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MLB Best Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Props, Picks, Parlay & Odds For Monday, Aug. 31

My best home run predictions today break down the best HR bets for today's MLB slate.
Dustin Saracini
Dustin Saracini

Last Updated: August 31, 2026 12:14 PM EDT β€’ 2 minute read

San Francisco Giants first baseman Rafael Devers (16) celebrates at home plate after hitting a two run home run during the fifth inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Oracle Park.
Pictured: San Francisco Giants first baseman Rafael Devers (16) celebrates at home plate after hitting a two run home run during the fifth inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Oracle Park. Photo by: Sergio Estrada-Imagn Images
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We'll be rocking with two of my best plays on the board as part of our home run predictions today - highlighting Rafael Devers and Sal Stewart. 

Both sluggers enter tonight with plus matchups, and Devers leads the way with dominant numbers against Bryce Elder. Let's cash both of our home run picks and begin our week on a hot streak, shall we?

⚾ Home run predictions today: MLB HR picks & odds Aug. 31

See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.

πŸ’£ Home run pick πŸ’΅ Units πŸ“ Notes
Rafael Devers to hit a home run (+300 via DraftKings) 0.50u β†’ 1.50u Devers is 5-for-6, 2 HR vs. Elder
Sal Stewart to hit a home run (+400 via bet365) 0.25u β†’ 1.00u Stewart owns two bombs vs. Michael King

Total wagered: 0.75 unit | Max profit: 2.50 units

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πŸ’£ Best home run predictions & odds today

Home run pick: Rafael Devers (+300)

My best bet on the slate. Rafael Devers has historically owned Bryce Elder, posting a .404 xBA and .920 xSLG while going 5-for-6 with a double and two homers against him in eight career plate appearances.

Devers is also red-hot at the dish right now, coming into tonight following an off day with four multi-hit performances over his past five games. His 50% hard-hit rate this season puts us in a prime position to cash this one - expect him to stay locked in against the Braves.

  • Time: 6:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MLB.TV

πŸ”₯ More home run predictions today

Home run pick: Sal Stewart (+400)

Can anyone stop Sal Stewart right now? He's ninth in MLB with 31 homers and has hit a home run in four of his last five games. He's been pretty successful in this matchup against Michael King, too, hitting one home run in six plate appearances while owning a .775 xSLG against him.

I'll put my faith in one of the best home run hitters in baseball this season, and see if he can park his eighth home run of August tonight.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MLB.TV

πŸš€ Best home run parlay picks today

💵 Best MLB home run parlay today

  • Rafael Devers to hit a home run (+300)
  • Sal Stewart to hit a home run (+400)

Best odds: +1900 via DraftKings (0.1u -> 19u)

Written by:
Dustin Saracini
Dustin Saracini is a Senior Analyst for Sportsbook Review. Dustin has been in the industry for 11-plus years, making various stops across Canada while gaining tremendous experience within the sports and betting landscape. Dustin has hosted multiple shows during his time in the sports betting industry, discussing NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB betting markets with top handicappers from around the country, and has appeared on CNN as a betting consultant. Dustin wagers every single day and line shops at all of the top sportsbooks (FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars). Dustin focuses on MLB and NFL as his two best sports to wager on, with the NHL and NBA slotting in behind them. Dustin has never seen a NRFI bet he doesn’t like, and will be going for back-to-back +7u seasons for the upcoming campaign. He firmly believes that discipline is the only way you can become a profitable bettor. Dustin graduated from Western University with a broadcast journalism degree/diploma in 2014. If you want to see more of his plays, make sure to follow his Twitter @DustinSaracini. Follow for picks, strategies, and more.

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