Braves vs. Phillies Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds & Best Bets (Monday, Sept. 7)
My Braves vs. Phillies prediction expects the home team to win this four-game series today. RHP Grant Holmes and LHP Jesus Luzardo square off in this matchup between the top two teams in the NL East.
My MLB picks include Phillies ML (-159), Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-115), and Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 home runs (+240). First pitch from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB.TV), with the Phillies listed as a -159 betting favorite.
⚾ Braves vs. Phillies picks & odds today
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| ⚾ Pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Phillies ML (-159 via BetRivers) | 2.39u → 1.5u | Luzardo has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 6 straight starts. |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-115 via Caesars) | 1.73u → 1.5u | The market is overreacting to Acuna homering in 3 of his last 4 games. |
| Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 home runs (+240 via FanDuel) | 0.63u → 1.5u | Schwarber already has 1 home run vs. Holmes in 7 career at-bats. |
Total wagered: 4.75 units | Max profit: 4.5 units
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💰 Braves vs. Phillies prediction & best bet
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
Phillies ML (-159)
The Braves' disadvantage in this starting pitching matchup will likely be too much for them to overcome.
Luzardo has allowed two or fewer earned runs in six straight starts and has given up just one earned run across his last two starts.
Holmes, meanwhile, has allowed three or more earned runs in two of his last four starts. Phillies ML (-159) at BetRivers is the best line available among the top MLB betting sites.
🔥 Best Braves vs. Phillies player prop bet
Ronald Acuna Jr. Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-115)
Everyone and their mother is lining up to bet Acuna to homer again today.
While we're not focused on his home run market, how does that apply to us? It's being priced improperly (+500 at Caesars), meaning there's value in his derivative markets. The market is overreacting to Acuna homering three times in his last four games, and since it's not realistic to recommend Acuna Under 0.5 home runs because of the wide bid-ask spread, this is the next best thing.
Acuna Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-115) at Caesars is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
💣 Braves vs. Phillies home run prediction
Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run (+240)
Schwarber has a matchup he should be able to take advantage of today.
He already has a home run against Holmes in just seven career at-bats. Holmes ranks in the 32nd percentile in barrel rate, while Schwarber ranks in the 99th percentile in the same stat among hitters. And it's not like Schwarber has had trouble seeing the ball lately, either. He is 3-for-6 across his last two games with two home runs.
Schwarber to hit a home run (+240) at FanDuel is the best line available among the top sports betting apps.
📊 Live Braves vs. Phillies odds
📺 How to watch Braves vs. Phillies
- Date: Monday, Sept. 7
- First pitch: 1:05 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia)
- TV: MLB.TV
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