Braves vs. Cubs Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Monday, Sept. 14
While the Braves are pacing the NL East, the Cubs are in a tight race for the top NL Wild Card spot. My Braves vs. Cubs prediction expects the home side with more motivation to win today as these teams play the first game of a three-game set.
Reynaldo Lopez starts for the Braves, while left-hander David Peterson is the Cubs' starter. My MLB picks back the Cubs as a -136 betting favorite, with first pitch from Wrigley Field in Chicago set for 7:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network, MLB.TV).
βΎ Braves vs. Cubs picks & odds today
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ Pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Cubs ML (-136 via DraftKings) | 2.04u to win 1.5u | The Braves are 1-3 in Lopez's last 4 starts, with the RHP posting a 6.98 ERA in that span. |
| Austin Riley Over 1.5 total bases (+146 via DraftKings) | 0.68u to win 1u | Peterson primarily throws fastballs and breaking balls vs. RHB, and Riley's highest xSLGs vs. LHP have come against those pitch types. |
Total wagered: 2.72 units | Max profit: 2.5 units
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π° Braves vs. Cubs prediction & best bet
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
Cubs ML (-136)
It's rare that the Braves are a road underdog - they're just 7-11 in that situation - but it makes sense with how poorly Lopez has pitched lately. Lopez has a 6.98 ERA across his last four starts, with Atlanta going 1-3 in that span.
He's seen Chicago just once this season, allowing one ER and a walk in 1 2/3 innings with one strikeout. While that's a small sample size, Lopez ranks in the 21st percentile in xERA, and the Cubs rank first with 5.33 runs per game.
Cubs ML (-136) is the best line available among the top MLB betting sites.
💵 More MLB expert picks today
Looking for more? Dive into Matt MacKay's best home run predictions today or my Tigers vs. Blue Jays prediction.
π₯ Best Braves vs. Cubs player prop bet
Austin Riley Over 1.5 total bases (+146)
While I'm bearish on the Braves overall in this game, Riley is actually in a favorable spot with today's pitching matchup.
Peterson primarily throws fastballs (54.4% usage) and breaking balls (27.6%) to right-handed batters. Meanwhile, Riley's highest expected slugging percentages when facing lefties this season have come against those pitch types (.444 against breaking balls and .415 against fastballs).
While other Braves hitters will likely struggle - like Ronald Acuna Jr., who is best against offspeed pitches - Riley's chance of recording two or more bases is higher than these odds suggest. Riley Over 1.5 total bases (+146) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
📡 SBR Edge: Riley vs. Peterson
Riley has faced Peterson more than any other active Braves hitter, going 9-for-26 with two doubles in his career against the Cubs lefty.
π Live Braves vs. Cubs odds
π Braves vs. Cubs injuries
πΊ How to watch Braves vs. Cubs
- Date: Monday, Sept. 14
- First pitch: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Wrigley Field (Chicago)
- TV: MLB Network
- Streaming: MLB.TV
- Braves starter: Reynaldo Lopez (4-4, 4.13 ERA)
- Cubs starter: David Peterson (7-8, 5.28 ERA)
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