Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Sunday, Sept. 13
My best NRFI bets today focus on the Orioles vs. Blue Jays and the Rockies vs. Tigers. However, while I expect the Orioles and Blue Jays to be scoreless after the first inning, I'm actually backing the Rockies and Tigers YRFI because
I think that at least one of the two teams will score in the first inning. After all, neither team's starting pitcher has had much success in the first inning this season.
Below, I explain why these are my best YRFI and NRFI picks for today's 15-game MLB slate.
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: Sept. 13
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Orioles vs. Blue Jays NRFI (-145 via BetMGM) | 2.5u β 1.72u | Dylan Cease has held 10 of his last 12 opponents scoreless in the first, while Trevor Rogers has held 17 consecutive teams scoreless in the first frame. |
| Rockies vs. Tigers YRFI (-102 via FanDuel) | 2.5u β 2.45u | Gabriel Hughes and Jackson Jobe have each allowed a first-inning run in more than 50% of their starts this season. |
Total wagered: 5 units | Max profit: 4.17 units
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π° Best NRFI bet today
Orioles vs. Blue Jays (1:37 p.m. ET)
- Trevor Rogers (4.15 ERA) vs. Dylan Cease (2.40 ERA)
- NRFI records: Orioles (74.5%) vs. Blue Jays (75.8%)
The Orioles and Blue Jays both rank among the top four least likely teams to score in the first inning. Cease has actually allowed a first-inning run in two of his last three starts, but he's held 10 of his last 12 opponents scoreless in the first frame.
Rogers has a 4.15 ERA, but most of the runs he's allowed have come after the first inning. He's allowed opponents to score in the first in just 11.1% of his 27 starts.
📡 SBR Edge: Rogers is one of the hottest first-inning pitchers in the league
Rogers has held 17 consecutive opponents scoreless in the first inning, with his last first-inning run allowed coming on May 24.
π₯ YRFI pick today
Rockies vs. Tigers (12:10 p.m. ET)
- Gabriel Hughes (5.81 ERA) vs. Jackson Jobe (4.45 ERA)
- YRFI records: Rockies (30.4%) vs. Tigers (33.8%)
Two of the best offensive first-inning teams face each other today, as the Tigers have scored in the second-most first innings this season, and the Rockies have scored in the first in 45 of their 148 games. But what makes this even more of a guaranteed YRFI is the pitching matchup.
Hughes has started 11 games for the Rockies, and he's allowed a first-inning run in 54.5% of those appearances. Meanwhile, Jobe has been even worse, allowing a first-inning run in 66.7% of his starts.
π Best NRFI parlay today
First of all, the price for the Rockies vs. Tigers YRFI is incredible at -102. Get in on that as soon as you can, because both of the pitchers in that matchup have been terrible early in games, and the price is going to get more expensive. That said, the NRFI price in the Orioles vs. Blue Jays game isn't nearly as favorable, which makes sense because of the pitching matchup. However, I do wish the price was a little better just because of how many runs Rogers allows.
💵 Best NRFI parlay today
- Orioles vs. Blue Jays NRFI (-145)
- Rockies vs. Tigers YRFI (-102)
Best odds: +235 via FanDuel (1u -> 2.35u)
β NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
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