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MLB Best Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Props, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Sunday, Sept. 13

My best home run predictions today break down the best HR bets for today's MLB slate.
Matt MacKay
Matt MacKay

Last Updated: September 13, 2026 2:05 PM EDT β€’ 3 minute read

Kevin McGonigle swings at a pitch as we make our best home run predictions.
Pictured: Kevin McGonigle swings at a pitch as we make our best home run predictions. Photo by Lon Horwedel-Imagn Images.
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Sunday's 15-game slate continues to provide a maximum number of star players to use in my latest home run predictions today. There's some great matchups to exploit after another 0-3 finish on Saturday.

Today's MLB home run picks include Kevin McGonigle. The Tigers' young star is the DH and lead-off hitter today, swinging a hot bat and yielding 3 home runs in his last 5 starts. McGonigle has 14 of his 17 home runs against right-handed pitchers, so Gabriel Hughes presents a strong opportunity to go yard again at Comerica Park on Sunday afternoon.

⚾ Home run predictions today: MLB HR picks & odds Sept. 13

See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.

πŸ’£ Home run pick πŸ’΅ Units πŸ“ Notes
Kevin McGonigle (+600 via FanDuel) 0.25u β†’ 1.50u McGonigle has logged 14 of 17 home runs against right-handed pitching, including 3 home runs in his last 5 starts. 
Jackson Chourio (+420 via DraftKings) 0.25u β†’ 1.05u Chourio has 3 home runs in September, including 15 of 25 home runs at American Family Field. 
Lawrence Butler (+490 via FanDuel) 0.25u β†’ 1.22u Butler has hit 12 of 14 home runs at Sutter Health Park, including 8 of these home runs against right-handed pitchers. 

Total wagered: 0.75 units | Max profit: 3.77 units

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πŸ’£ Best home run predictions & odds today

Home run pick: Kevin McGonigle (+600)

The Tigers finally unlocked high-end production from McGonigle in the second game of their series against the Rockies on Saturday. He recorded 2 hits, including a solo home run, marking the third homer in McGonigle's last five starts. 

McGonigle has the wind blowing out at 8.8 mph at a difficult hitter's park like Comerica Park. Plus, he's mashed 14 of 17 home runs against right-handed pitching in 2026. .

Go to FanDuel to bet on McGonigle's home run prop at +600 odds. 

  • Time: 12:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MLB.TV

📡 SBR Edge: Hughes Opportunity

The Rockies' starter has allowed a home run in 5 of his last 8 starts, with 3 of those home runs surrendered on the road. 

πŸ”₯ More home run predictions today

Home run pick: Jackson Chourio (+420)

Milwaukee is near the bottom of the MLB in terms of home runs per game average this season. That doesn't mean there isn't value in betting on Jackson Chourio in a plus matchup against Brandon Williamson today.

Williamson is a southpaw, allowing 3 home runs in his last 4 starts for the Reds. Chourio has logged 15 of his 23 home runs at home from American Family Field this season, including 2 homers in his last 4 starts.

The only reason Chourio has 4 homers at home against lefties is due to a smaller sample size compared to right-handed pitching. Left-handed pitching is ideal for right-handed hitters like Chourio. 

Stay on FanDuel to bet on Chourio's home run prop at +420 odds. 

  • Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MLB.TV

Home run pick: Lawrence Butler (+490)

I'm heading back to the hitter-friendly confines of Sutter Health Park in Sacramento for the final home run bet on today's card. Butler is a left-handed hitter who has 12 of his 14 home runs logged at Sutter Health Park in 2026.

8 of Butler's 12 home runs at home have been against right-handed pitching. As a left-handed hitter, Butler has a great opportunity to find the bleachers, facing right-handed starter Bryce Miller. Miller has allowed 5 home runs in his last 5 starts. 

Butler is in the 77th percentile for hard-hit rate (45.3) in 2026. Miller sits in the 51st percentile for barrel rate (7.4). 

FanDuel continues to offer the best lines, so bet on Butler's home run prop at +490 odds. 

  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MLB.TV

πŸš€ Best home run parlay picks today

💵 Best MLB home run parlay today

  • Kevin McGonigle (+600)
  • Jackson Chourio (+420)
  • Lawrence Butler (+490)

Best odds: +21376 via FanDuel (0.10u -> 21.37u)

Written by:
Matt MacKay
Matt MacKay has handicapped golf, the NFL, NCAAF, and NHL since joining the sports betting industry as a writer in 2020. He’s worked for several prominent sites, recently expanding his coverage to include sports betting news and the regulatory industry. Bringing a background in communications and writing, earning a Masters Degree in Organizational Communication from Ohio University, Matt has co-hosted a fantasy football and sports betting podcast, while continuously refining his handicapping methods. This includes identifying recent trends, head-to-head statistics, and comparing individual and team strengths and weaknesses to accurately predict the outcome in certain betting markets before a game or event. He’s a daily bettor and tends to wager on FanDuel, with DraftKings and Hard Rock Bet as preferred sports betting app alternatives. An avid researcher, writer, editor, and podcaster, Matt is eager to dig into matchups to offer readers and subscribers value on his picks. He’s a big proponent of building bankroll by avoiding poor betting habits and tendencies, like chasing losses, placing too many wagers, and managing bankroll. His worst beats to date both came on two separate NFL parlays, losing due to Tyreek Hill and A.J. Brown dropping passes. NRFIs have quickly become one of Matt’s favorite betting markets, recently diving into MLB game props.

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