Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State Odds, Picks, Predictions College Football: Guaranteed Rate Bowl Best Bet

Check our best Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State picks for the Guaranteed Rate Bowl based on the top college football odds.
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The Oklahoma State Cowboys battle the Wisconsin Badgers in the 2022 Guaranteed Rate Bowl on Tuesday. An interesting twist to the matchup is that neither team will have its starting quarterback from the regular season. Below, we offer up our top Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State college football picks based on the best odds.

The Guaranteed Rate Bowl features a matchup between two average Power 5 teams that struggled down the stretch. The Oklahoma State Cowboys lost four of their last five games, while the Wisconsin Badgers lost two of their last three and barely defeated the Nebraska Cornhuskers.

Now, in the final game of their season, both teams will be without their starting quarterbacks, as both Graham Mertz and Spencer Sanders have entered the transfer portal.

Here is our best Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State college football pick for the Guaranteed Rate Bowl (odds via BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, Dec. 27, 10:15 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Location: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
  • Weather: 51 degrees, 6-mph winds, 25% chance of precipitation

Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State Odds

Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State Odds Analysis

The Badgers opened as 3.5-point favorites and have remained there up to Tuesday morning. On Pregame.com, 60% of the cash and 55% of tickets are backing Wisconsin to cover.

With both starting quarterbacks sitting out, the opening total of 48 has dropped to a consensus line of 45 as of Tuesday morning. Despite the number consistently dropping, the majority of the cash is backing the Over.

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Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State Pick

Under 44.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

It’s surprising to see the Badgers continue to be favored in this one, considering Mertz started every single game for them this season. While he was far from great, he was the best choice Wisconsin had, and the Badgers seem to be getting a little too much credit with a backup quarterback taking over.

Perhaps bettors just are not confident at all in Sanders’ backup Garret Rangel. Rangel completed passes in two games this season, and the Cowboys failed to score in the 20s in either of those games.

With both quarterbacks out, it’s hard to completely trust either side because there will probably be plenty of mistakes. Yet, the Under offers a lot of value. As already stated, the Cowboys struggled to score without Sanders, and down the stretch, they struggled to score even with him.

The Badgers are averaging just 26.5 points per game, and they're allowing 20.5. They have held their last five opponents to 24 or fewer points. With Rangel, it’s very unlikely the Cowboys will end that streak. And without Mertz, it’s just as doubtful the Badgers will be able to take advantage of a defense allowing 29.3 points per game.

Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State Best Odds

BetMGM (-110)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars PointsBet
Under 44 Under 44.5 Under 44.5 Under 43 Under 44.5
-110 -114 -110 -110 -110

Caesars has already dropped this number to 43, which is the lowest total at any of the five major sportsbooks by a full point. The next lowest total is over at DraftKings where the number is 44.

While this number will likely continue to drop as kickoff approaches, PointsBet, BetMGM, and FanDuel are all offering a total of 44.5. FanDuel is offering it at a slightly inflated price of -114. Therefore, it's best to take this at either PointsBet or BetMGM. Make sure you shop around before placing your bet though, as there's going to continue to be movement as game time approaches.

Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State pick made 12/26/2022 at 11:32 a.m. ET.

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