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Blue Jays vs. Brewers Player Prop Predictions, Odds: Expert Picks for Monday

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: June 10, 2024 2:31 PM EDT • 3 min 4 sec read.

Toronto Blue Jays designated hitter Justin Turner is greeted by teammates in the dugout after scoring against the Baltimore Orioles in the sixth inning at Rogers Centre as we look at our Blue Jays vs. Brewers player props.
Toronto Blue Jays designated hitter Justin Turner is greeted by teammates in the dugout after scoring against the Baltimore Orioles in the sixth inning at Rogers Centre. Photo by Dan Hamilton/USA TODAY Sports.

The Toronto Blue Jays visit the Milwaukee Brewers to open a three-game set on Monday, and we're diving into the matchup with our Blue Jays vs. Brewers player props based on the best MLB odds.

The Toronto Blue Jays have excelled at defeating weaker teams, but starting Monday at 8:10 p.m. ET at American Family Field, they'll face a tougher challenge against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Recently, the Jays have secured series wins against the Oakland Athletics, Pittsburgh Pirates, and Chicago White Sox (twice, including a sweep). All of these teams rank in the bottom third of MLB, with the Athletics and White Sox struggling the most with 26 and 17 wins, respectively.

In contrast, the NL Central-leading Brewers boast the seventh-best record at 38-27, with a run differential of plus-61. Will the Brewers expose the Blue Jays, or can a 32-33 Toronto team finally reach .500 again?

Here are our best Blue Jays vs. Brewers player props and MLB picks (odds via our best MLB betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Blue Jays vs. Brewers player props

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Blue Jays vs. Brewers expert picks

Colin Rea Under 3.5 strikeouts ⭐⭐⭐⭐  

The Blue Jays offense has recently taken the tiniest baby steps, moving from a residency near the basement to a rung slightly above. However, there's still a distinct odor from the team while ranking 24th in runs scored.

But Toronto's offensive struggles are rooted in a lack of power hitting and general quality contact, and not missing baseballs entirely. Toronto has struck out the second-fewest times in all of MLB. The team is disciplined, with four regulars sitting among the top 40 in walk rate (Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Davis Schneider, George Springer, and Daulton Varsho). There's also Danny Jansen, who boasts a strikeout percentage of just 13.3.

That patience doesn't blend well with Colin Rea, whose K/9 sits at a lowly 6.2. That's down significantly from his already poor 7.9 in 2023 and well below the 2024 league average of 8.5. Rea has already hit the Under on 3.5 strikeouts during six of his 10 starts, most recently notching only two against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The righty also seems due for a one-way ticket on the regression express. Sure, his overall ERA of 3.53 is respectable, but it's miles below his 5.56 expected ERA. That ranks in the bottom 7% leaguewide, according to Baseball Savant.

A $10 wager at these -115 odds through Betway will result in an $18.70 payout, with an implied probability of 53.48%.

Best odds: -115 via Betway

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Justin Turner Over 1.5 total bases ⭐⭐⭐

Backing the 2024 version of Justin Turner to do anything on any night can be a petrifying experience.

The 39-year-old is finally fading, and his .679 OPS tells a grisly tale. As does a hard-hit rate that's fallen from 40.6 in 2022 to 31.0 now.

However, there may still be signs of a heartbeat left in his bat sometimes, and we're seeing that now. His OPS is .858 over seven games and 26 plate appearances in June, with a .348 batting average. The sample size is small, but any hot stretch is notable when Turner is fresh off a month of slashing a cringe-inducing .111/.210/.139.

His uptick might be short-lived amid the journey to the end for Turner, but the most appealing element of this wager is that he faces a good matchup to keep it rolling on Monday. Rea isn't overpowering while leaning heavily on breaking balls, and specifically his sinker, which is the hurler's most-thrown pitch while heaving it 28.1% of the time. Turner has faced 173 sinkers in 2024 and is hitting .308 against that pitch with a .436 slugging percentage.

A $10 wager at these +150 odds would result in a $25 payout, with an implied probability of 40%.

Best odds: +150 via Betway

Blue Jays vs. Brewers game info & odds

  • When: Monday, June 10
  • First pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: American Family Field, Milwaukee
  • How to watch: Sportsnet
  • Favorite: Brewers (-115 via Betway)

Blue Jays vs. Brewers player props made Monday at 9:27 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Sean Tomlinson
Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, and he joined Sportsbook Review in 2021. His work has been referenced in The New York Times and Forbes. He's also made appearances on The Fan 590 and TSN 1050. Sean is a regular bettor who places bets daily while using a handful of books. Most frequently, he uses FanDuel and bet365 due to the quality experience on those apps. While he'll often take an analytical approach, Sean enjoys the fun, recreational side of betting too, and embraces alternative markets on events like the Westminster Dog Show or Eurovision, or the many novelty props tied annually to the Super Bowl, for example. Beyond sports, Sean is also interested in the betting markets tied to politics, and especially those connected to American elections. He sees betting as a way to explore and engage in a deeper way, and takes that same view to his work. He plays poker periodically too, and is an avid fantasy sports player. Sean also previously spent time with Bleacher Report and theScore, all after earning his media studies degree from the University of Guelph-Humber.