Best NRFI Bets Today: MLB No Run First Inning Picks for Saturday, Sept. 12
My best NRFI bets today focus on the Padres vs. Giants and the Phillies vs. Braves. The Padres don't score or allow many runs in the first inning, and with Michael King on the mound for them today, it's hard to imagine the Giants scoring either. And the Phillies vs. Braves matchup features two starters who have had success against the lineups they're seeing today.
Below, I explain why these are my best NRFI picks for the 15-game MLB schedule, as I expect both games to finish with no runs in the first inning.
βΎ Best NRFI bets today: Sept. 12
See all of our expertsβ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| βΎ NRFI pick | π΅ Units | π Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Padres vs. Giants NRFI (-120 via FanDuel) | 2u β 1.67u | The Padres rank second in fewest first innings with a run scored and a run allowed, while the Giants' starter didn't allow a first-inning run in his only start this year. |
| Phillies vs. Braves NRFI (-140 via FanDuel) | 2u β 1.43u | Jesus Luzardo just threw a complete game shutout against the Braves, and Tyler Mahle is yet to allow an earned run in the first inning in three starts against the Phillies. |
Total wagered: 4 units | Max profit: 3.1 units
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
π° Best NRFI bet today
Padres vs. Giants (4:05 p.m. ET)
- Michael King (3.00 ERA) vs. Cesar Perdomo (0.90 ERA)
- NRFI records: Padres (76%) vs. Giants (71.9%)
Ranking second in both games without a first-inning run scored and games without a first-inning run allowed, the Padres are the closest thing to a guarantee the MLB has when it comes to NRFIs. And today, the Padres put one of their best first-inning pitchers on the mound, as King has given up a first-inning run in just 10.3% of his 29 starts.
For the Giants, Perdomo is making just his second start, but he didn't allow a run in his first.
📡 SBR Edge: Padres' pitching consistency has been excellent
The Padres haven't allowed a first-inning run in nine of their last 10 games, tied for the second-best stretch of any team in baseball.
π₯ More NRFI picks today
Phillies vs. Braves (7:15 p.m. ET)
- Jesus Luzardo (2.87 ERA) vs. Tyler Mahle (4.05 ERA)
- NRFI records: Phillies (68.2%) vs. Braves (68.9%)
The Phillies and Braves actually have two of the better first-inning offenses, but I love this pitching matchup. Luzardo starts for the Phillies, and he's allowed a first-inning run in just 6.9% of his appearances. On Monday, he made his first start of the year against the Braves, and he pitched a complete-game shutout.
While Mahle has allowed a first-inning run in 33.3% of his starts, he's pitched well against the Braves this season. In three starts, he's allowed a first-inning run just once. And in that game, the runs he allowed were unearned.
π Best NRFI parlay today
This parlay features two NRFIs with odds of -120, so the odds are just +214 for both props to hit. However, while those odds could be better, I'm so confident in my two plays that I'm putting 1.5 units on this parlay to hit. The biggest question mark is Perdomo against the Padres, but the Padres have been so bad in the first innings this season that I expect him to escape the frame unharmed.
💵 Best NRFI parlay today
- Padres vs. Giants NRFI (-120)
- Phillies vs. Braves NRFI (-140)
Best odds: +214 via FanDuel (1.5u -> 3.21u)
β NRFI betting FAQ
What does NRFI mean in baseball betting?
NRFI stands for "No Run First Inning." It's a popular MLB bet that neither team will score in the first inning of a game, and the bet settles after just six outs (three per half-inning).
What does YRFI mean?
YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning" - the opposite of an NRFI. This MLB prop bet cashes if there's at least one run by either team in the first inning.
What should I look for when betting NRFIs?
Each team's starting pitcher is the biggest factor in cashing a NRFI bet, but you should also focus on each team's NRFI records (home vs. away) and each lineup's first-inning tendencies. Recent form can also play a bigger role than full-season numbers.
Related Articles
