Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Monday, Sept. 7
My best NRFI bets today focus on the Cubs vs. Brewers and Guardians vs. Orioles. Below, I dive into the pitching matchups for each contest and highlight how each of these four teams has performed offensively in the first inning of games.
NRFI means that neither team will score before the end of the first frame. Continue reading as I explain why these are my two favorite NRFI picks out of the 11-game MLB schedule.
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: Sept. 7
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Cubs vs. Brewers NRFI (-122 via FanDuel) | 1.5u β 1.23u | Matthew Boyd and Robert Gasser faced each other last week, with each pitching three scoreless innings. |
| Guardians vs. Orioles NRFI (--120 via FanDuel) | 1u β 0.83u | Orioles' starter Trevor Rogers has been excellent in first innings, but his offense has been one of the worst first-inning teams this year. |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.06 units
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π° Best NRFI bet today
Cubs vs. Brewers (2:10 p.m. ET)
- Matthew Boyd (4.05 ERA) vs. Robert Gasser (4.57 ERA)
- NRFI records: Cubs (72.9%) vs. Brewers (70.1%)
On Sept. 1, Boyd and Gasser faced off, with each pitcher throwing three scoreless innings. Gasser gave up three runs in the fourth inning, but the Cubs are still only hitting .243 against him in his career.
The Cubs have allowed a first-inning run in just 22.9% of their games. That's tied for the best mark in the league. And though they're the highest-scoring team in the league, the Cubs have only scored in the first inning of 39 games.
📡 SBR Edge: Boyd and Gassers have been great early
Boyd has allowed a first-inning run in just 22.2% of his starts, and Gasser has held teams scoreless in the first inning in three consecutive starts.
π₯ More NRFI picks today
Guardians vs. Orioles (1:35 p.m. ET)
- Joey Cantillo (3.41 ERA) vs. Trevor Rogers (4.30 ERA)
- NRFI records: Guardians (72.2%) vs. Orioles (74.3%)
The Guardians and Orioles are each among the 10 teams least likely to score in the first inning. But what makes this matchup even more enticing is how good both teams are at preventing first-inning runs. The Guardians have held opponents scoreless in 75% of their games. And while the Orioles have only achieved such a feat in 71.5% of their games, Rogers has allowed a first-inning run in just 11.5% of his starts.
π Best NRFI parlay today
I'm parlaying these two NRFI bets because of how good the pitchers have been in the first inning. Boyd has been one of the most consistent first-inning pitchers this season, and while Gasser hasn't been as solid, he's brought his best stuff early in recent starts. Rogers has dominated the first inning all year. And while Guardians' starter Joey Cantillo has struggled in some first innings, the Orioles have been one of the worst first-inning offenses this season.
💵 Best NRFI parlay today
- Cubs vs. Brewers NRFI (-122)
- Guardians vs. Orioles NRFI (-120)
Best odds: +231 via FanDuel (1u -> 2.31u)
π‘ How I'm betting NRFI picks today (Sept. 7)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
I'm willing to risk 1.5 units on the Cubs vs. Brewers because of how good both starting pitchers have been recently. I just watched them shut down these exact same lineups less than a week ago, and I anticipate similar success tonight. With Rogers on the mound for the Orioles, I want to wager more than one unit on that NRFI. However, Cantillo has struggled in many first innings, so even with how bad the Orioles have been early in games, I'm nervous to get too carried away with this wager.
β NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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