Reds vs. Giants Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Monday, Aug. 24
The Cincinnati Reds take on the San Francisco Giants to close out Monday's MLB slate. My Reds vs. Giants prediction features a run total, two player props, and an SGP.
This National League clash doesn't hold playoff implications, with both teams sitting between 9 and 18.5 games out of the Wild Card seeding.
Reds' ace Chase Burns takes the mound tonight against Carson Whisenhunt. Tune in to FS1 or stream this game on MLB.TV to catch the first pitch at 9:45 p.m. ET from Oracle Park (San Francisco). The Reds are sizable -154 betting favorites on the road.
⚾ Reds vs. Giants picks & odds today
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds;
| ⚾ Pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 (-124 via FanDuel) | 1.24u → 1u | Chase Burns has limited 5 of last 6 lineups to 2 earned runs or less. |
| Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-174 via DraftKings) | 3.48u → 2u | Basabe has cashed Under 1.5 H+R+RBIs in 6 straight starts for the Giants. |
| Sal Stewart Over 0.5 home runs (+561 via DraftKings) | 0.25u → 1.4u | Stewart has 27 home runs and ranks 86th in barrel percentage (12.9) and 84th in xSLG (.471) in 2026. |
Total wagered: 4.97 units | Max profit: 4.40 units
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🏆 Who will win Reds vs. Giants?
Chase Burns has the talent to shut down the Giants' lineup on the road tonight. Plus, Oracle Park is pitcher-friendly, giving him another boost. San Francisco could keep things interesting since the Reds' lineup ranks 30th in batting average and bottom-5 for OPS, however, Cincinnati posts a gritty 1-0 win in regulation tonight.
Score prediction: Reds 1, Giants 0
💰 Reds vs. Giants prediction & best bet
Under 7.5 (-124)
A lot of the public is on the run total over since it's sitting at 7.0 and 7.5 at the best sports betting sites. Burns is the primary factor in placing a bet on the run total tonight.
Burns ranks 93rd in pitching run value (+17) for the Reds this season. He's 90th in whiff percentage (31.7), 87th in strikeout rate (29.0) and 90th in xBA (.201), as the 2024 No. 2 overall pick has displayed ridiculous arm talent in just his second year.
The Giants have been held to 2 or fewer earned runs in four of their past six games. Go to FanDuel and bet Under 7.5 at -124 odds.
📡 SBR Edge: Low-Scoring H2H
The Red and Giants have played three times in 2026. Two of those matchups resulted in 3 total runs (3-0, 2-1), so expect a similar outcome in a pitcher-friendly ballpark tonight.
🔥 Best Reds vs. Giants player prop bet
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-174)
One of the coldest hitters in the Giants' lineup tonight is Basabe. He's logged two total hits across his last six starts, cashing Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs in six straight outings.
Burns will make it difficult for Basabe to end his hitting woes. The Reds' starter has surrendered 10 hits and 2 earned runs across his last two starts. Burns held the Giants to 2 hits and 0 earned runs in 6.0 innings pitched back in April.
Basabe has only been in the Giants' lineup since late July. He's cooled off considerably, so let's lay the juice on him to continue struggling at the plate.
Go to DraftKings and bet Osleivis Basabe to finish Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at -174 odds.
💣 Reds vs. Giants home run prediction
Sal Stewart to hit a home run (+561)
Sal Stewart has been crushing baseballs at the plate for the Reds this season. He's been one of the few bright spots in the lineup, logging 27 home runs, including one home run in his last five starts.
Stewart is ranked in the 86th percentile in barrel rate (12.9) and the 84th percentile for xSLG (.471) in 2026. He's facing Carson Whisenhunt, who has allowed three home runs in his last three starts at Oracle Park.
The forecast calls for 8.1 mph winds blowing out, giving Stewart enough appeal to back in the home run prop market.
Stay on DraftKings to bet on Sal Stewart's home run prop at +561 odds against the Giants tonight.
🚀 Reds vs. Giants same-game parlay
The NRFI has cashed in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matchups between the Reds and Giants. More recently, based on their last 20 games played, there have only been Extra Innings played once. DraftKings offers the best odds at -115 for this SGP.
💵 Reds vs. Giants SGP picks
- NRFI (-140)
- Extra Innings: No (-1100)
Best odds: -115 via DraftKings (1.15u -> 1u)
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 31.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 57-111-4 | -16.94 units ❌ | -10.0.% ❌ |
| Game picks | 19-20-3 | -1.58 units ❌ | -3.76% ❌ |
| Player props | 22-67-1 | -9.35 units ❌ | -13.0% ❌ |
| Parlays | 16-24 | -6.01 units ❌ | -16.6% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Reds vs. Giants: MLB strategy
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
I'm staking a total of 5.12 units on four bets to win 5.4 units of profit for tonight's game between the Reds and Giants. I've got a 1.24 unit play on Under 7.5. Then, a big 3.48 unit play on Osleivis Basabe to go Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs to net 2 units of profit.
A 0.25 unit wager on Sal Stewart's +561 home run prop returns 1.4 units of profit. Then, a 1.15 unit bet on a two-leg SGP for NRFI/Extra Innings: No to win 1 final unit.
📊 Live Reds vs. Giants odds
The Giants have moved longer in moneyline betting markets, going from +111 to +143. The total has crashed down from 8.0 to 7.0, or 7.5, on select sportsbooks.
Public action is hammering the Reds at 86 percent, including 86 percent of run line (-1.5) wagers. 58 percent of total bets are on Over 7.0.
📈 Reds vs. Giants betting trends
| Reds | Statistic | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| 62-69 | W-L record | 52-78 |
| 67-64 | Run line record | 65-65 |
| 69-61-1 | O/U record | 59-59-12 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 4.52 | Team ERA | 4.36 |
| .227 | Team batting avg. | .247 |
| .699 | OPS | .709 |
🚑 Reds vs. Giants injuries
📺 How to watch Reds vs. Giants
- Date: Monday, Aug. 24
- First pitch: 9:45 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Oracle Park (San Francisco)
- TV: FS1
- Streaming: MLB.TV
- Reds starter: Chase Burns (14-2, 2.51 ERA)
- Giants starter: Carson Whisenhunt (3-4, 7.03 ERA)
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