Best NRFI Bets Today: Top No Run First Inning Picks & Predictions (Monday, Aug. 24)
🤑 Best NRFI Bets Today for Monday (Aug. 24)
Today, we're tackling the Red Sox vs. Marlins and Pirates vs. Padres to get the juices flowing on this fine Monday. Let's bring those units home with our best NRFI bets today.
⚾ Best NRFI bets today: Monday, August 24
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ⚾ NRFI pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Red Sox vs. Marlins NRFI (-156) | 2u -> 1.28u | Marlins own .154 xBA vs. Ranger Suarez |
| Pirates vs. Padres NRFI (-160) | 1u -> 0.62u | Pirates own .147 xBA vs. Robbie Ray |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 1.90 units
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💰 Best NRFI bets today (Monday, Aug. 24)
Red Sox vs. Marlins NRFI (-156) - 6:40 p.m. ET
- Ranger Suarez (3.42 ERA) vs. Sandy Alcantara (3.46 ERA)
- NRFI records: Red Sox (61-69) vs. Marlins (74-57)
Five of the nine players in the Marlins' starting lineup have faced Suarez at least twice, and they are a combined 1-for-21 against him. This bodes well for us when we're looking for just six simple outs. It helps that he hasn't allowed a run in the first frame in his last five starts. On the other side is Mr. Alcantara, who's striking out this Red Sox team at a 25% clip across 31 plate appearances. I'd price this closer to -175, so let's take this value and run with it.
Pirates vs. Padres NRFI (-160) - 9:40 p.m. ET
- Braxton Ashcraft (3.68 ERA) vs. Robbie Ray (3.20 ERA)
- NRFI records: Pirates (68-64) vs. Padres (79-52)
We have one pitcher who excels in this specific matchup, and another who is on an absolute tear across his last three starts. What does that add up to? A NRFI. Yes, Ashcraft has been absolutely mowing down batters recently, allowing just two earned runs across his last 17 innings pitched. He's gone into at least the eighth inning over that span, pitching a complete game on Aug. 13. Ray has dominated this lineup over the course of his career, punching Pittsburgh out at a 33% clip while holding them to a .147 xBA and .208 xwOBA. That'll play.
💣️ More MLB player props for Monday
Looking for more plays? Look no further than Corey Scott's home run predictions today.
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| NRFI picks | 62-61 | +1.53 units |
💡 How I'm betting NRFI picks today (August 24)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
A NRFI (No Run First Inning) bet carries high variance, meaning success requires a disciplined, daily dive into the data. Before placing a wager, run through a strict checklist: analyze how the starting pitcher matches up against the top three hitters in the lineup, track underlying metrics like strikeout rates (K%) and expected batting averages (xBA), and review recent team-specific first-inning scoring trends. Because a single mistake or lucky hit can ruin the bet instantly, always use this daily routine to guide your wagers and scale your unit sizing accordingly to protect your bankroll.
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