Astros vs. Rays Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Saturday, Sept. 12
My Astros vs. Rays prediction expects Houston to bounce back today after Junior Caminero hit a walk-off home run in Friday's series opener.
Peter Lambert and Ian Seymour square off in the second game of the three-game set, with Yordan Alvarez (ankle) potentially returning for the Astros. My MLB picks fade the Rays as a -144 betting favorite, with first pitch from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla., set for 6:10 p.m. ET (MLB.TV).
βΎ Astros vs. Rays picks & odds today
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ Pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Astros ML (+122 via FanDuel) | 1.64u β 2u | Lambert has allowed 2 or fewer ER in 8 of his 10 starts since the All-Star break. |
| Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 bases (+139 via DraftKings) | 1.08u β 1.5u | Seymour throws primarily fastballs and offspeed pitches vs. RHB, and Pena has a .508 and .408 xSLG vs. those pitch types, respectively. |
Total wagered: 2.72 units | Max profit: 3.5 units
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π° Astros vs. Rays prediction & best bet
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
Astros ML (+122)
The Rays were somewhat lucky to win Friday night, needing Caminero to hit a walk-off home run in the ninth inning.
The Astros respond today with Lambert, whose season-long stats don't look great, but he's been better recently. Lambert has allowed two or fewer earned runs in eight of his 10 starts since the All-Star break. And with Alvarez potentially returning today, the Astros have a better shot at pulling off the upset than these odds suggest.
Astros ML (+122) at FanDuel is the best line available among the top MLB betting sites.
💵 More MLB expert picks today
Looking for more? Dive into Matt MacKay's home run predictions or Phil Wood's best NRFI bets today.
π₯ Best Astros vs. Rays player prop bet
Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 bases (+139)
Pena has been a little worse than expected lately - he's only gone over this line in two of his last four games - but he has a favorable pitching matchup today and will likely take advantage.
He faces Seymour, who throws 41.7% fastballs and 32.8% offspeed pitches to right-handed batters. Luckily for Pena, he has an expected slugging percentage of .508 and .408 against those pitches, respectively.
I'd be surprised if Pena didn't at least hit a double today. Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 bases (+139) at DraftKings is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
📡 SBR Edge: Lefty Fastballs
Pena has a .330 expected batting average against fastballs from left-handed pitchers, which is Seymour's most-used pitch type when facing right-handed batters.
π Live Astros vs. Rays odds
π Astros vs. Rays injuries
πΊ How to watch Astros vs. Rays
- Date: Saturday, Sept. 12
- First pitch: 6:10 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Tropicana Field (St. Petersburg, Fla.)
- TV: MLB.TV
- Astros starter: Peter Lambert (8-8, 3.67 ERA)
- Rays starter: Ian Seymour (9-6, 4.33 ERA)
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