Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Saturday, Aug. 15
The Brewers and Dodgers head into Saturday's third game of the series knotted at 1-1. Two of the top teams in the National League will go toe-to-toe today, with Jacob Misiorowski vs. Justin Wrobleski on the mound. Misiorowski is a heavy betting favorite to win the N.L. Cy Young Award, which is why oddsmakers have made the Dodgers a rare home underdog tonight.
My Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction includes a moneyline, two player props, and an SGP. Tail my latest MLB picks before tuning into FOX or MLB.TV to catch the first pitch at 7:15 p.m. ET from Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles), with Misiorowski's Brewers a marginal road favorite.
⚾ Brewers vs. Dodgers picks & odds today
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| ⚾ Pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Brewers Moneyline (-123 via DraftKings) | 1.23u → 1u | Justin Wrobleski has allowed 15 earned runs in last three starts for the Dodgers. |
| Justin Wrobleski Under 17.5 Outs (-105 via bet365) | 2.10u → 2u | Wrobleski has gone under 6.0 innings pitched in back-to-back starts. |
| Gary Sanchez Over 0.5 Home Runs (+351 via DraftKings) | 0.29u → 1.01u | Sanchez has a home run and two doubles in two of his past three starts for the Brewers. |
Total wagered: 3.62 units | Max profit: 4.01 units
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🏆 Who will win Brewers vs. Dodgers?
Jacob Misiorowski has led the Brewers to a 4-1 record in his last five starts. Justin Wrobleski has been a liability for the Dodgers, surrendering 15 earned runs and nine home runs in his last three starts. Wrobleski is due for a better performance, but he won't keep up with the N.L. Cy Young favorite tonight. The Brewers win today's game 3-2.
Score prediction: Brewers 3, Dodgers 2
💰 Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction & best bet
Brewers Moneyline (-123)
This pick is all about Jacob Misiorowksi. He has allowed four or fewer hits in all five of his recent starts, while striking out at least nine batters in four of those appearances.
Wrobleski has struggled on the mound lately. He's ranked 13th in xBA (.270), 16th in hard-hit percentage (43.1), and 26th in strikeout rate (19.1) and barrel percentage (9.0) this year.
We saw the Brewers mount a 9th-inning comeback to win on Thursday. Then, they held the Dodgers to 3 earned runs on Friday.
Get the best number on the Brewers' moneyline at -123 odds on DraftKings.
📡 SBR Edge: Early Dodgers Deficit
The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in seven straight games as an underdog against N.L. opponents.
🔥 Best Brewers vs. Dodgers player prop bet
Justin Wrobleski Under 17.5 Outs (-105)
I've already spent time documenting just how poorly Justin Wrobleski's pitching has been in his last three starts. This ties into my favorite player prop in this matchup, which is fading Wrobleski's usage.
The Brewers field the league's sixth-best lineup in terms of batting average (.251) and a top-10 OPS percentage at .728. It's going to be a tough assignment for Wrobleski, who is clearly struggling with his arm.
In his last two starts, Wrobleski has failed to register 5.0 innings pitched. Now, we're getting good odds on Wrobleski to go under 17.5 outs (5.2 innings pitched) against Milwaukee tonight.
Go to bet365 and bet on Justin Wrobleski Under 17.5 Outs at -105 odds.
💣 Brewers vs. Dodgers home run prediction
Gary Sanchez to hit a home run (+351)
Gary Sanchez hasn't logged many at-bats (170) for the Brewers in 2026. However, Milwaukee's catcher is trending up lately, smashing a home run against the Padres at a pitcher-friendly ballpark like Petco Park, plus two doubles in his last three starts.
Sanchez doesn't have a lot of metrics due to his limited plate appearances. However, he's drawing a good matchup against Wrobleski tonight, who has allowed 9 home runs and is in the 26th percentile or worse in barrel rate, hard-hit rate, and avg exit velo.
Oddsmakers have Sanchez valued as a relatively high favorite in the home run player prop market. This tips us off about his potential to find the bleachers tonight.
Get Gary Sanchez's best home run odds at +351 on DraftKings.
🚀 Brewers vs. Dodgers same-game parlay
The NRFI has won in seven of the Brewers' last eight games as a road favorite against an N.L. opponent. Misiorowski has held four straight lineups to 0 earned runs in the 1st inning. These teams have not gone to extra innings in eight of their last 10 combined starts.
💵 Brewers vs. Dodgers SGP picks
- NRFI (-135)
- Extra Innings: No (-1100)
Best odds: -111 via DraftKings (1.11u -> 1u)
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 31.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 44-93-3 | -21.71 units ❌ | -17.3% ❌ |
| Game picks | 15-17-2 | -3.42 units ❌ | -9.76% ❌ |
| Player props | 17-55-1 | -10.96 units ❌ | -20.9% ❌ |
| Parlays | 12-21 | -7.34 units ❌ | -25.2% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Brewers vs. Dodgers: MLB strategy
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
I'm staking 4.73 units on four wagers for tonight's Brewers vs. Dodgers game. I've got a 1.23 unit play on the Brewers moneyline to win 1 unit.
Then, it's a 2.10 unit play on Justin Wrobleski to go under 17.5 outs to win 2 units of profit. Then, it's a smaller 0.29-unit play on Gary Sanchez to hit a home run at +351 odds, which clears 1 unit of profit.
Finally, a 1.11 unit play on a NRFI/Extra Innings: No SGP to win 1 unit.
📊 Live Brewers vs. Dodgers odds
The Dodgers have moved from +116 to +114 odds on the moneyline since the opening lines were released. The run total has stayed neutral at 7.5.
Public money is on the Brewers, getting 57 percent of moneyline bets. Under 7.5 is also drawing 59 percent of action from the public.
📈 Brewers vs. Dodgers betting trends
| Brewers | Statistic | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| 75-48 | W-L record | 74-49 |
| 63-60 | Run line record | 53-70 |
| 52-68-3 | O/U record | 56-64-3 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 3.53 | Team ERA | 3.69 |
| .251 | Team batting avg. | .260 |
| .729 | OPS | .766 |
🚑 Brewers vs. Dodgers injuries
📺 How to watch Brewers vs. Dodgers
- Date: Saturday, Aug. 15
- First pitch: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles, Calif.)
- TV: FOX
- Streaming: MLB.TV
- Brewers starter: Jacob Misiorowski (11-5, 1.76 ERA)
- Dodgers starter: Justin Wrobleski (11-4, 3.44 ERA)
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