Max profit: 2.5 units
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💰 Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction & best bet
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
Blue Jays ML (-138)
Melton pitched just 45 2/3 innings in his rookie season, and I'm starting to wonder if fatigue is influencing his recent downturn.
He's pitched 108 innings this season and is in the midst of his worst five-game stretch. Detroit is 1-4 in his last five starts, with Melton posting a 5.14 ERA in that span. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are 6-1 in Soriano's starts - despite him being roughly a league-average pitcher since joining Toronto.
Give me Toronto as it fights to make the postseason. Blue Jays ML (-138) is the best line available among the top MLB betting sites.
💵 More MLB expert picks today
Looking for more? Dive into Mike Spector's best NRFI bets today or my White Sox vs. Guardians prediction.
🔥 Best Tigers vs. Blue Jays player prop bet
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases (+135)
There's a psychological element to sports - at the end of the day, we're all human.
While some bettors get rich using AI-driven models to price games "perfectly," you can't rule out a shift in confidence, especially for a hitter of Guerrero's caliber. What happened Sunday could be the start of a turnaround.
After finally homering at Rogers Centre, Guerrero will likely start producing more power at home. He has posted a slugging percentage of .467 or higher in each of his last two seasons, so it's unlikely that he's suddenly lost his power - he's likely just been dealing with variance, and it was affecting his confidence.
Guerrero Over 1.5 total bases (+135) is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
📡 SBR Edge: Vladdy Will Likely Start Meltin' Fastballs
Melton throws fastballs 68.8% of the time against right-handed batters, while Guerrero has a .304 expected batting average against fastballs from right-handed pitchers.
📊 Live Tigers vs. Blue Jays odds
🚑 Tigers vs. Blue Jays injuries
📺 How to watch Tigers vs. Blue Jays
- Date: Monday, Sept. 14
- First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Rogers Centre (Toronto)
- TV: MLB.TV
- Tigers starter: Troy Melton (8-4, 2.42 ERA)
- Blue Jays starter: Jose Soriano (12-7, 3.48 ERA)
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